September 3, 2026 Edition · Morning Edition】 Launch FX Major 4 Stocks Daily Market Analysis & Trade Scenarios

?️ 【September 3, 2026 issue】 Launch FX Major 4 Tickers Daily Market Analysis & Trade Scenarios

Good morning! This is Launch FX.
This morning a cool breeze feels pleasant, and while on a walk I brewed coffee with my favorite beans to clear my head. A little daily comfort sharpens focus for the morning market analysis, doesn’t it?

Must Read!With tomorrow’s 9/4 (Fri) U.S. jobs report on the horizon, Goldman Sachs (GS) is presenting a 2026 year-end target of “4,900” for GOLD, and major institutional investors are aggressively “hunting liquidity (stop-run).” We have fully decoded the market structure today beyond superficial fixed-line analysis.
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1️⃣ USD/JPY (Dollar/Yen)

Current value: around 158.80 to 159.00 yen

? Market Structure and Large Players’ Target

As our group predicted, once above 160.00 yen, active buying from big players dries up, adjusting cleanly to the mid-158 yen range. Around 158.50 yen (S1) there are buy orders along with short-term long stop (selling liquidity) buildup. Large players tend to sweep these stops briefly before deploying opposing trades when volume surges.

? Strategy and Liquidity Approach

• Daily:Upper rejection around 160 yen followed by a pullback. Draw in the pullback buying zone from S1 (158.50) to S2 (157.80).
• 4-hour:Range fight between 158.50 and 159.80. Avoid standard buy orders and observe the stall of selling pressure at the lower end.
• 1-hour:When 159.20 (R1) is reached after turning from past support to resistance, look for pullback volume to dry up and consider selling into rallies.
• 15-minute:If price breaks below S1 (158.50) without follow-through selling, and the 15-minute candle body immediately reverses into a long lower wick, consider “liquidity recovery long.”
• 5-minute:Watch for the first wave false break around the cash rate (9:55) or London Open (16:00) and ride the direction after the movement proves true.

2️⃣ Nikkei Stock Average (Nikkei 225 Futures)

Current value: around 65,000 to 65,200 yen

? Market Structure and Large Players’ Target

After yesterday’s dip to the 64,800 area, it is consolidating around 65,000. Defending the absolute starting point at 64,500 (S1), overseas big players push prices in thin-order book periods to hunt stops and test autonomous rally liquidity.

? Strategy and Liquidity Approach

• Daily:Establishing footing above the absolute defense line 64,500 (S1). As long as price doesn’t close below, long bias remains.
• 4-hour:Box range 64,800–65,800. Confirm momentum when breaking through R1 (65,300).
• 1-hour:Long entry after breaking through 65,300 with a confirmed support-resistance flip (back-touch).
• 15-minute:If new lows occur and large buy orders appear but price action negates the move, be flexible to reverse quickly.
• 5-minute:During morning volatility, wait and then follow the breakout after 9:30 with five-minute real bodies.

3️⃣ GOLD (Spot Gold / XAUUSD)

Current value: around 4,380.00 to 4,400.00 USD

? Market Structure and Large Players’ Target

Large institutions including GS hold a mid-to-long-term buy posture with a 4,900 target by end-2026, while short-term stop-hunting is frequent. A move that briefly recovers selling stops near 4,380 (S1) and 4,335 (S2) before surging higher is anticipated.

? Strategy and Liquidity Approach

• Daily:4,380–4,335 zone is a strong daily-demand band. Watch for long upper or lower wicks across the area.
• 4-hour:Check for liquidity concentration at the low when tested; wait for the four-hour candle to settle above 4,000.
• 1-hour:Enter long after breaking R1 (4,430) with a back-touch confirming a bullish reversal.
• 15-minute:If S2 (4,335) is broken and the selling momentum fades, detect a false breakout and enter long on a long lower wick (liquidity recovery).
• 5-minute:When volatility jumps, avoid fixed profits and exit mechanically the moment the 5-minute candle breaks and momentum wanes.

4️⃣ Bitcoin (BTC/USD)

Current value: around 77,000 to 77,300 USD

? Market Structure and Large Players’ Target

Long liquidation below 77,000 USD completes, with whale demand absorbing around 76,500–77,000 USD. After liquidation, a bottoming, V-shaped rebound is expected.

? Strategy and Liquidity Approach

• Daily:76,500–75,200 USD is a historically high-volume support. Maintain long bias.
• 4-hour:Check for peak volume during the drop. Wait for price action to settle above 77,000 USD on the 4-hour.
• 1-hour:If price closes above 78,000 on the 1-hour candle, treat as a false move and add long.
• 15-minute:If price makes new lows and oscillators or volume diverge, look for a bullish engulfing candle to long.
• 5-minute:During volatility spikes, avoid fixed take profits; exit mechanically as soon as the 5-minute candle breaks and momentum fades.

【Disclaimer】
This article aims to provide objective analysis and information on charts and market data, and does not constitute a recommendation or advice to engage in any specific buying or selling actions.