A way not to lose in FX: Remembering what not to do, rather than how to win
Introduction: Is there really a way to avoid losing in FX
When you start researching FX, you’ll quickly encounter a “way to win.”
Winning methods. Chart analysis. Indicators. Entry points. Risk management.
There is information about “how to win” everywhere on YouTube, social media, and in books.
But in this article, I’ll shift the question a little.
Not “how to win in FX,” but
“How can you avoid losing in FX?”
That’s the question.
One reason I began thinking about this theme was the idea of having “refraining from trading” before even having “conditions to trade.”
The market moves almost every weekday.
That doesn’t mean you have to participate every day.
There are important announcements.
There is high volatility.
I am feeling rushed.
On days like that, you can choose not to participate before predicting up or down.
I will examine this idea using official documents, actual trading data from individual traders, behavioral economics research, and real market events. The original concern and the structure of this article were organized in the manuscript as an exploration of “what not to do” rather than “what to do.”
I will start with the conclusion
There is a method to absolutely not lose in FX.
Not trading.
This is not a conclusion drawn from research.
It merely follows by definition.
If you don’t hold any FX positions, you won’t incur losses in your FX account due to exchange rate movements.
Of course, you also won’t make profits.
So it’s not helpful as a method for “making profits in FX.”
But if you place “not losing” as the top priority, this ordinary answer remains until the end.
What becomes an issue then is not simply,
“Then just stop everything.”
But how far can you reduce risk?
How is trading frequency related to performance?
Does experience really lead to improvement?
Will judging improve if you keep watching the charts?
Does avoiding economic indicators make you safer?
After how many years can you consider yourself someone who can win?
And where do you step away from the market?
I will consider these in order.
“Being able to trade” and “what you should trade” are not the same.
And,
“profits that you couldn’t take” and “money you actually lost” are not the same either.
There are times when you retrospectively look at a chart that rose sharply on a day you didn’t trade and think, “If I had bought, I would have made money.”
However, those profits were not yours from the start.
It’s not that your lack of a position caused your account balance to drop. The original manuscript also suggests separating possible profits from actual losses as a consideration.
What I’d like to consider in this article is not how many chances you can seize.
How many unnecessary bets can you avoid?
【From here, paid portion】