“Even if it may still rise” not to be beaten. Think of Gold Canon: how to create standards for taking profits
■ Have you ever had the experience of not taking profit because you thought “it might go a bit further”?
Many people have felt uncertainty about whether to close the position when profits are running, wondering “should I close here, or wait a little longer?”.
If you take profits early, you feel it could have gone further; if you stick around, you regret “I should have closed then.”
Not only FX beginners, but even those with a certain amount of experience, struggle repeatedly with the timing of profit-taking.
As for stop-loss, people are often told to “set a rule,” but for taking profits there are many who leave it to intuition or the mood of the moment.
■ Common psychology in taking profits when too early or too late
Behind taking profits too early is the feeling of fear that the unrealized gain will decrease.
This is a defensive psychology that wants to hold onto increased unrealized gains and secure them before the numbers in front of you decrease.
Conversely, the background to delaying profit-taking includes the hope that it might still rise, and the fear that closing now would miss an opportunity.
The stronger the unrealized gains, the more likely this “more” sense tends to intensify.
For example, even with similar unrealized gains, there are days when you close early because “it has increased too much and it’s scary,” and other days when you hold on a bit more because “it’s a rare opportunity,” and the approach changes each time.
It’s not that the benchmarks change just because of mood; the troublesome part is that when you can’t explain why you made that judgment, it becomes hard to look back and improve later.
Both psyches influence decisions more than actual price movement.
If you delegate decision-making to emotions, you will end up acting according to different criteria in similar situations, making it harder to steadily accumulate profits.
■ A concept to shift profit-taking from “feeling” to a “system
In response to such concerns, one approach is to decide profit-taking criteria in advance as a “system,” and to avoid deciding by current emotions.
For example, there are several directions to set criteria, such as “by price range,” “by holding time,” or “by reaction of technical indicators.”
There is no single correct method; what matters is whether you can be convinced by your own criteria and carry it out calmly.
Even with criteria in place, there are times when the real market makes you question “is this really right?” When that happens, visualizing the supporting information as numbers or signals can help.
Compared to judging by feel alone, arranging the material and confirming it becomes easier to repeatedly apply the same criteria.
■ Visualizing the decision material
Gold Canon is a system that combines a gold-focused sign tool with a semi-automatic trading tool.
Not only entry points but also exit signals that serve as decision points for settlement are displayed, and performance such as win rate and earned pips and profits can be viewed in a panel format.
This information can be used as reference material for reviewing “what tendencies the current signals had.”
For those who tend to rely on feel for profit-taking, incorporating these displays as one of the decision materials can make it easier to act in accordance with the chosen criteria.
Note that the win-rate and performance shown on the panel reflect past tendencies and do not guarantee future results.
Results vary with market conditions, so please use this as one of your decision-making materials.
■ Three-step method to create profit-taking rules starting tomorrow
When creating your profit-taking criteria, it helps to organize your thoughts in the following order.
First, reflect on what kinds of situations tend to make you feel anxious or indecisive.
Is it when unrealized gains increase, when the position starts to go against you, or the moment unrealized gains exceed a certain amount?
Understanding your own tendencies serves as the foundation for building your criteria.
Next, narrow down the deciding factors to one or two of price range, holding time, or technical reactions.
If you increase the number of factors, you can become more indecisive; keeping it simple is the key.
Finally, consistently apply the decided criteria for a set period.
Don’t judge the quality of the criteria from one or two results; by repeating the same criteria, you can verify whether it suits you.
If it doesn’t feel right, adjust by re-evaluating the criteria themselves rather than returning to intuition—it helps with reflection.
■ Summary
The timing of profit-taking is a common pain point for many FX users.
Rather than relying on intuition alone, visualizing the decision material and setting criteria can help reduce doubt.
Gold Canon displays signs and presents information in a panel; for details, please check theProduct Page. You can confirm it there.