[Path to Dream_FX_Main Currencies_Market Environment Awareness & Memo_20260712]
【Dream Path to FX_FX Major Currencies Market Environment Awareness & Memo 20260712】
Sunday, July 12.
Hello.
It’s cloudy in the southern Kanto region.
Looks like rain from the evening.
This week in Kanto it seems
far from the rainy season ending.
Now, on the charts
I think positions before the CPI may be being adjusted?
That’s my thought.
There is an abrupt rise in the yen
and the cross-yen pairs form bearish candles on the daily chart on Friday.
The outlook from here is something to look forward to.
Now, let’s verify.
The figures are at the timing when the daily close occurs.
【EUR/USD】
Monthly: 19th candle / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle 18th candle / 6LT
Weekly volatility: 69 pips
HPC (Half Primary Cycle) 2nd cycle: 13th candle / 7
4HC 2nd cycle: 14th candle / 10
I interpret it as.
The rise may be ending in the HPC 2
as viewed from this perspective.
Ultimately it becomes the leading currency,
meaning the US dollar remains strong.
Technically, for the daily candle to close in a direction,
it’s still early,
but the downside bias is strong.
****************************
20260712_FX_Market Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/Njmf9plXTBQ
*****************************
【USD/JPY】
Monthly: 23rd candle
Weekly: 3rd cycle 24th candle / 23 or
Weekly: 4th cycle 10th candle / 9
Weekly volatility: 144 pips
HPC 2nd or HPC 1 48th candle / 41
4HC 4th cycle 34th candle / 21
I interpret it as.
Since we are in the latter half of HPC 2,
the daily trend line may descend further?
I see it that way.
If the dollar is bought and
USD/JPY does not move,
a strong dollar and strong yen would occur
and cross-yen would be biased to the downside.
【GBP/USD】
Monthly: 19th candle / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle 15th candle / 5LT
Weekly volatility: 129 pips
HPC 2nd cycle: 13th candle / 13
4HC 2nd cycle: 16th candle / 12
I interpret it as.
This currency pair leaves a strong impression of having risen.
The daily chart is bearish,
so we can expect a rush of bearish candles from here.
【EUR/JPY】
Monthly: 24th candle / 21
Weekly: 4th cycle 22nd candle / 10
Weekly volatility: 137 pips
HPC 2nd cycle: 48th candle / 30
4HC 4th cycle: 75th candle / 26
I interpret it as.
From the 4-hour chart, it seems to be inside a box.
Even if USD/JPY does not move,
if EUR/USD moves lower,
EUR/JPY will draw bearish candles.
It seems likely to break below 183.
【GBP/JPY】
Monthly: 24th candle / 21
Weekly: 4th cycle 21st candle / 11
Weekly volatility: 278 pips
HPC 2nd: 52nd candle / 51 or
Daily: 3rd cycle 16th candle / 15
4HC 2nd or 5th cycle 19th candle / 10
I interpret it as.
It has become a currency pair with high weekly volatility.
The rise in GBP/USD seems to have influenced.
If the daily top is confirmed,
the subsequent move to the downside will follow.
【AUD/JPY】
Monthly: 16th candle / 15
Weekly: 3rd cycle 21st candle / 16
Weekly volatility: 93 pips
HPC 2nd cycle: 52nd candle / 24LT
4HC 4th cycle: 40th candle / 16
I interpret it as.
The latter half of HPC 2.
Big moves wouldn’t be surprising.
If Tuesday’s CPI shows AUD/USD declines,
there could be a large bearish candle?
That’s what I’m thinking.
****************************
20260712_FX_Market Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/Njmf9plXTBQ
*****************************
*****************************
DXY 100.965 +0.03%
US10Y 4.561 +0.26%
DJI 52642 dollars +150
US500 +0.55%
WTI 70.975 dollars
BRN 76.01 dollars
Nikkei 225 68,557 yen +813
****************************
Let’s learn together.
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/70675
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/30872
【I-ro-ha-gumi (168)_2】
Registration URL：
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/rooms/33239
Noubitorei
