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FXロジック研究所 投資郎
09/26/2026 23:47
Release： 09/26/2026 23:47
Update： 09/26/2026 23:47
FXロジック研究所 投資郎
Investment style : Scalping
Investment career : More than 10 years
Investment amount : 100 million - 200 million JPY
FX Logic Institute｜Toushiro “Not by guesswork, but by logic, view the market.” At FX Logic Institute, we develop FX indicators and EAs, and conduct research and verification of trading logic. So far, we have provided indicators and EAs to more than 1,000 traders and have been involved in numerous individual support and consulting projects. --- ■ What I value FX tools should not be judged solely on whether they generate signals. What matters is to confirm as much as possible: - what logic they run on - in what market conditions they are easy to use - in which situations they should be avoided - how they look in real time, not just in the past Therefore, we develop with emphasis on forward testing and confirmation on actual charts, in addition to backtesting. --- ■ Tools we are developing Currently, to support traders’ decisions, we offer: 【Gold Canon】 GOLD (XAUUSD) only “No-repaint signals × semi-automatic EA” A GOLD-focused tool under this concept. You can read the signals and judge for yourself, or use semi-automatic functionality as needed. --- 【AI SuperNova Sign Pro】 GOLD × FX compatible It’s not designed to simply hand over all buys and sells to AI. It is built with the idea of providing signal candidates based on rules, and suppressing candidates with an AI analysis layer as needed. We offer AI suppression levels such as AI OFF / SOFT / HARD, etc. --- 【Trade Pilot Pro】 Developed as an auxiliary tool to support discretionary trading in MT5. Aiming to create an environment where discretionary traders who want to make their own judgments can streamline orders and management. --- ■ We don’t sell simply with the word “AI” Lately, the term “AI-enabled” is often seen on FX tools. However, just seeing AI on a label does not allow you to judge whether the tool truly fits you. That’s why I value clearly communicating what AI is doing, where it is assisting, and how it moves on actual charts, rather than selling with the notion that “AI wins.” --- ■ I want you to verify with your own eyes first In FX, there is no method that guarantees victory. Therefore, before purchasing a product, check on actual charts. Test in a demo environment. See how it fits your trading style. I myself place importance on verifying not only the good results but also: “where it is easy to use” “where caution is necessary” --- ■ FX Logic Institute philosophy What we aim for is not “let the tool do everything.” Traders should understand the market themselves, confirm the logic, and have the system assist only where necessary. That is the kind of tool we develop. --- ■ In conclusion For those who want to study GOLD in depth. For those who want to organize discretionary judgment using signals. For those who want to use AI but not rely on it for everything. For those who want to streamline order placement and settlement tasks. We aim to create products that make you want to actually use and verify them. Please take a look at each product page, and check the actual charts and verification content with your own eyes. FX Logic Institute｜Toushiro
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Perspective on Gold (XAUUSD) After Rate Hikes | 3 viewpoints to confirm at the $4,200 level: "real interest rate, level, and events"

Conclusion (First):After rate hikes, gold tends to follow a path based on three factors—real interest rates, crucial price levels, and upcoming events—rather than trying to predict a single direction, which helps reduce judgment swings.

This article does not forecast the direction of the market; it introduces a framework for reading the market based on reporting facts as of September 27, 2026.


Why I view the market by “divergence” rather than “prediction”


I have 15 years of FX experience, and for more than 10 years I was a losing trader.
Back then, I focused on guessing whether prices would go up or down next.
However, whether that guess is right cannot be controlled by me.
What can be controlled is deciding in advance how I would act depending on which way price moves.
This mindset forms the foundation of my current approach to the market.


Recent fact整理 (as of 2026-09-27, based on reporting)

  • At the September 17 FOMC, the policy rate was raised by 0.25 percentage points to 3.75–4.00% (12-0 unanimous, the first rate hike in about three years).
  • The dot-plot for the year-end policy rate was revised up to 4.1% (June was 3.8%).
  • After the announcement, gold fell from the mid-4350s to 4281 dollars.
  • On September 18 it briefly recovered to near 4399 dollars, but did not settle in the 4400s.
  • U.S. long-term rates were reported to have risen to 5.11% on September 23.

Note: the above figures are based on third-party reporting. Please verify the latest values in your own trading environment.


Perspective ① Real Interest Rates (Nominal rate − inflation outlook)


Gold is an asset that does not generate interest.
Therefore, in periods when rates rise, opportunity costs of holding may be more consciously considered.
Meanwhile, reports indicate buyers are supported by factors such as gold ETF holdings and central bank purchases.
When selling and buying factors are balanced, decisively choosing one side can lead to being swept up by the opposite move.


Perspective ② Price levels (reported levels)


Media notes the resistance around 4,400–4,412 dollars (100-day moving average at 4,308) and support around 4,150 dollars (75-day moving average at 4,246).
These are not guarantees of a reaction “every time here.”
They are markers to decide in advance how you would respond when the price reaches those levels.


Perspective ③ Next event

Next focus includes the September 30 release of the August PCE deflator in the U.S.
Whether the result surpasses or misses market expectations could alter the reaction of real interest rates.
Volatility tends to widen around events, so consider smaller position sizing than usual.


整理 of Divergences (Not a direction forecast)

  • If price closes clearly above a key level → as movement may be stronger than expected, review your stop-loss levels and position sizes.
  • If price closes clearly below a key level → raise vigilance toward the lower level and consider pausing.
  • If the outcome is unclear or volatility is excessive → reduce quantity or skip the trade.

Pre-determining divergences reduces the chance of frantic decisions when the market moves.


FAQ


Q. In a rate-hiking environment, does gold always go down?
A. No. Interest rates are just one factor. Other factors like supply-demand, geopolitics, and exchange rates also influence outcomes. No definitive answer.


Q. Are 4,150 and 4,400 levels guaranteed to react?
A. They are not guaranteed reaction levels. Use them as markers to organize your judgments.


Q. How should one think around economic releases?
A. Movements tend to become more volatile, so consider reducing exposure or skipping trades and decide risks in advance.


Q. What should beginners check first?
A. First decide how much you are willing to lose (per trade). How to view the market can come later.


How I shaped this thinking


As tools, I use GOLD (XAUUSD) dedicated instruments such as “Gold Canon” (displays Best/Worst and Profit Factor in the statistics panel) and “AI SuperNova Sign Pro,” which lets you select intervention level as OFF, SOFT, or HARD.
Details are in theProfile.


Disclaimer


This article is intended for general information and to introduce design concepts of products, not to recommend buying or selling any specific method or product.
Market figures are as of September 27, 2026, based on third-party reporting and do not guarantee accuracy or future price movements.
The contents described are based on past design cases and do not guarantee future results or profits.
Investment decisions should always be made at your own risk.