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TSU Trading Lab
09/24/2026 09:45
Release： 09/24/2026 09:45
Update： 09/24/2026 09:45
TSU Trading Lab
Investment style : Day Trade
Investment career : More than 10 years
Investment amount : 1 million - 5 million JPY
"Is this channel really correct for me?" Such questions were the trigger for me to start creating ACE. Channels differ from person to person in how they are drawn. Therefore, even if one thinks they are analyzing it correctly, their own wishes and desires can unintentionally seep into the chart, leading to entries that are convenient for them. So I thought: "Can we create a channel using the same standard that anyone can understand, and can we verify that judgment against past data?" and began developing AutoChannelEntry (ACE). ACE is not just a tool to automatically draw channels. It searches past a large number of candlesticks to find channels similar to the present, and by analyzing rebounds, breaks, false signals, etc. that occur there, it becomes a tool to think statistically about: "What has this shape tended to become in the past?" I have always enjoyed looking at numbers, thinking about mechanisms, and verifying each step of "why it happens this way." In developing ACE, what I value is not "it seems to rebound somehow," but "why can we judge it that way?" "Is there data that supports that judgment?" There is no absolute in the market. Therefore, rather than relying solely on intuition or gut feeling, I want to create something that uses data and probability as one of the basis for decision-making. That is the fundamental idea of ACE. ACE is still being developed today. By incorporating feedback from purchasers, I want to nurture it into a more practical and valuable tool. Invest Navi Plus will also write about "Why this mechanism?", "What kind of thinking is behind what’s made?" Thank you for your continued support.
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Episode 25: NEO3 — The Whole Group Seeing

NEO's role has been decided.

Like Agent Smith,

in the same direction.

A similar position is.

Continuously increasing.

That proliferation,

stopped only when it is wrong.

But,

there was one thing we had to decide here.

How many should be holding to call NEO?

Two?

Three?

Four?

Five?

If you stop quickly,
you might be able to protect before a large loss occurs.

But,

if too early,

NEO will stop while ACE is correctly riding the trend
until then.

So,

we decided to actually compare.

NEO3

NEO4

NEO5

The difference is simple.

For example, in NEO3,

the same group.

the same direction.

That position
already has three units,

whether it is permissible to add the next one

will be judged by NEO.

However,

it's not that we stop because there are three units.

This is important.

What we look at is,

the total profit of those three units.

If the three together are in the positive,

the herd is still alive.

We allow the next one.

But,

if the three together are in the negative,

there is a possibility that
the same mistake is being increased.

So,

we stop the next entry.

NEO is not about a "number limit"

With this,

it differs from a simple MaxPositions.

Even with five units held,

if the entire herd is profitable,
you can let it run.

Conversely,

even with only three units left,

the same group,
three units in the same direction
that are collectively in drawdown,

you would halt the fourth unit.

What NEO watches is,

not the count of people, but the health of the herd.

This is how it turned out.

BUY and SELL are evaluated separately

Just because BUY is struggling,

there's no need to stop SELL as well.

There is no need to involve
another group.

Therefore NEO is,

viewing only the same group in the same direction

as a single herd.

If it is a different group,
it is a different cluster.

So, which is better among 3, 4, or 5?

From here, we compare and verify.

With NEO not used.

NEO3 judged from three.

NEO4 judged from four.

NEO5 judged from five.

In the same period.

The same ACE.

What changes is only the number of units when NEO starts moving.

The results are in

At this point of comparison,

the net profit without NEO is

+2,598,834 yen

PF is

1.50

This is the baseline.

NEO3

Net profit

+3,058,659 yen

PF

1.63

Entries blocked

246 times.

NEO4

Net profit

+2,996,738 yen

PF

1.61

Blocking count

127 times.

NEO5

Net profit

+2,932,389 yen

PF

1.59

Blocking count99 times.