[Path to Dreams_FX_Main Currencies_Market Environment Awareness & Memo_20260517]
It's Sunday, May 17.
Good evening.
I was handling a tight schedule during the day,
so the stream was delayed.
In the morning tomorrow, I want to monitor things properly
as the market will be.
Now, let's check it out.
The figures are at the close of the daily chart.
【EUR/USD】
Monthly: 17th candle / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 10th candle / 6
Weekly volatility: 170 pips
Daily: 1st cycle, 46th candle / 26
4H C H (4th cycle): 71st candle / 27
I view it as such.
4HC may have closed?
I’m looking at it with that perspective.
If this continues,
we may need to doubt the Half Primary Cycle (HPC).
【USD/JPY】
Monthly: 21st
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 35th candle / 33 or
Weekly: 4th cycle, 2nd candle
Weekly volatility: 215 pips
Daily: 1st cycle, 8th candle / 8
4HC: 1st cycle, 47th candle / 47
I view it as such.
Apparently, due to intervention,
the daily and weekly may have closed.
I think so.
USD/JPY remains upward biased,
but since another intervention is expected,
be wary of infinite swaps.
【GBP/USD】
Monthly: 17th candle / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 7th candle / 5
Weekly volatility: 337 pips
Daily: 1st cycle, 34th candle / 24
4HC: 4th cycle, 15th candle / 4
I view it this way.
As the daily closes,
we may see a sharp decline,
so we should watch where it bounces.
In long-term trading
I am leaning toward a bearish bias.
【EUR/JPY】
Monthly: 22nd candle / 21
Weekly: 4th cycle, 14th candle / 10
Weekly volatility: 142 pips
HPC: 2nd cycle, 8th candle / 5
4HC: 1st cycle, 47th candle / 25
I view it this way.
Between EUR/USD and USD/JPY, the chart has long wicks on both ends.
If the daily closes,
with 4HC becoming 1st, we should consider upside prospects.
【GBP/JPY】
Monthly: 22nd candle
Weekly: 4th cycle, 13th candle / 11
Weekly volatility: 313 pips
Daily: 2nd cycle, 34th candle / 23
4HC: 3rd cycle, 69th candle / 44
I view it this way.
The downtrend in GBP/USD appears strong and seems to be influencing it.
In 4HC第3,
since the starting point hasn’t broken,
the daily chart may soon switch to a bullish candle.
【AUD/JPY】
Monthly: 14th candle / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 13th candle / 13
Weekly volatility: 163 pips
Daily: 2nd cycle, 34th candle / 32 or
HPC: 2nd cycle, 12th candle / 10
4HC: 3rd or 1st, 69th candle / 56
I view it this way.
Apparently, HPC seems like a promising framework for this chart.
It is quite possible the 4-hour EMA200 may be penetrated,
and with risk-on,
the AUD could be driven lower.
****************************
20260517_FX_Market_Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/wzCELbsWKl0
*****************************
*****************************
US10Y 4.597 +2.54%
DJI 49,530 USD -537
US500 -1.38%
WTI 100.645 USD
BRN 109.26 USD
Nikkei 225 61,409 yen -1,244
****************************
Let us learn together.
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/70675
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/30872
【Iroha-gumi (168) _2】
Registration URL：
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/rooms/33239
Noubitorei
Good evening.
I was handling a tight schedule during the day,
so the stream was delayed.
In the morning tomorrow, I want to monitor things properly
as the market will be.
Now, let's check it out.
The figures are at the close of the daily chart.
【EUR/USD】
Monthly: 17th candle / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 10th candle / 6
Weekly volatility: 170 pips
Daily: 1st cycle, 46th candle / 26
4H C H (4th cycle): 71st candle / 27
I view it as such.
4HC may have closed?
I’m looking at it with that perspective.
If this continues,
we may need to doubt the Half Primary Cycle (HPC).
【USD/JPY】
Monthly: 21st
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 35th candle / 33 or
Weekly: 4th cycle, 2nd candle
Weekly volatility: 215 pips
Daily: 1st cycle, 8th candle / 8
4HC: 1st cycle, 47th candle / 47
I view it as such.
Apparently, due to intervention,
the daily and weekly may have closed.
I think so.
USD/JPY remains upward biased,
but since another intervention is expected,
be wary of infinite swaps.
【GBP/USD】
Monthly: 17th candle / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 7th candle / 5
Weekly volatility: 337 pips
Daily: 1st cycle, 34th candle / 24
4HC: 4th cycle, 15th candle / 4
I view it this way.
As the daily closes,
we may see a sharp decline,
so we should watch where it bounces.
In long-term trading
I am leaning toward a bearish bias.
【EUR/JPY】
Monthly: 22nd candle / 21
Weekly: 4th cycle, 14th candle / 10
Weekly volatility: 142 pips
HPC: 2nd cycle, 8th candle / 5
4HC: 1st cycle, 47th candle / 25
I view it this way.
Between EUR/USD and USD/JPY, the chart has long wicks on both ends.
If the daily closes,
with 4HC becoming 1st, we should consider upside prospects.
【GBP/JPY】
Monthly: 22nd candle
Weekly: 4th cycle, 13th candle / 11
Weekly volatility: 313 pips
Daily: 2nd cycle, 34th candle / 23
4HC: 3rd cycle, 69th candle / 44
I view it this way.
The downtrend in GBP/USD appears strong and seems to be influencing it.
In 4HC第3,
since the starting point hasn’t broken,
the daily chart may soon switch to a bullish candle.
【AUD/JPY】
Monthly: 14th candle / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 13th candle / 13
Weekly volatility: 163 pips
Daily: 2nd cycle, 34th candle / 32 or
HPC: 2nd cycle, 12th candle / 10
4HC: 3rd or 1st, 69th candle / 56
I view it this way.
Apparently, HPC seems like a promising framework for this chart.
It is quite possible the 4-hour EMA200 may be penetrated,
and with risk-on,
the AUD could be driven lower.
****************************
20260517_FX_Market_Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/wzCELbsWKl0
*****************************
*****************************
US10Y 4.597 +2.54%
DJI 49,530 USD -537
US500 -1.38%
WTI 100.645 USD
BRN 109.26 USD
Nikkei 225 61,409 yen -1,244
****************************
Let us learn together.
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/70675
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/30872
【Iroha-gumi (168) _2】
Registration URL：
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/rooms/33239
Noubitorei