Discretionary trading in August earned +1,920,000 yen. Since you might not believe it, I will also show a withdrawal image

Result of August real trading performance.

Moved three accounts, total of **+1,923,165 yen**.

Entered 293 times, and lost 17 times.

I will show the numbers first.

Account ①+533,232 yen (91 trades / win rate 96.7%)
Account ②+443,286 yen (61 trades / win rate 91.8%)
Account ③+946,647 yen (141 trades / win rate 93.6%)

Honestly, if you only saw these numbers, even I would doubt them.

So first, I will answer the most common concern.

Answering the question, "This must be a demo account"

When you achieve this kind of result, there is always one thing said.

"Anyone can make a demo account."

I think that’s true. Screenshots of demo accounts have no evidentiary value at all.

Therefore, I will show withdrawal records.

You cannot withdraw money from a demo account.

That’s all there is to it.

I think skepticism is valid. I believe the person presenting the numbers should also provide proof.

293 trades, not a single special trade

If you look at the breakdown, you’ll understand that what I’m doing is repeating the same thing.

What I’m aiming for is,the overshoot and its return.

When the market has momentum, the price temporarily passes the reference point. It doesn’t stop where it should, it runs a little further.

And the overshoot comes back.

Take only that one move back and drop out.

I don’t try to catch the initial move of a trend. I don’t expect the top or bottom. I don’t hold on hoping for a big surge.

“293 trades” means I repeated this one move back 293 times.

It’s dull, I admit. It really is dull.

But this one move back keeps appearing. Today, it appears; tomorrow, it will appear. That’s why I can accumulate repetitions.

It’s better to take something that comes many times than to chase something that comes only once.

Why overshoot returns

Why does the overshoot return in the first place?

Because there are many buyers and sellers rushing in at the same time.

When a big move occurs, those who missed it rush in. At the same time, those who held the opposite side panic and exit. Opposite orders flood in at once.

Therefore, it goes beyond the point where it should stop.

But that doesn’t last long.

The avalanche of orders finishes once exhausted. Those who rushed in exit with a slight pullback.

When the driving force dissipates, the overshoot returns.

This isn’t market intuition. It’s about the behavior of participants.

So it can happen again and again. Whether your forecast is right is a different dimension.

Profitable both on buys and sells

All three accounts are in profit on both long and short sides.

I think this is more important than the amount.

Because it means you are not fixed to a direction.

If you had been “I’m bearish, so only sell,” this wouldn’t be possible. Sell when it’s dropping, buy when it returns. It becomes this form only when you do both.

I think this is where many people lose money.

Before deciding the overall direction, people can do it. But once they decide, they end up holding positions only in that direction.

Your perspective and the position you take are not the same.

Even if the overall trend is down, if you overshot and then pull back, you buy. That isn’t a contradiction. The time frame is just different.

Even when market direction isn’t decided, it doesn’t matter

In the latter half of this month, there was a period where direction was hard to discern.

It moved up and back, then when it looked like it would break, it was pushed back. In other words, a range.

In such times, some say, "Now is not moving, so rest."

I don’t do that.

Because what I’m aiming for isn’t a big trend.

If it oscillates up and down, there will be situations where overshooting occurs every time it moves. In fact, a range itself is the movement of going and returning.

Even if the overall market direction isn’t decided, what I do doesn’t change.

I don’t change my method to fit the market. I choose scenarios where the method fits.

Summary

・August: total of +1,923,165 yen across 3 accounts, 293 trades, 17 losses
・Not a demo. Withdrawal records were also shown
・No single special trade. Repeatedly did the one overshoot and return 293 times
・Overshoot returns are caused by participant action, so they recur
・Profitable on both buy and sell = not fixed to a direction
・Even in periods when market direction isn’t decided, what you do doesn’t change

I think numbers aren’t as important as the order of events.

Wait. Enter when the pattern appears. Exit at the decided point.

This week, the trades you entered.

Were they ones you “waited to enter” or ones you “entered because it moved”?

I think that’s the turning point.

The standard for deciding whether this is a detectable overshoot has been compiled into teaching materials.

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