From Inoue Tetsuo's investment e-newsletter “Trends in the Market” provided by GogoJungle, a small excerpt from this morning's distribution.Below is a brief excerpt.
The Nikkei Stock Average fell exactly 2,000 points over eight trading days, dropping to 22,271, then rose nearly 570 points over two days, fell another 1,700 points over eight trading days, and rose about 1,100 points over four days, making for a rough pattern. This was caused by concerns about worsening economic prospects due to a sudden rise in U.S. long-term interest rates (10-year Treasuries from 3.0% to 3.2%), which triggered large volatility in the U.S. stock market. Considering that the Dow hit an all-time high the day after the Nikkei reached its 27-year high on 10/3, the absolute difference between now and then is that there is no overheating in the U.S. at present.
Quoted from “Trends in the Market” (Inoue Tetsuo).
In the “Sign” article, attention is drawn to the fact that the Nikkei is fully in overheating mode, while the Dow is at zero. Mr. Inoue also states that “the five-signal overheating indicator is not used as a quantitative sell signal, but only as a qualitative basis for selling decisions,” and analyzes it using a graph of the relationship between the index’s 25-day moving average and the actual index (editorial department).

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