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Introduction | Do you seriously believe those numbers?

When you browse social media and blogs, you often see phrases like this.

“Achieved monthly profit of 30%!”
“Publicizing a method that consistently yields 20% profit every month!”
“100,000 yen monthly income with this tool!”

What did you feel the moment you saw it?

“Amazing! I might be able to do it too.”
Or did you think, “This looks shady.”

To be honest.

The moment you believe 30% monthly profit as a reproducible method, you have entered the realm of the gullible.

This is not a threat. It’s a matter of numbers.

Why 30% monthly profit is “unthinkable”, explained with numbers

Let’s calculate concretely how unrealistic 30% monthly profit is.

Suppose you start with 1,000,000 yen and maintain 30% monthly profit for a year.

After 1 month: 1,300,000 yen
After 3 months: 2,190,000 yen
After 6 months: 4,800,000 yen
After 12 months: over 23,000,000 yen

1,000,000 yen becomes over 23,000,000 yen in a year.

What if you continued for 10 years?
Without needing to calculate, you would surpass the wealth of people worldwide.

If there truly exists someone who can consistently generate 30% monthly profit, that person should be the richest person in the world within a few years.
Why would such a person sell you a method?

Why the phrase “30% monthly” comes up

The reason the number 30% monthly never disappears is that it sells well.

People are drawn to “big returns.”
This is an instinctive reaction, and it doesn’t mean you’re especially easy to deceive.

But there are people who exploit that instinct.

They show high returns for 1–2 months and only advertise those periods with screenshots.
They present demo-account results as if they were real-account achievements.
They judge by the visible numbers, not by the quality of the method.

Many people fall for these tricks becausethey lack the habit of calmly thinking about “dream numbers.”.

What is the real return of a professional trader?

So, how much return do truly skilled traders actually produce?

Globally renowned hedge funds have annual returns of roughly 20–30%.
On a monthly basis, that’s about 1.5–2.3%.

The legendary investor Warren Buffett’s average annual return is about 20%.

In other words,even the world's top professionals achieve only about 20–30% per year.
So realizing that as a monthly return is extremely unrealistic.

When comparing someone claiming 30% monthly profitability to the world's top professionals, which is more trustworthy is obvious.

A correct way to think about target returns

So, what should a realistic trading return aim for?

In my view, for beginners to early intermediates,the goal should be to consistently achieve 3–5% per month.This is the target.

“Only 3–5%?” you might think.

But consider this.
With 1,000,000 yen, 3% per month is 30,000 yen, and the principal grows about 43% in a year.
Traders who can sustain this steadily are few even globally.

Rather than chasing big numbers,focus on small, reproducible profits and accumulate themover time.
That is the mindset of traders who survive in the long term.

Summary | Face real numbers, not dream numbers

I understand the temptation of the word 30% monthly profit.
But please develop the habit of calmly considering what lies behind that number.

Trading is not a business that sells dreams.
It involves facing real numbers and steadily building discipline.

Rather than being swayed by flashy numbers, can you walk a steady, reliable path?
That is the only difference between those who become a fool and those who don’t.

In favorable market conditions, monthly profits can exceed 30%.

But it’s important not to treat that as normal.

I hope you can honestly face real numbers.