As a translator, I should return the content with the HTML intact but translated text. The instruction says: "convert standard decode before translate" — it seems the text is already in Japanese, with some HTML attributes. Original: ★爆発力＝危険？1年間検証して分かったこ
Explosive-Martin Operation
Know your enemies and the risks can be reduced endlessly!
The biggest enemy of Martingale is "consecutive losses"
What is most important in Martingale is not simply the win rate.
The real point to look at ishow many consecutive losses the logic allowsto occur.
Because in Martingale trading, the more losses in a row, the higher the lot size, required margin, and unrealized loss risk become. In other words, checking the number of consecutive losses is extremely important for assessing the risk of a Martingale EA.
If you operate without knowing this...
Consecutive losses distribution confirmed from about a year of testing
```In this backtest, we counted the number of consecutive losses to see how frequently consecutive losses occurred.
| Consecutive losses | Occurrences | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1 loss | 195 times | 51.46% |
| 2 losses | 98 times | 25.86% |
| 3 losses | 54 times | 14.25% |
| 4 losses | 23 times | |
| 5 losses | 5 times | |
| 6 losses | 4 times | |
| 7 losses | 0 times | |
| 8 losses | 1 time |
Consecutive loss distribution graph
```※To improve readability, the smallest bars are displayed with a minimum width.
```Key points
```The occurrence of 5 consecutive losses or more totals only aroundabout 2.64%
8 consecutive losses occurred only once in yearly verificationin the annual test
```Why this data is a strong basis
```In a Martingale EA, you cannot truly assess risk by win rate alone. Even with a high win rate, frequent extreme losses can put a heavy burden on capital.
Therefore, this EA checks not only profit but alsohow often consecutive losses occurred.
In about a year of testing, up to a maximum of 8 consecutive losses were recorded, and the test continued with the same settings to the end.
This is a very important validation point for Martingale trading. It’s tested across about a year of market conditions, not just a short period with profits.
``````
This consecutive loss distribution is based on past backtest results and does not guarantee the same consecutive losses in future markets.
However, revealing not only profits but also consecutive loss risk is considered an important factor in trading decisions.
```Martingale cannot be sustained long-term.
Validated with the above white tiger results
No curve fitting.
No setting changes.
Approximately one year with the same settings of backtesting completed.
What I want to convey most this time
Martingale EA can yield big profits in the short term, but in long-term testing, there are cases where it collapses significantly partway.
Therefore the important thing is not short-term profit butwhether you can operate without changing settings even as market conditions change.
In this test, we completed about a year of backtesting without changing settings and without curve fitting.
What was not done in this test
```No optimization aligned to past market conditions.
Testing kept the same settings for about a year.
Parameters were not changed to foster profits mid-way.
To verify the EA's intrinsic performance.
Around one year of backtest results
```| Item | Result |
|---|---|
| Testing period | June 2025 to June 2026 |
| Currency pair | XAUUSD |
| Initial capital | $1,000 |
| Final balance | $8,899.97 |
| Net profit | $7,899.97 |
| Capital growth | About 890% |
| Total trades | 1,476 |
| Win rate | 52.44% |
| Profit factor | 1.43 |
| Maximum drawdown | 46.70% |
The meaning of enduring Martingale for a year
Martingale trading is attractive for its recovery ability and capital efficiency when you win. However, over a long period, whether it can endure losses and market biases becomes crucial.
In this test, we completed about a year of backtesting without changing settings and without curve fitting.
This is not merely about profit.
What is truly important in Martingale trading iswhether it could be operated long-term with the same settings.
Why win rate 52.44% still accumulated profit
Looking at a win rate of 52.44% alone may not seem impressive.
But the important thing is not just the win rate.
Profit balance, capital efficiency, and the ability to sustain long-term operation.
In this test, about a year of trading with the same settings produced 1,476 trades,growing from $1,000 to $8,899.97.
Drawdown
Maximum drawdown was 46.70%. This number is not small.
However, showing only favorable numbers is meaningless. What matters is evaluating profit and risk together before making decisions.
This test aims to verify the EA's intrinsic performance, so it did not implement money management such as:
- Compound interest trading
- Lot-up proportional to profit
- Downtick in lot during drawdown
- Capital management according to risk level
These are results of about one year under the same conditions.
In actual trading, you can tailor your own operating plan by adjusting lots according to capital and acceptable risk.
Value of this validation
This is not just about having profits.
For Martingale operation.
No curve fitting.
No setting changes.
One year with the same settings completed.
There is value in having tested to the end under these conditions and building profits.
No optimization. No mid-course changes.
About one year of backtesting the Martingale EA with the same settings.
From $1,000 to $8,899.97
Results across various market environments, not just a short period.
※Actual results may vary depending on market conditions, spreads, execution environment, and operational settings.
※EA trading carries loss risk. Please trade only with funds you can afford to lose.
