【Day 15 +68.0%】Cumulative profit +680,000 yen｜PF1.77 · Win rate 56.5% and operation continues

Performance of the semi-discretionary EA “White Tiger.”

Since the start of operation15th dayhas been reached.

The current results are here.

■ Performance on the 15th day

・Balance:1,680,027 yen
・Cumulative profit:+680,027 yen
・Cumulative profit rate:+68.0%
・Average profit:+45,335 yen/day
・Win rate:56.5%
・PF:1.77
・Number of trades counted:46 trades

In 15 days, from a principal of 1,000,000 yenincreased to 1,680,000 yen.

Cumulative profit has surpassed +680,000 yen.

What stands out this time is not just the amount of profit, butthe fact that it has reached with a win rate of 56.5% and PF 1.77as the basis for income growth.

White Tiger is built on RR 1:1, so exceeding 50% win rate helps accumulate profits more readily.

Last week’s trading history

Not only win rate but PF is 1.77

When evaluating EA results, one tends to look at win rate alone, but personallyPF (Profit Factor) is also importantto consider.

This time’s results are

Win rate 56.5%
PF 1.77
Cumulative +68.0%

This is the outcome.

Although it is still a short-term result with 46 trades, we are able to continue operating while increasing profits.

Of course, it is not assumed that it will rise in a straight line.

White Tiger is an EA that builds profits by alternating wins and losses, so there will naturally be periods of drawdown or times when profits shrink.

That is why, not only good results,we will continue to publish even the drawdown periods.

Deciding “attack” and “defense” based on the probability of consecutive losses

Even if the win rate falls to 50%,

assuming win rate is 50% (loss probability 50%) and each trade is independent, the probability of consecutive losses from a certain point is

2 consecutive losses: 25.0%
3 consecutive losses: 12.5%
4 consecutive losses: 6.25%
5 consecutive losses: 3.13%
6 consecutive losses: 1.56%

would be the result.

In other words,it is reasonable to expect 2–4 consecutive losses at times.

And White Tiger can be structured with this “probability of consecutive losses” in mind.

For example, if defense is prioritized,operate with initial lot and capital that can withstand 6,7,8 consecutive losses.

This way, even if 3 or 4 consecutive losses occur mid-way, you can continue operating within the originally anticipated range.

On the other hand, if you want to be more aggressive, the approach changes.

For example, you can adopt a mindset of “betting on the possibility of not losing until the principal is recovered 100% or more,” raise the initial lot to speed up profit recovery.

Of course, this does not mean that a 5–6 consecutive losses will not occur.

They could occur. Therefore, think about how much profit you can recover before that and act accordingly.

And after profits accumulate sufficiently, reduce lot size or use a setting to revert to the initial lot after 3–4 losses, gradually shifting to defense.

I also think this is one of White Tiger’s operating methods.

In short,

instead of seeking an “unloseable” configuration, decide how much risk to take by monitoring consecutive loss probability and your own margin.

If you want to defendfunds and lots that can withstand 6 consecutive lossesto operate.

If you aim to recoup the principal quickly,take on a certain level of risk to prioritize profit recovery, then reduce risk after recovery.

Because White Tiger allows parameter adjustments, the ability to alternate between these “attack periods” and “defense periods”

is one of the interesting aspects you can manage yourself.

※Consecutive-loss probability is a simple calculation assuming independent trades and a fixed win rate of 50%. Also, “the probability of losing six times in 46 trades” and “the probability of losing six times in a row from some point” are different.

68,000 yen gain in 15 days, what now

Currently,

100,0000 yen → 1,680,027 yen

Operation on the 15th day +680,027 yen (+68.0%).

On average+45,335 yen per day.

However, this “average per day” does not mean it will be consistently obtained every day.

Some days you win, some days you lose, resulting in this current figure.

Instead of judging by short-term results alone,consider how PF and win rate will change after 50 or 100 more trades.

We will continue to monitor this.

White Tiger is currently,live in real-time operation.

You can see actual entries, drawdowns, and profit fluctuations that numbers alone do not convey.

We will continue to publish operation results periodically.

I’ve finally learned how to archive, so I think I can keep it from next week.

Current operation results

Operational on the 15th day

Cumulative profit +680,027 yen
Profit rate +68.0%
Win rate 56.5%
PF 1.77
Trades 46

※The results published are performance for a specific period and do not guarantee future profits. Results will vary depending on market conditions, settings, and trading environment.