[New Series: Zone Final Chapter Chapter 9] "If you analyze, you will surely win" - The bondage of the belief that this is guaranteed — Understanding the "illusion of analysis" ??
To you who, across the screen, once again faces the charts seriously today, striving for the future of yourself and your family☕️✨
In the previous Chapter 8, we talked about the limits of technical analysis and the somewhat painful truth that “just because you did a correct analysis doesn’t mean you will win.” You might have shifted in your heart, thinking, “Then what was all that studying for so hard until now?!
In this Chapter 9, we will directly cut through the illusion that underlies that restlessness: the illusion toward analysis ✨
The biggest cause of our trading struggles lies in the beautiful yet terrifying illusion that “if I study more and master analysis, I will absolutely become an invincible trader who never loses.” Why does the more knowledge you stuff in, the less you win? ??
This time as well, to be easily read on a smartphone, we will condense the main points tightly, explain deeply and kindly. Prepare warm tea, and read on with your armor a little lowered ✨

? What is the illusion toward analysis?
We were taught in school and society that “if you investigate the cause and analyze it, you can solve the problem.” Therefore, in the world of trading, we apply the same approach. “If we can perfect technical analysis, we can remove risk and surely win!”
Mark Douglas calls this way of thinking the “illusion of analysis,” and defines it strictly as follows:“Believing something to be true based solely on your imagination, not on facts.”The belief that with proper analysis you can actually remove the risk of losses and surely win arises precisely from this illusion.
When you hold this illusion, you imagine that you “remove gambling elements and bet only on certain price movements.” But nothing could be further from the truth, and believing this will ultimately lead to catastrophic losses.
? Why is it impossible to “certainly win” 100%?
“No, but professionals win certainly with perfect analysis, right?” you might think. Yet the author asserts that “no matter how rational the analysis is, it is 100% impossible to remove loss risk and win certainly.”
Why is it impossible? Because what moves the market are the “infinite unknown variables (other people’s orders).” If you want to “certainly win,” you must know all of the following in advance:Everything in advanceis necessary.