[Path to Dream_FX_Main Currencies_Market Environment Awareness/Notes_20260503]
Today is Sunday, May 3.
Hello.
It’s a bright yet cloudy day in the southern Kanto region.
Since the forecast says it will be getting worse at night,
I’d like to finish outdoor activities while it’s still light.
I’ve been moving since this morning,
so my body feels good.
It seems blood circulation has improved.
Now, on Thursday there was a 5 trillion yen intervention,
and Friday there was a near-intervention as well,
and since London is closed on Monday the 4th,
there may be another move,
Mr. Mimura, perhaps.
Let’s keep a careful watch.
Now, let’s confirm.
This is the number of candles at the close of the daily chart.
【EUR/USD】
Monthly chart: 17th candle / 13
Weekly chart: 3rd cycle, 8th candle / 6
Weekly volatility: 130 pips
Daily chart: 1st cycle, 36th candle / 26 or
Daily chart: 2nd cycle, 2nd candle / 2
4HC, 4th or 1st: 11th candle / 10
This is how I’m reading it.
The US dollar appears to be headed lower,
but it cannot clearly rally,
it seems to move within a narrow weekly range.
Going forward, the bias remains bullish,
but the key is how far it can rise.
****************************
20260503_FX_MarketEnvironment_VideoCommentary
https://youtu.be/4yfaW5JcAvE
*****************************
【USD/JPY】
Monthly chart: 21st candle
Weekly chart: 3rd cycle, 33rd candle / 33
Weekly volatility: 523 pips
HPC 2nd cycle: 68th candle / 67 or
Daily chart 3rd cycle: 11th candle / 10 LT
4HC: 6th or 1st: 62nd candle / 53 LT
This is how I’m reading it.
There is no strong reason for the yen to gain,
but it seems as if intervention pushed yen higher forcibly.
Technically,
it feels like there could be another intervention,
at least a little.
If the daily chart closes higher, I’m watching for another advance.
【GBP/USD】
Monthly chart: 17th candle / 13
Weekly chart: 3rd cycle, 5th candle / 5
Weekly volatility: 203 pips
Daily chart: 1st cycle, 24th candle / 24
4HC: 3rd cycle, 37th candle / 36
This is how I’m reading it.
The British pound looks strong.
It has risen sharply in 4HC cycle 3.
GBP/USD rises
USD/JPY falls
GBP/JPY is at a crossroads.
Capital will flow toward the stronger currency.
【EUR/JPY】
Monthly chart: 22nd candle / 21
Weekly chart: 4th cycle, 12th candle / 10
Weekly volatility: 526 pips
Daily chart: 1st cycle, 57th candle / 47
4HC: 5th cycle, 9th candle / 5 or
continuation must be considered.
This is how I’m reading it.
Theoretically, 4HC appears to have closed,
but there is also a possibility of another decline.
If we consider the moment the daily chart closes,
we may need to view the extended 4HC as a possibility.
【GBP/JPY】
Monthly chart: 22nd candle
Weekly chart: 4th cycle, 11th candle / 11
Weekly volatility: 615 pips
Daily chart: 2nd cycle, 24th candle / 23
4HC: 2nd cycle, 62nd candle / 54 LT
This is how I’m reading it.
I am considering the possibility of another downside move.
Therefore, 4HC has not closed, and I see a breakout below the starting point.
If the daily chart 2nd and 4HC 2nd show a breakout of the starting point,
the daily chart itself may be at risk of breaking the starting point.
【AUD/JPY】
Monthly chart: 14th candle / 13
Weekly chart: 3rd cycle, 11th candle / 11
Weekly volatility: 339 pips
Daily chart: 2nd cycle, 24th candle / 21
4HC: 2nd cycle, 60th candle / 37 LT
This is where we stand.
There is room for about 20 candles for a move,
and a future low could be updated.
The view that the cross-yen 4HC has not closed may be the correct one.
****************************
20260503_FX_MarketEnvironment_VideoCommentary
https://youtu.be/4yfaW5JcAvE
*****************************
*****************************
US10Y 4.372 -0.05%
DJI 49,499 dollars -152
US500 +0.06%
WTI 99.265 dollars
BRN 108.17 dollars
Nikkei 225 59,512 yen +228
****************************
Let’s learn together.
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/70675
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/30872
【Iroha-gumi (168)_2】
Registration URL：
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/rooms/33239
Now, be mindful
Hello.
It’s a bright yet cloudy day in the southern Kanto region.
Since the forecast says it will be getting worse at night,
I’d like to finish outdoor activities while it’s still light.
I’ve been moving since this morning,
so my body feels good.
It seems blood circulation has improved.
Now, on Thursday there was a 5 trillion yen intervention,
and Friday there was a near-intervention as well,
and since London is closed on Monday the 4th,
there may be another move,
Mr. Mimura, perhaps.
Let’s keep a careful watch.
Now, let’s confirm.
This is the number of candles at the close of the daily chart.
【EUR/USD】
Monthly chart: 17th candle / 13
Weekly chart: 3rd cycle, 8th candle / 6
Weekly volatility: 130 pips
Daily chart: 1st cycle, 36th candle / 26 or
Daily chart: 2nd cycle, 2nd candle / 2
4HC, 4th or 1st: 11th candle / 10
This is how I’m reading it.
The US dollar appears to be headed lower,
but it cannot clearly rally,
it seems to move within a narrow weekly range.
Going forward, the bias remains bullish,
but the key is how far it can rise.
****************************
20260503_FX_MarketEnvironment_VideoCommentary
https://youtu.be/4yfaW5JcAvE
*****************************
【USD/JPY】
Monthly chart: 21st candle
Weekly chart: 3rd cycle, 33rd candle / 33
Weekly volatility: 523 pips
HPC 2nd cycle: 68th candle / 67 or
Daily chart 3rd cycle: 11th candle / 10 LT
4HC: 6th or 1st: 62nd candle / 53 LT
This is how I’m reading it.
There is no strong reason for the yen to gain,
but it seems as if intervention pushed yen higher forcibly.
Technically,
it feels like there could be another intervention,
at least a little.
If the daily chart closes higher, I’m watching for another advance.
【GBP/USD】
Monthly chart: 17th candle / 13
Weekly chart: 3rd cycle, 5th candle / 5
Weekly volatility: 203 pips
Daily chart: 1st cycle, 24th candle / 24
4HC: 3rd cycle, 37th candle / 36
This is how I’m reading it.
The British pound looks strong.
It has risen sharply in 4HC cycle 3.
GBP/USD rises
USD/JPY falls
GBP/JPY is at a crossroads.
Capital will flow toward the stronger currency.
【EUR/JPY】
Monthly chart: 22nd candle / 21
Weekly chart: 4th cycle, 12th candle / 10
Weekly volatility: 526 pips
Daily chart: 1st cycle, 57th candle / 47
4HC: 5th cycle, 9th candle / 5 or
continuation must be considered.
This is how I’m reading it.
Theoretically, 4HC appears to have closed,
but there is also a possibility of another decline.
If we consider the moment the daily chart closes,
we may need to view the extended 4HC as a possibility.
【GBP/JPY】
Monthly chart: 22nd candle
Weekly chart: 4th cycle, 11th candle / 11
Weekly volatility: 615 pips
Daily chart: 2nd cycle, 24th candle / 23
4HC: 2nd cycle, 62nd candle / 54 LT
This is how I’m reading it.
I am considering the possibility of another downside move.
Therefore, 4HC has not closed, and I see a breakout below the starting point.
If the daily chart 2nd and 4HC 2nd show a breakout of the starting point,
the daily chart itself may be at risk of breaking the starting point.
【AUD/JPY】
Monthly chart: 14th candle / 13
Weekly chart: 3rd cycle, 11th candle / 11
Weekly volatility: 339 pips
Daily chart: 2nd cycle, 24th candle / 21
4HC: 2nd cycle, 60th candle / 37 LT
This is where we stand.
There is room for about 20 candles for a move,
and a future low could be updated.
The view that the cross-yen 4HC has not closed may be the correct one.
****************************
20260503_FX_MarketEnvironment_VideoCommentary
https://youtu.be/4yfaW5JcAvE
*****************************
*****************************
US10Y 4.372 -0.05%
DJI 49,499 dollars -152
US500 +0.06%
WTI 99.265 dollars
BRN 108.17 dollars
Nikkei 225 59,512 yen +228
****************************
Let’s learn together.
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/70675
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/30872
【Iroha-gumi (168)_2】
Registration URL：
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/rooms/33239
Now, be mindful