[Learn from Atsuhiko Nakata's video] What Was Hidden Behind the USD/JPY Intervention! The "Strongest Trading Philosophy" that Prevents Turning Markets into a Casino ??
Hello, this is oukanoakari (All‑Round) ✨☕️ Thank you for always reading?
Today I watched Akio Nakata’s YouTube video “[USD-JPY FX Intervention] Why did the United States move?” and I thought, “Ah, this is the very truth of personal FX trading…!”, and the thoughts and trading philosophy I have valued for a long time are beautifully verbalized, so please allow me to share this with you ✨
Among those who are working hard in FX, isn't there someone who has this kind of worry?
“I can’t escape the endless Holy Grail search loop…” “I can’t cut losses and end up praying trades….” “I can’t wait and I end up over-positions…”
Yeah, I get it. Painfully, I understand it well.
Actually, I myself have a tendency toward “perfectionism.” Because I tried to read the market’s moves perfectly, I sometimes thought, “It must rebound here…!” which delayed my stop losses and led to bitter experiences of big losses in the past ????
But from there I crawled up, developed an overwhelming waiting power, and now calmly monitor 29 currency pairs (28 currencies + gold) and have achieved the Fintokei’s three crowns by accepting there is an absolute rule of the market ✨
Today I will blend the wisdom visible from the backstory of national‑level currency interventions with FX to talk a lot about the essence of how to survive in the market?
【The market is honest. Praying won’t change the trend】
One of the first insights from Nakata’s video is that “the market reacts extremely honestly to fundamentals (the underlying economy and interest rate differentials).”
No matter how much the government says “yen depreciation is a problem!” in words, the market looks at the facts—there’s still an overwhelming interest rate differential—and sets prices accordingly in a merciless way
Doesn’t this apply incredibly well to personal FX trading?
“Today I must win for sure!” “If it doesn’t rise here, I’m in trouble!” … Our personal emotions and prayers are not considered by the market even a millimeter (In my old days I prayed a lot… lol)
If the market is honest to facts, we traders must also be honest with the market. The reason I can “overwhelmingly wait” on a 4-hour basis in day trading now is that I deeply understand this fact to the bone ????
Rather than trying to move things as I wish, “wait relentlessly until the perfect market form comes.” This is a weapon more powerful than any method, isn’t it? ????✨
【The terrifying trap of superficial interventions (delayed stop losses)】
The second wisdom is that “superficial interventions are just a way to buy time.”
In the video, there was a story that Japan alone injected about 11 trillion yen, yet within just two months the yen’s depreciation level returned to where it was. Even though the fundamental trend hadn’t changed, trying to force a counter-move was useless.
Hearing this, I remembered my past self and was struck with realization
“Oh no, it reversed… but my perfectionist self doesn’t want to admit defeat!” That’s when I delayed stop losses and made irrational dollar-averaging trades.
This is exactly personal FX “intervention (time buying)”, isn’t it?
Even if the temporary floating loss looks reduced, if you fight against the fundamental trend, eventually you’ll be swallowed by a huge wave and your funds will be blown away
I, who used to be perfectionistic and slow to cut losses, learned painfully the importance of “admitting my mistakes and cutting quickly.” Superficial time-buying will inevitably collapse someday
【The power of overall perspective that sees the forest, not just the trees】
The last wisdom is “to look at the overall structure, not just surface phenomena” ✨
This recent US coordinated intervention seems at first glance like “Giant (America) saved Little (Japan),” but behind the scenes there were detailed calculations to protect US Treasuries and to prevent domestic inflation (including actions like selling euros) ????
In FX too, simply staring at dollar-yen won’t reveal the real money flows
When I do day trading, I arrived at a style of “monitoring 29 assets in total (28 currencies + gold)” precisely to achieve this broad, holistic view ????✨
The strength of the USD, the euro’s trend, the yen’s weakness… Only by looking at the whole picture can we see which currency pairs are currently the most honest to the trend and truly worth fighting with
Instead of clinging to a single currency pair and forcing trades, keep a broad perspective and fight only in the most advantageous place (pairs with clear strength/weakness)
This is the greatest secret that dramatically raises trading win rates ✨
【Don’t turn the market into a casino. I want to be an honest trader】
How was it? ☺️ The movements and wisdom of the national economy actually connect directly to the personal FX trading philosophy, doesn’t it ✨
The reason I’m sharing this today is because I sincerely wish to “not turn the market into a casino, and to increase honest traders”
FX is a place where money goes up and down with just one button, and it brutally exposes human desires and the ego of perfection-seekers
I, too, have failed in the past by refusing to admit losses and by time-buying with superficial averaging. I still face my weaknesses every day
But that’s why I want to be honest with the market ✨ Not chasing a get-rich-quick gamble, but accepting the market’s truth, surveying the whole, and waiting calmly for my rules to come as a place for personal growth, enjoying FX
Being clumsy is okay. It’s okay to fail. If I can be a bit more patient than yesterday and honestly cut losses, that would be a great success ✨
Thank you very much for reading to the end?
After reading today’s article, if you thought, “I kind of like oukanoakari’s way of thinking,” or “I also want to face the market honestly without turning it into a casino,” please also take a look at my other activities and the important thoughts I cherish ☺️✨
Together, let’s build a strong self that won’t wobble in any market ????
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Now then, let’s trade calmly again today, and enjoy waiting without rushing ☕️✨ See you!