09/17/2026 01:34

Release： 09/17/2026 01:34

Update： 09/17/2026 01:34

Part-time trader I trade stocks, commodities, and FX without preference. I have entered my 16th year of investing. My main methods are fundamental analysis and line trading.

Series

Line Trade & Fundamentals Analysis-Based Nearly Daily Report

Content is scheduled for delivery on weekdays. It is almost daily, but there will be no forced delivery in cases where there is nothing noteworthy. Content includes live broadcasts using limited TwitCasting (irregular) and radio broadcasts using stand.fm. If contributing physically becomes impossible due to Obon, year-end/New Year holidays, etc., a hiatus will occur. Content The main trading method uses trendlines, horizontal lines, and Fibonacci for line trading. By incorporating fundamental analysis to capture mid- to long-term supply and demand, we analyze the finer details with line trading. The charts will contain many images. Target readership We assume readers who want to study flow, economic policy, and supply-demand gaps, plus those who want evidence for positions as a bonus. On the contrary, this article may not be suitable for those who want to know the rate that is closest to mirror trading above all else. As contributors, we aim to write articles that are close to investment education, enabling readers to make their own judgments rather than just feeding information.

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Independence test of the market wins

Last night? This morning? Thank you for sticking with the FOMC live. Today I will focus on how the FOMC was received and tomorrow's Bank of Japan meeting.

The Federal Reserve decided to raise rates for the first time in three years. In line with markets already pricing in, the policy rate was raised by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%.

As for the economic indicators, so far they have been sparse, and as I have explained before, the data did not indicate that inflation response was urgently needed at the moment. Even though the PPI and CPI figures, which roughly matched the forecasts released by various firms about two weeks earlier (just before the Fed blackout), were released, once the market fully priced in a rate hike beyond 90%, the firms adjusted their own policy rate forecasts to reflect a rate increase. This is something I have confirmed so far.