【Day 15 +68.0%】Cumulative profit +680,000 yen｜PF1.77・Win rate 56.5% ongoing

Performance of the semi-limited EA "White Tiger".

Since the start of operation15th dayhas arrived.

Current results are here.

■ 15th day performance

・Balance：1,680,027 JPY
・Cumulative profit：+680,027 JPY
・Cumulative profit rate：+68.0%
・Average profit：+45,335 JPY/day
・Win rate：56.5%
・PF：1.77
・Total trades：46 trades

In 15 days, from a principal of 1,000,000 yen to1,680,000 yen.

Cumulative profit has surpassed +680,000 yen.

What I want to highlight this time is not just the profit amount, butthe fact that profits have grown with a win rate of 56.5% and a PF of 1.77.

White Tiger is designed around a RR of 1:1, so as long as the win rate clearly exceeds 50%, profits accumulate more easily.

This week's trading history

Win rate is not the only factor; PF is 1.77 as well

When looking at EA results, people tend to focus on win rate, but personallyI consider PF (Profit Factor) to be importantas well.

This result is

Win rate 56.5%
PF 1.77
Cumulative +68.0%

.

Although 46 trades is still a short period, we have been able to continue operating while increasing profits.

Of course, we do not expect it to rise in a straight line from here.

White Tiger is an EA that builds profits through alternating wins and losses, so there will naturally be periods of consecutive losses or periods where profits decrease in the future.

That is why, not only good results but alsowe will continue to publish even drawdown periods.

Deciding "attack" and "defense" by considering the odds of a losing streak

Even if win rate drops to 50%, losing streaks happen normally.

Assuming win rate 50% (loss probability 50%) and that each trade is independent, the probability of a consecutive losing streak from some point is

2 consecutive losses: 25.0%
3 consecutive losses: 12.5%
4 consecutive losses: 6.25%
5 consecutive losses: 3.13%
6 consecutive losses: 1.56%

becomes.

In other words,2–4 consecutive losses are quite possible and something to plan for.

And White Tiger allows you to structure the operation with awareness of this “probability of consecutive losses.”

For example, if you want to be very defense-minded,operate with initial lot size and capital that can endure 6,7,8 consecutive losses.

With this setup, even if a 3- or 4-consecutive loss occurs, you can continue operating within the range you anticipated from the start.

On the other hand, if you want to push a bit more, the approach changes.

For instance, you can choose to “bet on not encountering a large 5–6 loss streak before recovering the principal to 100%,” raise the initial lot size, and prioritize profit recovery speed.

Of course, this does not mean that 5–6 consecutive losses will not occur.

They may occur. Therefore, think about how much profit you can recover beforehand and act accordingly.

And once profits have accumulated sufficiently, reduce the lot size or set a rule to return to the initial lot after 3–4 consecutive losses, gradually shifting to defense.

I also consider this one of White Tiger's operation methods.

In short,

instead of seeking a setting that guarantees no losses, decide how much risk to take by looking at the probability of losing streaks and your own margin.

If you want to protect yourselfuse funds and lot sizes that can withstand 6 consecutive lossesto operate.

If you aim to recover the principal in a short period,take a certain amount of risk to prioritize profit recovery, and reduce the risk after recovery.

White Tiger can adjust parameters, so I think one of the interesting aspects is that you can think about and operate in this kind of "attack period" and "defense period" yourself.

※The probability of losing streaks is a simple calculation assuming each trade is independent and win rate is 50%. Also, the probability of losing six times in a row at any point vs. losing six times in a row starting from a specific point are different.

+68,000 yen in 15 days: what will happen from here

Currently,

1,000,000 yen → 1,680,027 yen

On the 15th day of operation, +680,027 yen (+68.0%).

On average+45,335 yen per day.

However, this "average per day" does not mean it will be consistently earned every day.

Some days you win, some days you lose, resulting in this current figure.

Rather than judging by short-term results alone,I want to continue monitoring how PF and win rate change over the next 50, 100 trades, etc.

I will keep pursuing this.

Currently, White Tiger isdelivering live operation statusin real time.

You can check actual entries, drawdowns, and profit fluctuations that you can't understand just from numbers.

We will continue to publicly share operation results regularly.

I also finally learned how to archive, so I think I can keep archives from next week.

Current operation results

Operating: 15 days

Cumulative profit: +680,027 yen
Profit rate: +68.0%
Win rate: 56.5%
PF: 1.77
Trades: 46

※The results published are from a specific period of operation and do not guarantee future profits. Results vary depending on market conditions, settings, trading environment, etc.