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トウジ FX｜元バンドマン｜専業トレーダー（10pips）
06/18/2026 10:42
Release： 06/18/2026 10:42
Update： 06/18/2026 10:42
トウジ FX｜元バンドマン｜専業トレーダー（10pips）
Investment style : Scalping
Investment career : -
Investment amount : -
I make a living from FX, I want to live in a world where the people around me can smile. I hate alcohol, so I will keep drinking in order to reduce alcohol in this world, A FX trader who wants to live in an izakaya. FX is completed by one person, so there are no useless entanglements and it’s easy. "Be nudged by a selfish town, dream and reality swap places" For 2-3 years, just by working hard as if you were going to die, it’s hard in business to acquire enough skills to earn 100 million yen per year. Considering the risks of time and effort, there is nothing with a better return than FX, and with FX there is no stress in human relationships either. If you become interested in investing and actually start, you’ll be able to take a step ahead of those who don’t. A method of +10 pips per day (1-minute scalping, a method that ranked high in sales about a year ago) “FX that looks at a chart at a glance” and “Life-cost smartphone FX” — I trade by combining the two methods and their logic Scalping is efficient. In the first place, as some brokers have said, the proportion of profitable scalping traders is the highest. Even if you consider spread costs, being disadvantaged, fast moves, and difficulty, that’s a lie. Predicting price movement an hour later is impossible, but predicting momentum for about five minutes ahead isn’t. Because moves are fast, you can trade more, so by gaining experience in the number of trades, skills tend to improve more easily. Not for profit, but because there is something good there, I want to provide it to those who feel it is necessary, hence I am doing this kind of sales. ・Because it is of such value, I am making it public. ・I want it to reach people who want to learn and are serious. ・Even if it doesn’t sell, that’s fine with me.
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FX Market Outlook – What Are the Pros Doing Now?
Outlook for this week in FX In technical analysis trading, fundamentals are not strictly necessary, but knowing them as knowledge becomes one of the wisdoms of trading The fundamentals are not completely unrelated to each day's movements As part of risk management, it is reassuring to consider them rather than dismissing them as merely "unnecessary"
Article cover image

Today’s USD/JPY: Why did the sharp drop around 6 PM occur???

Today’s USD/JPY: Why did the sudden drop around 18:00 happen???

Around 18:00 today, the USD/JPY briefly plunged and then immediately reversed (a spike-like swing down, the so-called “yo-yo” move).

Was there a cause for this move?

It is highly likely that the long positions accumulated in the high 160s were profit-taken and stopped out, triggering a cascade.

Could it have been a “stop hunting during a low-liquidity period”?

18:00–18:30
160.80 → 160.30
Movements like this are highly likely to be a chain of stop losses.

Flow
・Sell orders appear in the upper 160s
・Short-term traders take profits
・Breaks the recent low
・Stop-loss orders trigger
・Steep fall

The 160-yen level is a highly alert level for intervention; even a small amount of yen buying materials can quickly trigger stop losses and push the rate lower, creating a setup prone to downward movement.


There are two major backgrounds and causes to consider for this drop around this time

1. Reaching the key level near “160.80” and an extreme vigilance for intervention

Since July 2024, reaching the highest level in about two years (around 160.79–160.80) had occurred.
Surpassing the levels at which the Government/BoJ previously intervened (around the 160.70s, etc.)
led to an extremely tense situation where “large-scale currency intervention could occur at any time.”

Around 18:00, European (London) market participants were stepping in in earnest
Some quant funds and large investors triggered fears of intervention or profit-taking selling, causing a brief cascade of selling (stop-loss driven drop).

2. The impact of official jawboning statements by government officials

Today, Chief Cabinet Secretary Suga Kihara’s deputy said that “if there is excessive exchange rate movement, we are prepared to take all necessary measures to respond appropriately,” a jawboning warning to the FX market.

This strong stance by the government was perceived again just after the London market opened (around 18:00), possibly triggering pre-intervention position adjustments selling before any actual intervention.


■ Why did it rebound so quickly?

After the drop, the dollar-spot recovered back to the prior level promptly.

One cause is
“It wasn’t genuine government intervention (no actual firepower)”
and perhaps the market cooled quickly as a result?

Last night’s FOMC was hawkish (keeps the expectation of a rate hike later this year), so the underlying balance of power of the rate differential between the U.S. and Japan (dollar buying, yen selling) remained unchanged,
and the dips were quickly bought as good pullback opportunities (dollar buy).

From a trader’s perspective, today’s 18:00 drop was not a fundamental shift in the macro picture or a long-term USD/JPY trend reversal, but mainly a move driven by position adjustments and stop-hunting at high levels.

It remains a highly nervous setup around the upper 160s, with vigilance for actual FX intervention at its peak.




Currently, the core trading approach I am practicing is






(with currency strength filter added)
★★ Steady trading of only +10 pips per day (1 day, 2–5 hours) ★★
Combining two methods learned from a true pro trader (mentor) and adding a clear-entry logic
Not to “win at all costs,” but to “make money” via a trading approach
Trading only where the probability of rising is high
Thinking like overseas pro traders (legendary investors like Buffett and Soros)


https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/76385


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