[9 o'clock Day Trade: FX Answer Reached Through 10 Years of Verification] What truly matters is the "timing of entry"
Good morning. I’m An-chan?
Continuing from last time, this time we’ll discuss “the timing of entry.”
What is truly important is the “timing of entry.”
Last time, I talked about “why you can’t win even with a trend-following approach.”
Even if the market direction aligns, that alone doesn’t guarantee a win.
Because you bought during an uptrend.
But as soon as you bought, it fell, and you cut your loss.
And after you cut the loss, it rises as if nothing happened.
Haven’t you had experiences like this?
I have experienced it many times.
And for a long time,
“The direction was right, so why did I lose?”
I’ve pondered over this.
And I’ve realized something.
What’s important is,
“It’s not just whether it’s up or down.”
“If the moment of entry isn’t correct, the trade won’t be valid.”
That’s what it means.
There is a time in the market when you must not enter
Even in the same uptrend, it doesn’t mean you’ll get the same result no matter where you buy.
There are places where you gain profit immediately after entering, and places where it drops significantly first and then rises.
If you enter from a worse location, even though the direction is correct, you may end up with a loss.
That’s why I
don’t enter just by confirming the direction.
I wait until another condition is met.
That is
the timing of entry.
What I have used for years
To determine that timing, I stillCCI and EMAare used.
This isn’t a claim that “this indicator guarantees you’ll win.”
What matters is
what you use it to observe.
Here it is.
I look only at candlesticks,
and I don’t want to invest funds based solely on the feeling of
“it’s about to rise soon.”
“It’s going to drop from here.”I don’t want to invest money based on such sensations.
Trading isa job that makes money by spending money.
If you make a wrong judgment once, you will pay real money for that mistake.
That’s why I visualize as much of the decision-making as possible, and I strive to make decisions using the same criteria every time.
What I sought was “reproducibility”
It’s meaningless to win just by chance once.
The decision you made today should be possible tomorrow.
Next month as well.
Next year as well.
Under the same conditions, you should be able to make the same decision.
That’s what I’ve been focused on.
And through years of backtesting,
“Direction and entry timing must be considered separately.”
That is the conclusion I reached.
Direction is correct.
Furthermore, the timing of entry is also correct.
I consider entering only when these two come together.
Specifically, what I look at in the CCI and EMA to determine that timing.
This is an important part of the trading method I currently use.
In my free blog, first I will write in order about the premise “why timing is necessary”.
Well then, everyone, farewell ( `ー´)ノ
That is all