You don't have to swing hard balls. FX can be won with the “ability to pass up” (discernment to wait)
Don't hit difficult balls. In FX you can win with the "ability to pass up opportunities."
Many people who don’t get results in FX reach for even difficult opportunities because they fear missing out on a chance.
But those who really win are the opposite.
In fact, you win because you don’t swing at the difficult balls.
For example, suppose you’re taught how to jump a 10-step vault.
If you miss the timing by just a little on a 10-step, you may fail.
But what if you tried the same jump with a 5-step vault?
You’d probably be able to jump it with a quite high probability, right?
In other words, what matters is not only the technique of how you jump, but also which level of difficulty you choose to tackle.
This is the same in baseball as well.
It’s easier to hit a middle, easy ball than to swing at a ball right on the edge of the strike zone.
Even professional baseball players wait for easier pitches.
However in baseball, if you miss you get called a strike,
so you must also deal with the difficult pitches.
On the other hand, FX is different.
If you define the strike zone as places that meet the method’s conditions, even within that, there are “easy-to-hit” and “hard-to-hit” balls.
And in FX, you won’t get struck out just by waiting and not trading.
Waiting for a favorable move doesn’t generate profit, but it also doesn’t incur a loss.
In other words,
a game where you can wait only for easy-to-hit balls.
Many people think,
“Because the conditions are met,”
“Because it might grow further,”
they enter trades for that reason.
But what you really should look at is
“whether the expected value is high.”
Even if conditions are met, if the setup is marginal, pass on it.
Target only the obvious, clear market moves.
That alone will significantly change your results.
Even a big, off-logics ball may occasionally become a hit by chance
but that is not a reproducible win.
A success that happened once can be dangerous.
Because that success can create the illusion that you can break the rules safely.
And that accumulation can lead to a major loss someday.
Legendary speculator Jesse Livermore said
“The times I got hurt were only when I couldn't stick to my own rules.”
Warren Buffett and George Soros think essentially the same way.
“Only trade in high-EV moments.”
Otherwise, do nothing.
In markets, there are two broad types of conditions.
・ Markets with high expected value
・ Markets other than those
In other words,
・Clear markets
・Unclear markets
Profitable traders do not force wins in unclear markets.
They wait for clear markets to come.
The method is important.
However, even more important is
“where to trade and where to pass.”
That is the way to view the market.
Methods can change with the times.
However, the ability to identify high-EV moments works in any market.
That’s why you should not only memorize rule-based methods but understand the core logic behind them.
When you can do that, you’re not just possessing a method; you’ve gained a weapon you can use in trading for life.
The method I am currently practicing is here
(I’ve also added a currency-strength filter here)
★★ Steady trading with only +10 pips per day (1–2 hours to 5 hours per day) ★★
I’ve taken two methods taught by a real professional trader (mentor), and combined the best parts
and added a logic that clarifies the entry points
Trading not to “win” but to “make money.”
Trade only where the probability of rising is high, based on expectancy.
Thinking like top overseas traders (legendary investors Buffett and Soros).
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/76385
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