[Reasons for not competing in the middle] Place the current location into three parts
Tuesday night, I was cut off in the opposite direction twice in a row.
I bought and was cut, then this time I sold and was cut. Two rounds back and forth at a price close to the same level.
…Why did I miss both times?
In front of the screen, I couldn’t utter a word for a while.
Either judgment had its own proper reason, you know.
I will write exactly what happened in these two times.
To state the conclusion first, it wasn’t the direction that was off.
Good evening!
This is Masashi^^
This time I stopped aiming to predict up or down.
What I decided instead was to place my current position in one of three spots before placing an order.
Up, middle, or down. That’s all there is to divide.
On the day I placed in the middle, I decided not to trade, and the two-way cutback disappeared.
We begin with the night on Tuesday when two rounds back and forth were cut near the same price.
✅ Both directions were about equally far away
The next morning, after I calmed down, I reopened the same chart.
Looking at where I bought the first time, it became clear immediately.
Whether going up or down, the distance to the point of contact was almost the same.
In other words, either direction could have been plausible.
The second sale was also just slightly below the exact same position.
I had thought I changed the direction, but I hadn’t changed the place, so the result was the same.
This is the really tricky part, because places like this look more mobile than they are.
Since they swing up and down many times, the chart becomes the most lively there.
I misread a lively area as a place with more opportunities.
In reality, neither direction was decided, so it was just swinging.
✅ If neither direction is decided, it will swing. Liveliness is not an opportunity。
Even if you change the direction, if you don’t change the location, the result returns to the same place.
? The middle was the place where I could be most confident
It’s a strange thing, but I gain the most confidence when I’m in the middle.
Why does that happen?
Because both the up and the down materials look available at the same time.
I can create either story.
Then I can choose my preferred one and prepare the rationale for it.
Because the rationales are all lined up, the feeling is quite strong.
But the market hasn’t decided yet.
If I haven’t decided, I end up deciding first and moving forward toward it.
I think this is before worrying about win rates.
When you’re at the edge, you tend to hesitate more.
It looks like you’ve gone too far, so you become afraid to enter.
The scarier side can be the correct position, which makes it messy.
? In the middle, you can craft both narratives. So confidence comes first。
The place that’s scary to enter often yields honest judgments.
? It’s the same information whether you go in either direction
When that thought pops into my head, I treat it as a warning.
The state of being able to go in either direction means you know nothing.
Yet, oddly, it sounds like a positive statement.
It carries a sense of possibility.
In reality, it’s simply a report that there are zero materials to choose from.
In the past, I would still move my hands after receiving this report.
Now, when this phrase appears, I tilt toward the side of waiting.
The moment I decide to wait, I can feel the tension in my shoulders loosen.
That’s how much the time spent hesitating wore on my body.
? The state of “can go either way” is not about possibility; it’s a report of zero materials。
The time spent hesitating drains more energy than you think.
? Divide the chart into upper, middle, and lower
The method is very simple.
Before placing an order, write down where the current price sits among the three.
【Today’s position: lower area】This one line is enough in practice.
There’s no need for precise measurement. A quick glance is fine.
If you’re on the edge, the logic will favor moving away from there.
If you’re in the middle, both logics apply, so you don’t act.
Where you call the edge is up to your own yardstick.
With this alone, the number of times you get cut in a round trip decreases considerably.
What matters is that you stop trying to predict the direction.
You’re just confirming where you are now, not trying to predict.
Because confirmations have no right or wrong, they accumulate as records.
If you accumulate three months’ worth, you’ll see in numbers where you’re losing.
? Instead of predicting direction, just confirm where you are now。
Example: 【Today’s position: middle / therefore decide to wait】
? How to actually use the three divisions
A typical day goes like this.
When you open the chart, first decide your position with the large movement.
Upper, middle, or lower. Write one line here.
【Today’s position: upper area】That is all you need in practice.
If you write middle, that ends the moment. Close the chart.
Only on the days you write up or down do you go down to the finer movements.
Go down and look for the entry point there.
When you do this back-and-forth, be careful not to focus on just one side.
If you only look at the fine movements, you’ll still see the middle as the edge.
Conversely, if you only look at the larger movements, you’ll never settle on an entry point.
Go back and forth to confirm whether both sides say the same thing.
If the messages don’t align, wait and skip.
The daily task takes less than five minutes.
? If you write middle, you close the chart at that moment。
Example: 【Large movement: lower area / Small movement: respond / Match → consider】
⚠ Is there a day when you can enter even in the middle?
This is a common question.
In my case, I keep one exception.
After breaking through the middle, I confirm for myself that that location has changed meaning.
When it becomes like this, the middle location turns into the edge role.
In other words, the meaning of the place swaps.
That said, you can’t wait for it to happen to be valid.
If you jump in the moment you break through, you’ll usually be pushed back to the other side.
That’s where I got hit many times.
Just by the fact of breaking through, I was already moving forward.
Instead of the fact of breaking through, look at the reaction afterward. Waiting is only here.
If there’s no reaction, consider there was no connection that day.
How to judge a reaction is laid out in the教材 (teaching material) with steps.
⚠ Not at the moment of breaking through, but see whether you come back after breaking through。
There is only one exception. When breaking through the middle and that location changes to the edge role.
? Why I allocated a chapter to avoiding the market
In GOLD’s antidote, I dedicate a chapter to the markets and times you should avoid.
In a book about techniques, dedicating pages to places not to trade might seem odd.
But I felt this writing is essential for its validity.
No matter how refined your entry technique is, if the place is bad, results won’t be stable.
Also, I don’t subscribe to the idea of jumping on after catching a trend.
By the time you realize you’ve captured it, you’ve already had a lot of money in.
Some want to lock in profits while others aim for the opposite.
Thus markets become volatile and don’t follow the learned pattern.
Instead, I placed the idea of starting at the decided place and ending mechanically there.
Because there’s no need to read the flow, there’s less room for hesitation.
Today’s three-part division is the入口 (entry) part of that.
? No matter how much you refine your entry technique, if the place is bad, results won’t be stable。
Contents: Avoided markets and times / Start mechanically at the decided place
⭕ Some people may not agree with this division
Finally, a note for those who don’t agree.
If you want to enter many times per day, this rule can feel constraining.
Since you drop all middle-day entries, the number of times you act decreases significantly.
If you find fewer trades boring, this isn’t for you.
Also, if you’re seeking the thrill of predicting, it won’t suit you.
It’s just a procedure to confirm your position, so it isn’t very interesting.
Instead of being uninteresting, you can reproduce the same steps the next day.
The教材 isn’t designed to produce immediate score changes the day you open it.
It cannot promise future profits.
First, try writing your position for a week with a small amount or a practice account.
When you can write it, increase the amount back. It’s best not to disturb this order.
⭕ It’s not very interesting since it’s only about confirming the position。
Unsuitable for: Those who want to trade many times a day, those seeking the thrill of predicting
? Summary: Before predicting, place where you are now
Two rounds back and forth cut near the same price wasn’t because I missed the direction.
Both times, I took action at places that were equally far up and down.
So now, before placing an order, I write the current position in one line. The actual position is【Today’s position: middle / therefore decide to wait】.
The point to observe is the place, not the direction. Just placing in one of three spots—upper, middle, or lower—is enough.
If you write middle, you close the chart at that moment. A place that can create both stories is a place with zero materials.
I’d like the教材 to be used as a map to decide which places not to trade. It isn’t something that changes results the day after you read it, nor can it promise future profits.
If you’re still getting cut on back-and-forth moves, try starting by writing your position in one line^^
?View details of GOLD’s antidote
Thank you as always for reading^^