24 Days of Live Streaming Results

From the live streams so far, the semi-discretionary EA “Byakko”Starting with 1,000,000 yen and Martingale settingswas operated.

On the 24th day since the live streaming began, I would like to summarize the results here.

From 1,000,000 yen → 1,419,975 yen

Cumulative Profit: +419,975 yen (+42.0%)

Average profit: +17,499 yen per day

Furthermore,

Win rate: 52.0%
PF (Profit Factor): 1.16

This is the result.

For about 24 days, the EA was actually operated, and the results were shared live as this was streamed.

Starting from 1,000,000 yen,+419,975 yen, +42.0%.

It was a result of rapidly growing the funds in a short period.

However, this time,Martingale settingswere used.

Therefore, rather than simply looking at “42% increase in 24 days,” it is important to consider what risks were taken in the process and how those risks were managed.

So, this time, I examined one more thing.

What if it were completely left unattended with no discretion?

In this live stream, the EA was not completely left unattended.

We checked actual market conditions and account capital movements to make risk-averse decisions.

Now, conversely,

“What would have happened if no discretion-based risk management was applied and the EA had been run as is?”

We back-tested the same period.

[Backtest result image here]

The results were,

Initial margin: 1,000,000 yen
Net profit: +601,230 yen (+60.1%)
PF: 2.20
Win rate: 63.16%
Maximum drawdown: 10.74%
Total trades: 57

was obtained.

If only results matter, the “completely left unattended” approach would have been better

In live operation, the result was

+419,975 yen (+42.0%)

Meanwhile, the backtest with no discretion and just running as is showed

+601,230 yen (+60.1%)

.

The difference is181,255 yen.

If you only look at the results within this period,it would have been more profitable to just leave it to the EA and do nothing.

This was a very interesting result.

Nevertheless, in actual operation we prioritize risk management

So, was using discretion a failure?

I think not in this case.

In backtests, the results have already been determined including subsequent price movements.

However, in actual live operation,

“Where will this losing streak end?”

“Will the market recover from here?”

“Will it move against us further?”

At that point, no one knows.

In particular, what was used this time wasMartingale settings.

Martingale increases position size after a losing streak, and if it works well, funds can grow significantly; but if the losing streak continues, the risk also grows.

Therefore, in this live stream, the priority was to suppress risk according to the situation rather than chase maximum profit.

“If we had done nothing, it would have been +60.1%”

this backtest result was obtained.

However, that is something you can only know after the fact.

In actual operation, not only is profit growth important,

but also how far to take on risk.

Where to reduce risk once.

And how to protect the increased capital.

All of this must be considered.

I believe this live stream clearly showed the difference.

And next, starting from “10,000 yen”

This live stream, which started with 1,000,000 yen, reaches a conclusion here.

Next, we will start a completely different challenge.

“From 10,000 yen, how far can we grow?”

Next timeSmall-scale operation from 10,000 yenwill be

We will actually operate this 10,000 yen and trade to see how far we can grow it.

Of course, this time too, results will not just be published afterwards.

We will actually stream live the moments when the EA is running.

Since the capital is completely different from the 1,000,000 yen operation, of course, capital management and risk-taking will also differ.

Because it is a small amount of capital, I would like you to observe how it is operated.

And,

Will 10,000 yen become 20,000 yen?

Can it reach 50,000 yen?

Can it reach 100,000 yen and beyond?

This time as well, we will reveal the actual results without hiding them, and continue the live streaming.

Next time, the “From 10,000 Yen Challenge” starts.