Aren't you just watching the USD/JPY? The real trend of the market told by the "U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)"
Aren't you just watching USD/JPY? The real market trend revealed by the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)
In the FX market,
you may see headlines like “The Dollar Index (DXY) is rising.”
“A broad-based dollar strength is developing.”
However,
“What is the Dollar Index?”
“How is it different from USD/JPY?”
Have you ever wondered?
In fact, when分析ing USD/JPY, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) provides very important clues.
The U.S. Dollar Index shows how strong the U.S. dollar is against major currencies around the world.
The comparison targets are major currencies such as the euro, yen, pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc.
In other words, it is not only USD/JPY but a numerical representation of “the dollar’s strength from a global perspective.”
For example, even when USD/JPY is rising, there are two possible reasons.
One is that the dollar is being bought worldwide.
The other is that the Japanese yen is weakening alone.
You cannot determine this difference from the USD/JPY chart alone.
However, if the DXY is also rising at the same time, the likelihood increases that “the dollar itself is strong.”
On the other hand, if USD/JPY is rising but DXY is falling, it can be seen as “only the yen being sold in particular.”
In other words, looking at the DXY makes the background of USD/JPY price moves clearer.
In the current market, factors such as the FED’s monetary policy, U.S. economic indicators, and inflation have a significant impact on the dollar index.
Market participants trade while watching not only USD/JPY but also DXY movements.
Because, depending on whether the dollar is being bought globally or only a specific currency is being sold, market outlook can change significantly.
Also, the Dollar Index has a deep relationship with commodity markets such as gold and oil.
Generally, when the Dollar Index rises, gold and oil traded in dollars tend to fall.
Conversely, when the Dollar Index falls, these commodities may be bought more easily.
Thus, even looking at a single indicator can make the overall market trend easier to understand.
In fundamental analysis, it is important not to focus only on USD/JPY, but also to pay attention to the strength of the “dollar itself.”
Widening your perspective slightly makes the meaning of news and the market background surprisingly easier to understand.
In the future, when looking at the USD/JPY market, please also check the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY).
That single habit will become a powerful tool to improve the accuracy of market analysis.
Today, investors around the world are predicting the next market by evaluating not only USD/JPY but also the strength of the dollar itself.
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