+928pips【Weekly Trade Review & Delivery History】GOLD Day Trading Focused Type “GOLD STREAMv2” 2026.9.7~9.11
+928pips【Weekly Trade Verification & Delivery History】
GOLD Day Trading Focused “GOLD STREAM v2” 2026.9.7～9.11
Check GOLD's price action, strength, and correlations, and verify the signal accuracy, range, and expectations every week. Not only win rate, but also PF, Exp(R), and 5-day ADR comparisons are used to assess this trading environment.
① GOLD Market Analysis
1. Price Volatility
From September 7 to 11, GOLD’s price environment was highly reactive to interest rates, the dollar, and inflation indicators throughout the week. In the latter half, following US CPI, expectations for a rate hike by the Fed strengthened, causing GOLD prices to drop temporarily. Conversely, on September 11, dip-buying pushed spot gold temporarilyback more than 1% toward around $4,363. However, the week ended with an approximately 1.5% decline, meaning a short-term pullback within an uptrend was anticipated.
US August CPI rose Month-over-Month+0.4%, and with stronger expectations of Fed rate hikes, US yields rose, pressuring GOLD’s upside. CME FedWatch showed the probability of a rate hike at the next meeting rising briefly toabout 87%. For GOLD, this environment features both demand for safe assets amid inflation and headwinds from rising rates, making directionality unclear.
2. Supply/Demand and Investment Factors
On the supply side, central banks continuing to add gold reserves remains a mid- to long-term underpinning factor for GOLD. According to the World Gold Council, central banks’ net purchase in Q2 2026 was289 tons, a high level. In July as well, central banks’ net purchases amounted to23 tons, with China purchasing 20 tons and Poland 8 tons.
On the other hand, price increases continue to pressure jewelry demand. WGC notes jewelry demand in Q2 2026 fell to278 tons. High prices suppress physical demand while central banks and investors’ demand underpins the market.
In terms of supply, Q2 2026 mine production rose965.6 tons, up 2% year over year, but recycling supply was326.1 tons, down 6% YoY. Total supply was roughly flat YoY. Even at high prices, supply did not expand rapidly, leaving medium- to long-term price support intact.
3. Investment Trends
In investment trends, August saw especially strong inflows into gold ETFs. According to the World Gold Council, August net inflows into gold ETFs worldwide reached$18 billion, the largest monthly inflow on record. Total assets under management for gold ETFs rose by 16% MoM to$6,150 billion, and holdings increased by 121 tons to4,189 tons, a record high.
Regionally, North America and Europe saw notable inflows, with North America at$7.7 billion and the UK at$4.4 billion. In Asia, inflows into gold ETFs expanded, led by China. WGC cites concerns about fiscal and US Treasury markets, currency policy anxiety, and momentum investing driven by rising gold prices as factors fueling inflows.
Furthermore, as of September 11, despite rising rate hike expectations from US inflation data, GOLD still saw dip-buying. Reuters reports demand in India was weak due to price volatility, whileChina shows strong investment demand. In other words, GOLD’s price formation is now significantly influenced not only by jewelry demand but also ETF, investment, and central bank demand.
4. Overall Assessment
This week’s GOLD faced the opposing forces of ongoing rate-rise pressuresand central bank/ETF/investor buying demand. In the short term, moves are easily swayed by US CPI, Fed policy, US 10-year yields, and the dollar, making it risky to chase only upward moves.
In the medium to long term, continued central bank buying, large August ETF inflows, and limited supply growth support GOLD. Therefore, it is important not to judge simply whether GOLD is strong or weak, but to assess by combining factors like interest rates, the dollar, ETF flows, central bank demand, and price ranges.Assessing the combination of interest rates, the dollar, ETF funding, central bank demand, and price range is crucial..
This week’s 5-day ADR was981 pips, presenting a large range where misreading price movement could lead to being whipsawed after entry. Instead of “buy because it’s gone up,” first confirm the achievable price range, then assess strength/weakness and correlations before entering. This order is especially important for high-volatility assets like GOLD.
⑤ SILVER / COPPER Market
SILVER
SILVER rebounded on September 11, rising as much as1.6% to around $64.54, but for the week fell about2.6%. While US CPI-driven rate hike expectations and rising yields weigh on prices, Chinese investment demand provides support. Like GOLD, the direction should be confirmed considering interest rates and the dollar, including industrial demand.
COPPER
COPPER rose in the first half of the week on the LME to over$14,800/ton, then retreated due to tariff uncertainties. As of September 11, around$14,233/ton. While fundamentals like supply constraints remain strong, short-term moves have been volatile due to tariff policies, high interest rates, and slowing economy.
② GOLD STREAM v2 Weekly Trade Verification
Weekly Verification Results
③ GOLD STREAM v2 Delivery History
Weekly Signal Delivery History
④ Weekly Verification AI Evaluation
This time,5-day ADR 981 pips provides a sufficient price range, yet the market direction often reverses mid-way. Therefore, in addition to whether a signal occurred, evaluate win rate, PF, expectancy, and price range efficiency comprehensively.
■ Signal Judgement and Entry Precision
The verification panel recorded5 signals with results3 wins, 2 losses; win rate 60.0%. In this run, all were Sell signals, totaling +589pips, +529pips, +410pips on 3 winning trades, while -300pips occurred twice. Also, two signals were held back due to correlation mismatch.
Total maximum range was+928pips, with an average of+185.6pips. Compared to the 5-day ADR of 981pips, the total maximum range is about94.6%, reflecting a valid capture of range within the week's environment.
Looking at win rate alone as 60.0% suggests that “2 out of 5 were losses,” butPF 2.55 indicates total profits were about 2.55 times total losses, andExp(R)+0.62R shows that even with a 300pips SL, the average expectancy per trade was positive. From both win-rate and risk-reward balance perspectives, the signal accuracy is at a level with a positive edge.
■ Verification Results from Win Rate, PF, Exp(R)
Win rate 60.0% does not imply all signals win. However, with only two losses limited to -300pips each and winning trades at +589pips, +529pips, +410pips, the structure keeps losses within a set range while gains exceed them,keeping losses controlled and wins ahead.
As a result, PF is2.55. This demonstrates a profit-to-loss balance that cannot be explained by a high win rate alone. AlsoExp(R)+0.62R indicates that, considering a 300pips risk per trade, the expected value was positive on average per trade.
However, because the sample size is only 5 signals, it is important to continue weekly verification with the same criteria to confirm that win rate, PF, and Exp(R) remain positive.
■ Strength/Weakness and Correlation Analysis
This week, US CPI, the dollar, and US rates created a direction-challenged environment for GOLD. Therefore, rather than chasing Sell by price alone, it was important to confirm whether strength/weakness and correlation pointed in the same direction.Whether strength and correlation align in the same direction.
On charts, analyzing with Correlation: ON (correlation filter applied) for 5 signals resulted in 3 wins and 2 losses, indicating that direction-detection accuracy remained at a certain level, though reversals occurred during rebound phases. Going forward, it is important to consider both price ranges after signal generation and reversal risk.
■ MAX Pips Scan & Stop-Loss (SL)
This chart usesMODE: Max Pips Scan / Correlation: ON.
The displayed pips indicate the MAX value if price movement after signal generation is fully held. Therefore, +928pips does not equate to actual filled profits.
SL decisions are based on4-hour chart. They are not determined solely by short-term moves on the M15 chart.
■ GOLD Market Difficulty
★★★★☆ 4 / 5
5-day ADR981pips provides ample opportunity for short-term trading. Yet direction wavered due to US CPI, rates, and dollar changes, resulting in 3 wins and 2 losses, indicating a week where simply following one direction was challenging.“There is range, but direction needs to be judged”, so the difficulty is rated 4/5.
■ GOLD STREAM Weekly Trade Verification Evaluation
This time, the results wereWin rate 60.0% • PF 2.55 • Exp(R) +0.62R, indicating a positive risk-reward balance. Notably, three winning trades at +589, +529, +410pips exceeded the two losses of -300pips, showing price range gains exceeded losses.
On the other hand, the sample size is small (5 signals) and the win rate is 60%. Therefore, it is important to continue weekly to see whether PF and Exp(R) can stay positive.
■ AI Comprehensive Commentary
This week’s evaluation is not about simple win rate alone.Even with Win rate 60.0%, PF 2.55 and Exp(R) +0.62R can be measured, showing that it’s not just “how many times you win” but “how you manage win and loss ranges” that yields positive results.
In markets like GOLD where a single move is large, chasing only the direction is insufficient. It is important todefine the target price range, then confirm strength/weakness and correlations before entering.
To reduce the doubt of “where should I enter,” and to calmly judge win rate, PF, and expectancy, use GOLD STREAM v2 as a GOLD trading decision framework that doesn’t rely on guesswork.
Verification data evidence
Are you unsure about GOLD Entry?
“It’s rising, but I don’t know if I should enter now.”
“I can’t determine where to enter.”
“Price movement is too large; entry is scary.”
In markets with large ranges like GOLD, it is essential to have a standard for entering or staying out that combines win rate, PF, expectancy, strength, and correlation rather than relying on feel alone.Confirming win rate, PF, expectancy, strength, and correlation before entering or not entering is key.
GOLD STREAM v2 specializes in GOLD day trading, and helps with entry decisions by checking market strength and correlations.
View GOLD STREAM v2 product page Ask a questionRelated Articles
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- Conclusion: GOLD (XAU/USD) can be traded in domestic FX accounts.
The results and figures shown in this article are reference information based on historical market verification data and do not guarantee future profits or the same trading results.
The pip counts and P&L data shown are based on the maximum range reached after the entry signal (MAX range) and are calculated using fixed stop loss (SL). These represent the MAX range if price movement after the signal is fully held and do not reflect actual filled profits or real trading results.
Actual profits and losses depend on entry and exit timing, spreads, slippage, trading costs, execution environment, position size, take-profit/stop-loss judgments, and market conditions. Also, SL judgments are based on the 4-hour chart, and results may vary with actual trading conditions.
Additionally, differences in trading conditions and price feeds across brokers/exchanges/ trading platforms may cause real prices, pips, P&L, and trade results to differ. Therefore, there may be discrepancies between published data and actual trading performance.
This data is a reference for evaluating the advantage of GOLD STREAM v2 signals and market analysis accuracy. Final investment/trading decisions should be based on your own financial situation, risk tolerance, trading environment, and are your own responsibility.