【Path to Dreams_FX_Main Currencies_Market Environment Awareness/Notes_20260621】

【Trajectory to Dreams_FX_Main Currencies_Market Environment Understanding and Memo_20260621】


June 20th, it is Saturday.

Good evening.

This week's Saturday night broadcast.
In the South Kanto area where it has been raining,
it's the rainy season, so we are in a resigned mood.

Now, about the charts,
I feel there are many Half Primary Cycles (HPC).
Could something cause a large drop?


I am looking at the chart with that in mind.



Well then, let's confirm.
The numbers are at the closing timing of the daily chart.
　　

【EUR/USD】
Monthly: 18th; / 13
Weekly: 3rd Cycle, 15th / 6
Weekly volatility: 204 pips
HPC 1st Cycle: 71st / 26 or
HPC 2nd Cycle: 10th / 6
4HC 6th or 1st 58th / 31LT or
4HC 1st or 2nd 5th / 5

I interpret this as such.

Whether HPC 1 is closed or is about to close will be the key.
The next move up may be constrained.


It feels like there is a limit on the rise.

****************************
20260621_FX_Market Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/iLG1RRH0V-Y
*****************************


　　　
【USD/JPY】
Monthly: 22nd
Weekly: 3rd Cycle, 21st / 21 or
Weekly: 4th Cycle, 7th / 7
Weekly volatility: 208 pips
HPC 2nd or Daily 1st 33rd / 32
4HC 3rd Cycle 37th / 31

I interpret this as such.

Where the move will start to form a bearish candle is the key.
If it declines, whether it breaks the daily trendline is subtle.





【GBP/USD】
Monthly: 18th / 13
Weekly: 3rd Cycle, 12th / 5
Weekly volatility: 297 pips
Daily: 2nd Cycle, 25th / 6LT or
HPC 1st Cycle: 59th / 24
4HC 2nd Cycle: 58th / 29 or
4HC 1st or 3rd 5th / 3

I interpret this as such.

I see a high likelihood of HPC being active.
Where HPC 1 may close and whether it will rise is the focus.






【EUR/JPY】
Monthly: 23rd / 21
Weekly: 4th Cycle, 19th / 10
Weekly volatility: 203 pips
HPC 2nd Cycle: 33rd / 31
4HC 3rd Cycle: 58th / 39

I interpret this as such.

If the daily top is established and it only falls,
it could drop significantly.


If EUR/USD falls,
the momentum seems strong.
If USD/JPY does not move at that time,
EUR/JPY will fall together with EUR/USD.


Where the start is will be the key.


【GBP/JPY】
Monthly: 23rd / 21
Weekly: 4th Cycle, 18th / 11
Weekly volatility: 315 pips
HPC 2nd: 37th / 27
4HC 3rd Cycle: 58th / 39LT

I interpret this as such.

Given that 4HC 3rd has broken the starting point,
a renewed decline is anticipated.

Whether that is due to USD/JPY
or GBP/USD
or both
will likely cause a large bearish candle.
That is the impression I have.



【AUD/JPY】
Monthly: 15th / 15
Weekly: 3rd Cycle, 18th / 16
Weekly volatility: 107 pips
HPC 2nd Cycle: 37th / 24
4HC 3rd Cycle: 38th / 19

I interpret this as such.

If movement of AUD/USD remains slow and further closes lower to push down the daily candle,
AUD/JPY is likely to be pulled down as well.


Furthermore, if USD/JPY forms a bearish candle,
synergy is likely to occur.

We are watching the week of August 22.

****************************
20260621_FX_Market Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/iLG1RRH0V-Y
*****************************


  
*****************************
US10Y 4.455 -0.71%
DJI 51,570 USD +72
US500 -0.35%
WTI 76.395 USD
BRN 80.57 USD
Nikkei 225 71,249 yen +196
****************************
　
Let us learn together.

https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/70675
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/30872

 
【Iroha-gumi (168) _2】
Registration URL：
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/rooms/33239
 
 
no bito re