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トウジ FX｜元バンドマン｜専業トレーダー（10pips）
06/23/2026 23:00
Release： 06/23/2026 23:00
Update： 06/23/2026 23:00
トウジ FX｜元バンドマン｜専業トレーダー（10pips）
Investment style : Scalping
Investment career : -
Investment amount : -
I make a living from FX, I want to live in a world where the people around me can smile. I hate alcohol, so I will keep drinking in order to reduce alcohol in this world, A FX trader who wants to live in an izakaya. FX is completed by one person, so there are no useless entanglements and it’s easy. "Be nudged by a selfish town, dream and reality swap places" For 2-3 years, just by working hard as if you were going to die, it’s hard in business to acquire enough skills to earn 100 million yen per year. Considering the risks of time and effort, there is nothing with a better return than FX, and with FX there is no stress in human relationships either. If you become interested in investing and actually start, you’ll be able to take a step ahead of those who don’t. A method of +10 pips per day (1-minute scalping, a method that ranked high in sales about a year ago) “FX that looks at a chart at a glance” and “Life-cost smartphone FX” — I trade by combining the two methods and their logic Scalping is efficient. In the first place, as some brokers have said, the proportion of profitable scalping traders is the highest. Even if you consider spread costs, being disadvantaged, fast moves, and difficulty, that’s a lie. Predicting price movement an hour later is impossible, but predicting momentum for about five minutes ahead isn’t. Because moves are fast, you can trade more, so by gaining experience in the number of trades, skills tend to improve more easily. Not for profit, but because there is something good there, I want to provide it to those who feel it is necessary, hence I am doing this kind of sales. ・Because it is of such value, I am making it public. ・I want it to reach people who want to learn and are serious. ・Even if it doesn’t sell, that’s fine with me.
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Series
This Week’s FX Market Outlook
Outlook for this week in FX In technical analysis trading, fundamentals are not strictly necessary, but knowing them as knowledge becomes one of the wisdoms of trading The fundamentals are not completely unrelated to each day's movements As part of risk management, it is reassuring to consider them rather than dismissing them as merely "unnecessary"
Article cover image

Easier to see in image [FX Trader's Perspective] This week's market outlook (mainly USD/JPY) How do professionals act?

A visually accessible summary from the FX trader's perspective: This week's market outlook (centered on USD/JPY)

If AI summarizes it into images, it’s much easier to read than the article, so I’ll use it going forward




This week (the fourth week of June 2026) in the USD/JPY market is at a highly tense juncture, where the “strong dollar buying trend driven by real demand and interest rate differentials” clashes head-on with “the possibility of currency intervention by Japanese authorities.”

From the current fundamentals and technicals, here are the points to watch in this week’s trading.

1. Key themes to watch
① Persistent US-Japan rate differentials and the dollar's upside expectations
Last week’s FOMC was hawkish (risk of further rate hikes lingered), keeping US yields, including the 2-year Treasury yield, elevated and strongly supporting dollar demand.
The Bank of Japan raised its policy rate to 1.00% last week, but this move does not close the huge US-Japan rate gap (US policy rate: 3.50–3.75%), so carry trade pressure (yen selling, dollar buying) continues.

② The main indicator: US PCE deflator
The week's key event is the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index released later in the week. Markets are wary of a renewed acceleration in inflation (e.g., from 3.3% to 3.4%), and a stronger figure could further fuel dollar buying.

③ Intervention risk near 162 yen
USD/JPY has fallen into the 161.5–161.6 range, near a historically low level not seen since 1986 (yen at its weakest in 40 years). Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki’s rhetoric (“ready to take appropriate action at any time”) has grown stronger, and as it approaches the 162 level, the risk of sudden real intervention (yen buying, dollar selling) with hundreds of pips of potential drop becomes extremely high.

2. This week's assumed range and strategy
This week's assumed range: 159.20 to 163.00

Currently, market positioning data shows nearly 90% in USD/JPY shorts among retail traders, etc., and if those positions get squeezed (triggering forced buying to cover shorts), technically the upside may become easier (short squeeze).

Trading stance
The basics are to buy on dips (long), but position sizes should be restrained
The core trend is clearly higher. The rule is to buy on pullbacks as support is found at lower timeframes (e.g., 15-minute, 1-hour charts) and at key levels like 160.00 and 159.50.

Avoid chasing breakouts
Buying in the high 161s to 162s is like stepping onto a minefield of government and BOJ intervention. Since you could be blindsided at any moment, always place strict stop orders when long at high levels or take profits early when targets are reached.

Danger of “time-to-short on value”
Selling just because you think it will go down soon is risky in the current environment where real demand (e.g., dollar buying by exporters) is supporting the trend. If shorting, wait for actual intervention and a chart breakdown, then go with a fade on rallies for safety.

The fundamental trend is dollar strength and yen weakness, but we are caught between inflation-driven dollar buy signals and the unpredictable risk of intervention. This week, keep leverage lower than usual and prioritize risk management to avoid severe losses from sudden moves.


The method I am currently practicing
【Steady daily +10 pips】
A one-minute FX method learned from a pro trader that helped me escape the losing group (about 2–5 hours per day)
Explained with smartphone chart images
【Entry points】【Exit points】 explained in an easy-to-understand logic

■ Thoughts of overseas pro traders (legends like Buffett and Soros)
Trading not to win, but to make money
Trade based on expected value that favors long positions where the probability of a rise is high, rather than merely chasing win rate

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https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/76385


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