【Journey to Dreams_FX_Main Currencies_Market Environment Awareness & Memo_20260607】

【Dream Path to FX_Main Currencies_Market Environment Recognition & Memo_20260607】

June 7th, Sunday.

Hello.

Kanto has entered the rainy season
and cloudy days continue.

It might be a little early, but
I pray for an early end to the rainy season.

I would like to spend the rainy season without rain
outdoors.

Now, since the U.S. jobs report was released,
the dollar rose sharply
and the chart has been volatile.

Indeed, indicators announcements have a large impact.

Now, let's review.
It is the number of bars at the closing time of the daily chart.
　　

【EUR/USD】
Monthly: 18th / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 13th / 6
Weekly volatility: 146 pips
Daily: 1st cycle, 61st / 26 or
Daily: 2nd cycle, 12th / 7LT
4HC: 5th or 1st / 69th / 37LT

I interpret it as such.

It is likely an HPC (Half Primary Cycle),
I suspect, but
if the starting point breaks from 4HC1,
the descent could be even larger.

If it reverses on Monday and forms a bullish candle,
it may have moved into HPC2.
It seems possible.

If it further makes a new low,
HPC1 would continue.

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20260607_FX_Market Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/88pyX7ItqQk
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【USD/JPY】
Monthly: 22nd
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 19th / 15 or
Weekly: 4th cycle, 5th / 5
Weekly volatility: 104 pips
HPC: 2nd or Daily 1st, 23rd / 23
4HC: 2nd cycle, 60th / 59

I view it as such.

USD/JPY looks like a chart on alert for intervention.
Weekly volatility is small
and while it is rising, there are continued
selling/short entries by Mrs. Watanabe.

Normally the bias would be higher...

【GBP/USD】
Monthly: 18th / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 10th / 5
Weekly volatility: 152 pips
Daily: 1st cycle, 49th / 24 or
Daily: 2nd cycle, 15th / 6
4HC: 4th or 1st / 90th / 36 or
4HC: 2nd cycle, 41st / 9LT

I interpret it as such.

The 4HC milestone is hard to tell,
and if it continues, it could close at any time.

If it continues with daily chart breakdown,
the view for 4HC2 would strengthen.

【EUR/JPY】
Monthly: 23rd / 21
Weekly: 4th cycle, 17th / 10
Weekly volatility: 170 pips
HPC: 2nd cycle, 23rd / 23
4HC: 2nd cycle, 41st / 39LT

I interpret it as such.

Prioritizing the scenario in HPC2.

And if it breaks from the 4HC2 starting point,
a continued decline is expected.

【GBP/JPY】
Monthly: 23rd / 21
Weekly: 4th cycle, 16th / 11
Weekly volatility: 208 pips
HPC2: 27th / 27
4HC: 3rd cycle, 41st / 39

I interpret it as such.

In 4HC there seems to be a little more time available,
so it may stay bearish until the weekend.

Since GBP/JPY has not yet broken the starting point,
there is a high likelihood it will track EUR/JPY.

【AUD/JPY】
Monthly: 15th / 15
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 16th / 16
Weekly volatility: 216 pips
HPC2: 27th / 24
4HC: 3rd cycle, 41st / 22

I interpret it as such.

Also needed is a scenario of continuing HPC2 for 80 bars.
If it surges rapidly,
that possibility could occur.

I want to focus on Monday's movement.

****************************
20260607_FX_Market Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/88pyX7ItqQk
*****************************

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US10Y 4.532 +1.27%
DJI 50,872 dollars -695
US500 -2.87%
WTI 88.275 dollars
BRN 93.09 dollars
Nikkei 225 66,587 yen -882
　
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【Journey to Dreams_FX_Main Currencies_Market Environment Awareness &amp; Memo_20260607】