Japan has long upheld the stance of "escaping deflation." Isn't the real test just around the corner?
0
Gogojan President Hayakawa and I in a VTR dialogue can be viewed here
Good morning, everyone.
Trump seems to have been shot again; was it an inside job?
It felt like watching the Clint Eastwood movie “The Enforcer”
The market hasn’t reacted, so I don’t think it changes much.
This morning the USD/JPY opened a bit higher on the gap, but it’s a quiet start.
Last week moved about 1 yen, so it was easier to spot a trend when trading on the 1-minute chart breaking from range to range.
This is now a “guaranteed” method of judgment, so I think users will understand.
You can also look at the volume immediately after a buy/sell reversal.
Or target the breakout of the billion-trade line right after the reversal.
Or use the most recent highs and lows after the reversal as a stop and go all-in.
There are multiple methods, so I think you should create patterns you like and are good at.
If you look at the billion-trade chart up to that point, you’ll see that the probability of whether it goes up or down afterward is roughly 50%
Since it’s on the table, continuing to produce results will raise the accuracy and success rate of your trades.
Now this week there are policy rate announcements from major countries.
Starting with the Bank of Japan tomorrow, then BOJ → Canada → USA → UK
continues.
The forecast is to keep rates unchanged, as if collusion.
Whether the hold is already priced in or not is unclear.
In Japan, they will likely raise gradually.
Here, let me take a moment to look back at Japan’s politics and policy.
From my memory, even before Abe's administration there was talk of “exiting deflation,” but now we are in a situation of outright inflation, thus deflation is not being exited.
Something is wrong, hence the public suffers; normally, inflation means interest rates rise, which creates various troubles.
Not only the public, but corporate earnings and stocks deteriorate as well.
After all, businesses borrow money heavily, so distortions will appear somewhere.
Many companies will fail due to inflation and rising interest rates.
That drop is probably the first step, and that’s natural to think, right?
Well, I don’t think the government aimed for this, but it’s become an unexpected development.
Even if it becomes inflation, there will be companies that raise earnings by riding it, and I think being a trader is exactly that.
First, the movement after this week’s interest rate decision.
Can Trump’s war be enough already?
It feels like a staged puppet show, so I think we can consider it when needed.
Thank you for your continued support today as well.
For traders who really want to succeed in trading and earn a living from it, my recommended product that can be learned independently is this trading technique ↓
× ![]()