【Journey to Dreams_FX_Main Currencies_Market Environment Awareness & Memo_20260607】
[Dream Path FX Major Currency Market Environment Recognition and Memo 20260607]
June 7th, Sunday.
Hello.
The Kanto region has also entered the rainy season
and the sky has remained overcast.
I think it’s a bit early, but
I’m hoping the rainy season will end early.
I’d like to spend the rainy season without rain
outdoors.
Now, since the U.S. Employment Report was released
the dollar strengthened significantly
and the charts have swung.
As expected, indicators have a large impact.
Now, let’s check it out.
This is the number of bars at the close of the daily chart.
【EUR/USD】
Monthly: 18th bar / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 13th bar / 6
Weekly volatility: 146 pips
Daily: 1st cycle, 61st bar / 26 or
Daily: 2nd cycle, 12th bar / 7LT
4HC: 5th or 1st, 69th bar / 37LT
This is how I interpret it.
I suspect it may be a Half Primary Cycle (HPC)
, but
if the starting point breaks from the 4HC Day 1,
the decline could be even larger.
If it reverses on Monday and becomes a bullish candle
it would appear to have shifted to HPC 2.
.
If it further makes new lows,
HPC would continue with HPC 1.
****************************
20260607_FX_Market Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/88pyX7ItqQk
*****************************
【USD/JPY】
Monthly: 22nd bar
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 19th bar / 15 or
Weekly: 4th cycle, 5th bar / 5
Weekly volatility: 104 pips
HPC 2 or Daily 1, 23rd bar / 23
4HC: 2nd cycle, 60th bar / 59
This is how I interpret it.
USD/JPY appears to be in a chart that is wary of intervention.
Weekly volatility is small
and it may rise, but Mrs. Watanabe’s
selling and short entries continue.
Under normal circumstances the bias would be upward…
【GBP/USD】
Monthly: 18th bar / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 10th bar / 5
Weekly volatility: 152 pips
Daily: 1st cycle, 49th bar / 24 or
Daily: 2nd cycle, 15th bar / 6
4HC: 4th or 1st, 90th bar / 36 or
4HC: 2nd cycle, 41st bar / 9LT
This is how I interpret it.
The 4HC pivot is hard to discern
and if it continues, it wouldn’t be surprising for it to close at any time.
If it breaks lower starting from the daily basis
the view that 4HC 2 will dominate becomes stronger.
【EUR/JPY】
Monthly: 23rd bar / 21
Weekly: 4th cycle, 17th bar / 10
Weekly volatility: 170 pips
HPC: 2nd cycle, 23rd bar / 23
4HC: 2nd cycle, 41st bar / 39LT
This is how I interpret it.
I prioritize the scenario where HPC 2 is in effect.
And if it breaks from the 4HC 2 starting point
the downtrend is expected to continue.
【GBP/JPY】
Monthly: 23rd bar / 21
Weekly: 4th cycle, 16th bar / 11
Weekly volatility: 208 pips
HPC 2: 27th bar / 27
4HC: 3rd cycle, 41st bar / 39
This is how I interpret it.
Since 4HC has a bit more time,
it may close with a bearish candle until the weekend.
Since GBP/JPY has not broken its starting point yet,
I expect it will chase EUR/JPY.
【AUD/JPY】
Monthly: 15th bar / 15
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 16th bar / 16
Weekly volatility: 216 pips
HPC: 2nd cycle, 27th bar / 24
4HC: 3rd cycle, 41st bar / 22
This is how I interpret it.
An 80th bar continuation of the 4HC 2 is also a possibility we should consider.
If it spikes sharply, that possibility could occur.
I’d like to watch how it moves on Monday.
****************************
20260607_FX_Market Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/88pyX7ItqQk
*****************************
*****************************
US10Y 4.532 +1.27%
DJI 50,872 dollars -695
US500 -2.87%
WTI 88.275 dollars
BRN 93.09 dollars
Nikkei 225 66,587 yen -882
****************************
Let’s learn together.
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/70675
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/30872
https://coconala.com/services/2041597
https://fukuyama-syo.com/
【Iroha Group (168) _ 2】
Registration URL：
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/rooms/33239
Noubitorei
June 7th, Sunday.
Hello.
The Kanto region has also entered the rainy season
and the sky has remained overcast.
I think it’s a bit early, but
I’m hoping the rainy season will end early.
I’d like to spend the rainy season without rain
outdoors.
Now, since the U.S. Employment Report was released
the dollar strengthened significantly
and the charts have swung.
As expected, indicators have a large impact.
Now, let’s check it out.
This is the number of bars at the close of the daily chart.
【EUR/USD】
Monthly: 18th bar / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 13th bar / 6
Weekly volatility: 146 pips
Daily: 1st cycle, 61st bar / 26 or
Daily: 2nd cycle, 12th bar / 7LT
4HC: 5th or 1st, 69th bar / 37LT
This is how I interpret it.
I suspect it may be a Half Primary Cycle (HPC)
, but
if the starting point breaks from the 4HC Day 1,
the decline could be even larger.
If it reverses on Monday and becomes a bullish candle
it would appear to have shifted to HPC 2.
.
If it further makes new lows,
HPC would continue with HPC 1.
****************************
20260607_FX_Market Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/88pyX7ItqQk
*****************************
【USD/JPY】
Monthly: 22nd bar
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 19th bar / 15 or
Weekly: 4th cycle, 5th bar / 5
Weekly volatility: 104 pips
HPC 2 or Daily 1, 23rd bar / 23
4HC: 2nd cycle, 60th bar / 59
This is how I interpret it.
USD/JPY appears to be in a chart that is wary of intervention.
Weekly volatility is small
and it may rise, but Mrs. Watanabe’s
selling and short entries continue.
Under normal circumstances the bias would be upward…
【GBP/USD】
Monthly: 18th bar / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 10th bar / 5
Weekly volatility: 152 pips
Daily: 1st cycle, 49th bar / 24 or
Daily: 2nd cycle, 15th bar / 6
4HC: 4th or 1st, 90th bar / 36 or
4HC: 2nd cycle, 41st bar / 9LT
This is how I interpret it.
The 4HC pivot is hard to discern
and if it continues, it wouldn’t be surprising for it to close at any time.
If it breaks lower starting from the daily basis
the view that 4HC 2 will dominate becomes stronger.
【EUR/JPY】
Monthly: 23rd bar / 21
Weekly: 4th cycle, 17th bar / 10
Weekly volatility: 170 pips
HPC: 2nd cycle, 23rd bar / 23
4HC: 2nd cycle, 41st bar / 39LT
This is how I interpret it.
I prioritize the scenario where HPC 2 is in effect.
And if it breaks from the 4HC 2 starting point
the downtrend is expected to continue.
【GBP/JPY】
Monthly: 23rd bar / 21
Weekly: 4th cycle, 16th bar / 11
Weekly volatility: 208 pips
HPC 2: 27th bar / 27
4HC: 3rd cycle, 41st bar / 39
This is how I interpret it.
Since 4HC has a bit more time,
it may close with a bearish candle until the weekend.
Since GBP/JPY has not broken its starting point yet,
I expect it will chase EUR/JPY.
【AUD/JPY】
Monthly: 15th bar / 15
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 16th bar / 16
Weekly volatility: 216 pips
HPC: 2nd cycle, 27th bar / 24
4HC: 3rd cycle, 41st bar / 22
This is how I interpret it.
An 80th bar continuation of the 4HC 2 is also a possibility we should consider.
If it spikes sharply, that possibility could occur.
I’d like to watch how it moves on Monday.
****************************
20260607_FX_Market Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/88pyX7ItqQk
*****************************
*****************************
US10Y 4.532 +1.27%
DJI 50,872 dollars -695
US500 -2.87%
WTI 88.275 dollars
BRN 93.09 dollars
Nikkei 225 66,587 yen -882
****************************
Let’s learn together.
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/70675
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/30872
https://coconala.com/services/2041597
https://fukuyama-syo.com/
【Iroha Group (168) _ 2】
Registration URL：
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/rooms/33239
Noubitorei