The trend is not a trend; the range is not a range
You might think, “I have no idea what that means,” but
this is really what it means
I don’t understand the market, either
Because it isn’t always that way, and there isn’t just one correct answer
If I say it, the market is moving while刻み infinite randomness
So, to extreme degrees, it’s harder than lottery
However, by handling this through a compensation relationship of profits and losses
you generate profits, or rather it’s a technique of outcomes where you keep some even after losses
So,
to say the trend is not a trend
The so-called trend market is spoken of in a very simple way, but
often, that explanation doesn’t include the realities of markets with noise
Moreover, all information is like that
Markets take on “shapes” like patterns, but
they aren’t solely based on those “shapes” — I won’t deny Dow Theory
But if you’re just focused on the market’s shapes
you’ll fail inevitably
In the end, one shape is realized and then it’s proven retroactively
If you don’t trade with that in mind as a supplement, it won’t work
Therefore, the trend is not a trend
It’s not moving according to some standard trend rule
I think there’s a sense that “this is what a trend should be”
But usually, such standard trends are prone to noise
And still, even if you add explanations
it ends up becoming something like trend market theory
and frequent misreads occur in markets that are about to collapse
“Huh? Why did past market analysis predict perfectly, yet it curves so much now?”
that tends to happen; it will come someday, depending on the market
So-called market masters
are those with discretionary skill who can utilize both technicals and fundamentals
Why does that happen
Because the market is alive, and because the market is psychology
“It can’t continue infinitely,
and we don’t know what will happen next,”
that’s the basic idea of the market
Therefore
Trend-forecasting and range-forecasting are
only from a technical perspective
Precisely
A trend is not a trend
A range is not a range
That’s how it ends up
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