[Dream Trajectory FX Major Currencies Market Environment Awareness and Memo 20260802]
【Dream Path to FX: Major Currencies - Market Environment Awareness & Memo 20260802】
August 2nd, Sunday.
Hello.
It will be a hot Sunday.
From the evening, rain is forecast in the South Kanto area,
so it feels like we might escape the heatwave.
Take care of your health
and let's get through the夏.
Now, from around Thursday 22:00, Japan's FX intervention
and the US rate checks were conducted simultaneously,
and on Friday USD/JPY interventions were conducted in Japan,
EUR/JPY interventions in the US,
were carried out.
The rate checks from the US Federal Reserve Bank of New York are also involved.
USD/JPY formed a large bearish candlestick
and closed below the daily EMA200.
From now on, it does not seem that
it will rise smoothly.
In the day-trade, we should consider selling on rallies.
Well, let's confirm.
The counts are based on the daily close timing.
【EUR/USD】
Monthly: 19th bar / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 21st bar / 6LT
Weekly volatility: 190 pips
HPC: 2nd cycle, 28th bar / 28
4HC: 3rd cycle, 21st bar / 21
as understood.
Daily EMA200 is seen as a key level.
The daily chart for the 31st shows a long upper and lower wick
(doji),
and it leaves a strong impression of being stopped at EMA200.
After all, when viewed as a major currency pair,
it is difficult to break away from a bearish bias.
This is the perception.
*****************************
20260802_FX_Market Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/8ObqlzqiDK4
*****************************
【USD/JPY】
Monthly: 23rd bar
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 27th bar / 26 or
Weekly: 4th cycle, 13th bar / 12
Weekly volatility: 639 pips
HPC: 2nd or HPC1, 63rd bar / 57
4HC: 5th cycle, 46th bar / 9LT
as understood.
Daily close around 157.3,
and with consecutive interventions,
it has broken below the daily EMA200.
In this situation, there are likely few large investors buying/going long.
Again, the bearish bias is preferred.
【GBP/USD】
Monthly: 19th bar / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 18th bar / 5LT
Weekly volatility: 219 pips
HPC: 2nd cycle, 28th bar / 16
4HC: 3rd cycle, 21st bar / 21
as understood.
FOMC kept rates steady, which seems to be influencing it.
If rate hikes are expected in September in the future,
that period would likely see dollar strength.
【EUR/JPY】
Monthly: 24th bar / 21
Weekly: 4th cycle, 25th bar / 10
Weekly volatility: 557 pips
Daily: 3rd cycle, 28th bar / 26LT
4HC: 2nd cycle, 55th bar / 43LT
as understood.
EUR/JPY is the product of USD/JPY and EUR/USD.
EUR/USD rose, but
the daily EMA200 holds strongly,
USD/JPY rose above EMA200 after several interventions.
Both are bearish on the downside,
and the dollar and yen strength indicate a significant cross-yen decline.
【GBP/JPY】
Monthly: 24th bar / 21
Weekly: 4th cycle, 24th bar / 22
Weekly volatility: 634 pips
Daily: 3rd cycle, 31st bar / 19
4HC: 3rd cycle, 8th bar / 4 or
4HC: 3rd cycle, 17th bar / 8
as understood.
GBP/USD is influenced, but
the impact of USD/JPY seems stronger.
In the future, if GBP/USD also falls,
overlapping with USD/JPY decline,
a large bearish candlestick could form.
We should continue with a bearish bias.
【AUD/JPY】
Monthly: 16th bar / 15
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 24th bar / 16
Weekly volatility: 375 pips
Daily: 3rd cycle, 22nd bar / 18
4HC: 3rd cycle, 8th bar / 5 or
4HC: 3rd cycle, 17th bar / 5
as understood.
It has been greatly influenced by USD/JPY.
If US stock market declines in the future,
AUD/USD falls,
and its decline coincides with USD/JPY,
a synergistic effect will emerge.
Cross-yen remains bearish.
*****************************
20260802_FX_Market Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/8ObqlzqiDK4
*****************************
*****************************
DXY 99.802 -0.16%
US10Y 4.718 +0.96%
DJI 52,490 USD +277
US500 +0.42%
WTI 86.534 USD
BRN 87.93 USD
Nikkei 225 64,361 yen +2,494
****************************
Let us learn together.
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/70675
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/30872
【Iroha-Go Good (168) _2】
Registration URL：
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/rooms/33239
Noubitorei
August 2nd, Sunday.
Hello.
It will be a hot Sunday.
From the evening, rain is forecast in the South Kanto area,
so it feels like we might escape the heatwave.
Take care of your health
and let's get through the夏.
Now, from around Thursday 22:00, Japan's FX intervention
and the US rate checks were conducted simultaneously,
and on Friday USD/JPY interventions were conducted in Japan,
EUR/JPY interventions in the US,
were carried out.
The rate checks from the US Federal Reserve Bank of New York are also involved.
USD/JPY formed a large bearish candlestick
and closed below the daily EMA200.
From now on, it does not seem that
it will rise smoothly.
In the day-trade, we should consider selling on rallies.
Well, let's confirm.
The counts are based on the daily close timing.
【EUR/USD】
Monthly: 19th bar / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 21st bar / 6LT
Weekly volatility: 190 pips
HPC: 2nd cycle, 28th bar / 28
4HC: 3rd cycle, 21st bar / 21
as understood.
Daily EMA200 is seen as a key level.
The daily chart for the 31st shows a long upper and lower wick
(doji),
and it leaves a strong impression of being stopped at EMA200.
After all, when viewed as a major currency pair,
it is difficult to break away from a bearish bias.
This is the perception.
*****************************
20260802_FX_Market Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/8ObqlzqiDK4
*****************************
【USD/JPY】
Monthly: 23rd bar
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 27th bar / 26 or
Weekly: 4th cycle, 13th bar / 12
Weekly volatility: 639 pips
HPC: 2nd or HPC1, 63rd bar / 57
4HC: 5th cycle, 46th bar / 9LT
as understood.
Daily close around 157.3,
and with consecutive interventions,
it has broken below the daily EMA200.
In this situation, there are likely few large investors buying/going long.
Again, the bearish bias is preferred.
【GBP/USD】
Monthly: 19th bar / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 18th bar / 5LT
Weekly volatility: 219 pips
HPC: 2nd cycle, 28th bar / 16
4HC: 3rd cycle, 21st bar / 21
as understood.
FOMC kept rates steady, which seems to be influencing it.
If rate hikes are expected in September in the future,
that period would likely see dollar strength.
【EUR/JPY】
Monthly: 24th bar / 21
Weekly: 4th cycle, 25th bar / 10
Weekly volatility: 557 pips
Daily: 3rd cycle, 28th bar / 26LT
4HC: 2nd cycle, 55th bar / 43LT
as understood.
EUR/JPY is the product of USD/JPY and EUR/USD.
EUR/USD rose, but
the daily EMA200 holds strongly,
USD/JPY rose above EMA200 after several interventions.
Both are bearish on the downside,
and the dollar and yen strength indicate a significant cross-yen decline.
【GBP/JPY】
Monthly: 24th bar / 21
Weekly: 4th cycle, 24th bar / 22
Weekly volatility: 634 pips
Daily: 3rd cycle, 31st bar / 19
4HC: 3rd cycle, 8th bar / 4 or
4HC: 3rd cycle, 17th bar / 8
as understood.
GBP/USD is influenced, but
the impact of USD/JPY seems stronger.
In the future, if GBP/USD also falls,
overlapping with USD/JPY decline,
a large bearish candlestick could form.
We should continue with a bearish bias.
【AUD/JPY】
Monthly: 16th bar / 15
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 24th bar / 16
Weekly volatility: 375 pips
Daily: 3rd cycle, 22nd bar / 18
4HC: 3rd cycle, 8th bar / 5 or
4HC: 3rd cycle, 17th bar / 5
as understood.
It has been greatly influenced by USD/JPY.
If US stock market declines in the future,
AUD/USD falls,
and its decline coincides with USD/JPY,
a synergistic effect will emerge.
Cross-yen remains bearish.
*****************************
20260802_FX_Market Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/8ObqlzqiDK4
*****************************
*****************************
DXY 99.802 -0.16%
US10Y 4.718 +0.96%
DJI 52,490 USD +277
US500 +0.42%
WTI 86.534 USD
BRN 87.93 USD
Nikkei 225 64,361 yen +2,494
****************************
Let us learn together.
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/70675
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/30872
【Iroha-Go Good (168) _2】
Registration URL：
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/rooms/33239
Noubitorei