Understand the USD/JPY status as of the 9/5 weekend from the perspective of the 2030 FIFA World Cup final (Japan vs. United States)
Dollar-Yen as of the weekend of 2026/9/5 has been dominated by a downside break of the weekly 50SMA, but when you overlay the offense and defense in the Soccer World Cup matches with forex buy/sell battles, it becomes clear, so in the second half of this piece I will illustrate and discuss the defense and offense in the 2030 Soccer World Cup final (Japan vs. USA).
(The price action is real, but the Soccer World Cup portion is fictional and designed as a story to make the market movements easier to grasp, so please bear with me.)
First, the Forex situation before the World Cup will be roughly explained.
(Since it is complex, if you don’t want to read it, skip to the second half for the soccer discussion)
<From the perspective of yellow⑤400SMA traders>
●Dollar-Yen (USD/JPY) four-hour chart as of the weekend of 9/5, viewed from the perspective of traders using yellow⑤400SMA, the trend is shifting from an uptrend (A→B→C→D) to a downtrend (A→B→) during a trend reversal, buy (long) entry, take profit, price returns to just before point C and margin is back in hand, and now waiting to short again.
Buy near yellow⑤ SMA at point C
Take long at point D after breaking above point B and making a new high
Price returns to point C and margin returns to hand
(The height of the yellow box represents a range that can move up or down
and is at a stage of determining where the margin will end up)
When price returns to near the downward-turning yellow 400SMA,
consider selling (short) with margin on hand
If everyone does the same, AB=CD forms an N-shaped decline
Whether this movement actually occurs is unknown, but if this standard movement happens, a yellow⑤ uptrend line below which a yellow⑤ downtrend forms will complete the up→down trend reversal on yellow⑤.
<From the perspective of black④200SMA traders>
●For traders using black④200SMA, the price moves away from the black200SMA to the highest point A, then breaks below the black200SMA, overshoots and falls to point B, near the downward turning black200SMA, sells (short entry), but would like to break below point B at location to drop further, yet is halted by the green③ uptrend line (return move) and cannot set new lows. However, in the early stage a blue①20SMA and red②50SMA and green③100SMA are forming a B point, so from next week the continuation of STEP3 begins, with the blue①20SMA and red②50SMA and green③100SMA pressing the head down in order, forming an N-shaped wave to push down the black④ lows (whether this is possible is uncertain; some cases may break higher), and move toward STEP4 to breach yellow⑤ lows (black④B point) and then return to STEP5 for the higher yellow⑤ 400SMA trader handoff.
● The black④ downward trend line (return move) supports the yellow⑤ lows, and the green③ downward trend line (return move) supports the black④ lows, but if the blue① and red② and green③ waves push for new lows, the price on the green③ downward trend line (return move) will move lower over time, so even the recent yellow⑤ lows (black④ downward B point) or the yellow⑤ lows at the yellow line could be breached below the edge, and they may be breached from above the green④ downtrend line, and a break to the downside is anticipated
Regarding wave timing, the moment the price returns to blue①20SMA turning downward and starts to fall corresponds to applying a daily bullish candle to the daily candle chart (bullish day) and then falling on the daily candle chart (bearish day), so it is expected to be a one-day wave on the daily chart.
Returning to red②50SMA and then starting to decline when aligned with daily 10SMA and the move to the green③100SMA and then down to the weekly 5SMA is aligned with applying bullish candles then bearish candles on the weekly chart, so this could span one or two weeks
the move to return to yellow⑤ 400SMA for a down turn will correspond to a monthly 5SMA, implying about a one-month price action window.
<To align with the 2030 World Cup Final (Japan vs. USA) >
● First, forex is a global battleground among currencies representing each country, the USD/JPY tug-of-war is a battle between USD (the dollar) and JPY (the yen) this mirrors Japan vs. USA in the World Cup final.
● And the Japanese team in this depiction is fictional we aligned them with moving averages and wave patterns as follows
Blue①20SMA: Aoyama (Blue Island) player
Blue line dribbling is their specialty, having studied dribbling theory in college to develop unstoppable dribbling moves that can be used in practice, and they possess the ability to break through with unstoppable speed
Red②50SMA: Akaboshi player
They excel at coordinated plays with Aoyama, covering the gaps after Aoyama dribbles for a long time, and they are a world-class player whose brain and body respond automatically through extensive practice
Green③100SMA: Midorikawa player
Black④200SMA: Kuroda player
Yellow⑤400SMA: The Golden player
An essential commander with the Eagle Eye ability for the Japanese team. Just as an eagle soaring high sees all players on the ground from above, each player can immediately grasp where they are and where they are heading in real time.
<USA’s ironclad defense (Double Return Move defense system)>
●The USA employs a “Double Return Move Defense System” with two defensive lines near the goal, built with the latest AI and practiced by players until they can concede zero goals in every World Cup match. Even the champion Spanish team this year could not contend.
● Even the champion Spanish team could not beat it.
<Japan’s 5Waves attacking system>
●In soccer individual ability has long been believed to be absolute however
adopting MLB trainer Yada Osamu’s theory but enabling the lines to cooperate so that a single large motion can be produced
● allowed the body to move in a way that transmits force from the ground to the fingertips smoothly
<Daily basic practice (D to pass beyond B to D>
● First, Japan national team players every day.
(From the new head coach, this play is the basis of all team coordination, and not being able to perform it would prevent Japan from winning the next World Cup.)
●D point the goal the position waiting at C may become D for a teammate and all sorts of shapes are repeated daily to imprint on the body.
●But the aim is simply to wait at C and move the ball from B beyond D, so that cooperation among five players accelerates, leading to victories even over previously strong countries.
●By the time the 2030 World Cup final starts, the five-player cooperative 5Waves attacking system will be fully perfected.
●<Kuroda’s comments> Early on I wondered if this basic training had any meaning, but now I can pull the ball to the line till the last 1mm like the long-awaited Mitoma, and link it to goal or teammates naturally. I can anticipate how teammates will move, making five-person coordination easy and making me feel I can beat any powerhouse.
<5Waves attacking system (from the Yellow⑤ Golden playmaker’s perspective)>
● The diagram has not changed much from the forex explanation chart, but please allow me to explain with it anyway (^^
This position far enough above the yellow line to pull the play, with the command center Golden Player imagining the rough ball line A→B→C→D.
Eagle Eye allows us to see the positions of each Japan and USA player, so if Yellow A point crosses red line and kicks the ball, it can reach the upper edges of red Box, green Box, or yellow Box in a straight line, and after that, using drills done daily among Japan players, they would head toward Yellow B without hesitation
This point becomes everyone’s B point, and then青①青島 (Blue Island) tries to break out of the blue line to B, but USA players push back and fail. The spilled ball is then picked up by 赤②赤星 who also fails to exit to B. Here Akaboshi keeps the ball on his line and passes to Green③ Midorikawa. And Midorikawa tries to exit from his line to B but also fails. Then Blue① blue island keeps the spilled ball at blue line and passes to Black④ 200SMA line where Kuroda waits.
Here Kuroda and the Golden Player cross and converse. Then Kuroda who received a pass from blue island imagines Mitoma’s 1mm and shouts “Woah—the 1mm for Kuroda!” and hands the ball to blue island. Then blue island advances the ball to the light blue Box lower edge by himself, and then with Kuroda’s support the ball reaches USA’s green③ trend line (return move) and then the ball stops progressing exactly there.
--- Part to respond to next week’s price action ---
the play of repeatedly capturing C point and moving beyond B to D point is being practiced daily by Blue Island, Akaboshi, and Midorikawa in that order As time passes, the green③ downward trend line (return move) approaches the opponent’s goal, and Kuroda prays that someone crosses the goal line. There are various combinations, but even if blue, red, and green three push, they cannot break the B line and must pass from N-shape B→C to Yellow⑤ waiting Golden Player<STEP4 (Case 2)> Someone breaks Yellow B, but cannot across the goal line, so from Black④’s N-shape at the position forming a new Yellow⑤ low, they pass B→C to the waiting Golden Player > If someone scores and the USA’s Double Return Move defense is breached and a goal is scored When the Golden Player’s ball returns, Blue island will have passed the ball back to Kuroda, creating a Light Blue Box, so if the Golden Player moves from C point beyond B to D point, this time they can break through the USA’s Double Return Move defense and score, a five-person coordinated strategy repeatedly practiced long before the World Cup began so that any team could execute it, and the team anticipated that the Golden Player would do as usual at STEP1.<In closing>● However, as anyone who watched the Soccer World Cup knows, each country fights with all its might to win, and the opposing team will also perform beyond the expected scenarios.●Forex is also a world where currencies of each country are fighting seriously on a global scale, and strategies and offense/defense on the level of the World Cup are happening in real time, making it enjoyable to watch for free every day.● Look at this chart and you may think forex has long been a solo endeavor, with everyone trading as they like, but Japan excels at coordinated teamwork, so rather than individuals trading in isolation, if Japan acts as a single team in coordination, there may be a path to beating the US dollar as well, which I felt while watching this.
There are various combinations, but even if blue, red, and green three push, they cannot break the B line and must pass from N-shape B→C to Yellow⑤ waiting Golden Player
<STEP4 (Case 2)> cannot across the goal line, so from Black④’s N-shape at the position forming a new Yellow⑤ low, they pass B→C to the waiting Golden Player
> If someone scores and the USA’s Double Return Move defense is breached and a goal is scored When the Golden Player’s ball returns, Blue island will have passed the ball back to Kuroda, creating a Light Blue Box, so if the Golden Player moves from C point beyond B to D point, this time they can break through the USA’s Double Return Move defense and score, a five-person coordinated strategy repeatedly practiced long before the World Cup began so that any team could execute it, and the team anticipated that the Golden Player would do as usual at STEP1.<In closing>● However, as anyone who watched the Soccer World Cup knows, each country fights with all its might to win, and the opposing team will also perform beyond the expected scenarios.●Forex is also a world where currencies of each country are fighting seriously on a global scale, and strategies and offense/defense on the level of the World Cup are happening in real time, making it enjoyable to watch for free every day.● Look at this chart and you may think forex has long been a solo endeavor, with everyone trading as they like, but Japan excels at coordinated teamwork, so rather than individuals trading in isolation, if Japan acts as a single team in coordination, there may be a path to beating the US dollar as well, which I felt while watching this. If someone scores and the USA’s Double Return Move defense is breached and a goal is scored
When the Golden Player’s ball returns, Blue island will have passed the ball back to Kuroda, creating a Light Blue Box, so if the Golden Player moves from C point beyond B to D point, this time they can break through the USA’s Double Return Move defense and score, a five-person coordinated strategy repeatedly practiced long before the World Cup began so that any team could execute it, and the team anticipated that the Golden Player would do as usual at STEP1.
<In closing>
● However, as anyone who watched the Soccer World Cup knows, each country fights with all its might to win, the opposing team will also perform beyond the expected scenarios.
●Forex and strategies and offense/defense on the level of the World Cup are happening in real time, making it enjoyable to watch for free every day.
● Look at this chart and you may think forex has long been a solo endeavor, with everyone trading as they like, Japan excels at coordinated teamwork, so rather than individuals trading in isolation, if Japan acts as a single team in coordination, there may be a path to beating the US dollar as well, which I felt while watching this.