[Path to Dreams_FX_Main Currencies_Market Environment Awareness & Memo_20260830]

【Trajectory to Dream_FX_Main Currencies_Market Environment Awareness & Memo_20260830】

August 30, Sunday.

Hello.

In the morning it was raining,
by noon it seems to have shifted to cloudy.

No rain is nice, isn’t it?
Even if it’s cloudy...

Well, last week was month-end, so it didn’t move
and the dollar rose due to remarks by the FRB Chair.

Tomorrow, Monday,
how will it move?
I would like to hold positions after carefully checking the situation.



Now, let’s confirm.
The numbers are at the closing timing of the daily chart.


【EUR/USD】
Monthly candles 20th / 13
Weekly cycle 3, 25th / 6LT or
Weekly cycle 3, 10th / 9
Weekly volatility 109 pips
HPC 1st or 2nd, 48th / 43
4HC, 4th cycle, 70th / 37

As I see it.

It’s the timing for 4HC to close.
There may be a rise for the moment, but
that could be the starting point of the 5th for 4HC.

On Monday, the reversal is likely,
so I want to observe the movement in the European session.

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20260830_FX_Market Environment_Video Explanation
https://youtu.be/RYXERkyGEIs
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【USD/JPY】
Monthly candles 24th
Weekly cycle 3, 31st / 26 or
Weekly cycle 4, 4th / 3
Weekly cycle 4, 17th / 12
Weekly volatility 149 pips
HPC 2nd or Daily chart 1st cycle 20th / 20
4HC 2nd cycle, 42nd / 41

As I see it.

Dollar strength has pushed above 160.0.
It looks upside-biased.

There is a risk of intervention, but
yen selling positions don’t seem to be piling up yet,
so perhaps it will rise slowly as is?
That’s what I think.


【GBP/USD】
Monthly candles 20th / 13
Weekly cycle 3, 22nd / 5LT
Weekly volatility 128 pips
HPC 1st or 2nd, 48th / 43
4HC 4th cycle, 70th / 37

As I see it.

It is the timing for 4HC to close.
Similar to EUR/USD,
there may be a rise for the moment,
but it seems to be switching to the 5th for 4HC.


【EUR/JPY】
Monthly candles 25th / 21
Weekly cycle 4, 29th / 10LT or
Weekly cycle 1 or 5, 4th
Weekly volatility 64 pips
Daily chart 1 or 3 cycles, 20th / 15
4HC 2nd cycle, 45th / 11

As I see it.

With the rise in USD/JPY
and the decline in EUR/USD
it seems to be offsetting on the chart.

It looks like it may move toward the higher volatility side,
so could be pulled by EUR/USD?
That’s what I think.


【GBP/JPY】
Monthly candles 25th / 24
Weekly cycle 4, 28th / 22 or
Weekly cycle 5 or 1, 4th
Weekly volatility 120 pips
Daily chart 1st cycle 20th / 17
4HC 2nd cycle 45th / 24

As I see it.

If daily chart is 1, it would imply RT (Light Translation),
but if weekly cycle is 5,
there could be a rush of bearish candles from the daily chart 1.


【AUD/JPY】
Monthly candles 17th / 15
Weekly cycle 3, 28th / 16 or
Weekly cycle 4, 4th / 4
Weekly volatility 130 pips
Daily chart 1st cycle 20th / 20
4HC 2nd cycle 45th / 43

As I see it.

As a late-trading currency, Monday morning could see
bearish candles as a possibility.

If AUD/USD falls
and is affected,
AUD/JPY may also become bearish.

*****************************
20260830_FX_Market Environment_Video Explanation
https://youtu.be/RYXERkyGEIs
*****************************

  
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DXY 99.677 +0.55%
US10Y 4.73 +1.15%
DJI 53565 USD -9
US500 -0.09%
WTI 84.059 USD
BRN 88.51 USD
Nikkei 225 66405 JPY +273
　
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