【Trail to Dream_FX_Main Currencies_Situation Awareness and Memo_20260419】
【Path to Dreams_FX_Main Currencies_Market Environment Awareness & Memo_20260419】
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/70675
April 19, Sunday.
Hello.
We are living a life with no exposure to the outdoors
and the weather is also a mystery to us.
Even though it’s an examination admission,
one week of hospitalization is hard to endure,
I can’t help but feel.
Now, the U.S. dollar is likely to be sold
in the coming period.
I see trading in the dollar pairs as more understandable
at this time.
Also, since I will be discharged on Tuesday,
I cannot publish on Monday or Tuesday.
Please forgive me.
Now, let’s verify.
This is the number of bars at the closing timing of the daily chart.
【EUR/USD】
Monthly: 16th / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 6th / 6
Weekly volatility: 185 pips
Daily: 1st cycle, 26th / 26
4HC 2nd cycle, 86th / 84
We interpret it as.
As the 4HC 2nd closes,
the subsequent rise appears within sight.
If an upward Dow forms on the 1-hour chart,
I would consider buying/going long.
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20260419_FX_Market Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/ZO34bklVkW8
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【USD/JPY】
Monthly: 20th
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 31st / 29
Weekly volatility: 227 pips
Daily: 3rd or HPC 2nd, 58th / 44
4HC 5th cycle, 45th / 19
We interpret it as.
The USD/JPY 4-hour chart has entered a boxed area.
Although 4HC 5 has broken the origin,
how far it will continue is something we must consider with the daily close timing,
making it a difficult currency pair.
【GBP/USD】
Monthly: 16th / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 3rd / 3
Weekly volatility: 218 pips
Daily: 1st cycle, 14th / 14
4HC 1st cycle, 84th / 82
We interpret it as.
The 4-hour chart is showing a strong rise.
From an impulsive Elliott perspective,
this could be an irregular B wave formation.
Closing 4HC
and a renewed rise becomes a possible scenario.
【EUR/JPY】
Monthly: 21st / 21
Weekly: 4th cycle, 10th / 10
Weekly volatility: 175 pips
Daily: 1st cycle, 47th / 47
4HC 4th cycle, 86th / 82
We interpret it as.
It is the timing for the closure of 4HC
and the daily chart 1 may close soon.
I feel it will go up.
If it does not close,
it becomes a Half Primary Cycle (HPC).
【GBP/JPY】
Monthly: 21st
Weekly: 4th cycle, 9th / 9
Weekly volatility: 213 pips
Daily: 2nd cycle, 14th / 12
4HC 1st or 4th, 80th / 67
We interpret it as.
Daily is normally considered MC,
but a Half Primary Cycle (HPC) is also suspected.
The next target is a pullback buy
with a bullish bias.
【AUD/JPY】
Monthly: 13th / 13
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 9th / 9
Weekly volatility: 266 pips
Daily: 2nd cycle, 14th / 14
4HC 1st cycle, 80th / 76
The movement on Monday will determine
whether more bearish candles form
Or if 4HC closes and it rises
That would be the key point.
This is a pullback buy.
AUD/USD is rising on risk-on,
so if USD/JPY cannot break out of the box,
AUD/USD will be strongly affected.
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20260419_FX_Market Environment_Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/ZO34bklVkW8
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US10Y 4.248 -1.55%
DJI 49,447 dollars +868
US500 +1.24%
WTI 83.605 dollars
BRN 90.38 dollars
Nikkei 225 58,475 yen -1,042
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Let’s learn together.
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/70675
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/30872
【Iroha-gumi (168) 2】
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Noubitorei
