The English translation (keeping HTML format, no added line breaks, with decoded text): Heaven-and-earth FX logic, losing left and right lol www
I am a candlestick FX trader.
Until last week, there was an atmosphere that the US and Iran might reach an agreement,
U.S. stocks and Nikkei futures rose sharply and the week ended on a high.
However, due to weekend negotiations fading and news such as Iran’s re-blockading of the Strait of Hormuz,
the Sunday Dow fell, and today’s Nikkei also shows a bit of a wait-and-see mood.
If I had to summarize the current market in one word,
it is a market that is bouncing around due to Iran’s situation.
Now,“Tenjin FX Logic”,
we receive a lot of questions from many people every day.
One of the common questions is,
“How accurate is it?”
That is the gist of it.
Hmm.
This is indeed a part that people worry about, but
to be honest, I don’t trade with much awareness of such things,
so I don’t understand it very well (lol).
That’s because it’s not very meaningful.
First, the market cannot be anticipated.
If there were someone who claimed to be able to predict the market,
they are lying or they are a bit of a fool who knows nothing about the market.
Even when stock prices were rising smoothly,
a single remark from the president Trump can abruptly change the market,
that’s the current market.
Of course not only now, but in the past and in the future it will be the same.
The market, when some speech or event occurs,
changes rapidly and prices are formed.
And to predict the market means
to predict when and at what timing these things will happen.
Under no circumstances should you think that moving averages or MACD will continue to rise just because they are pointing up (lol).
They simply reflect that prices rose in the past and are now oriented upward; they cannot predict the future.
Even a signal tool that combines indicators to produce arrows cannot predict the future.
Please don’t misunderstand this.
Now,
“Tenjin FX Logic”, what about that?
To be clear,“Tenjin FX Logic”also
cannot predict the future.
And regarding accuracy, I’m not sure what exactly that means, but
since it cannot predict the future,
you may end up buying or selling at odd points when you look back later.
Now, let us actually look at where one would enter.
Hey, it seems that Tenjin FX Logic buys at the bottom and sells at the top,
but this appears to be buying at the top and selling at the bottom www
—that kind of feedback might be coming (lol).
※The red arrows are simply marks indicating the timing when the entry conditions were reached in this Tenjin FX Logic; they are not a sign tool that emits arrows or other signs.
“Tenjin FX Logic”cannot predict the future, so
naturally, you may end up entering at absurd points when you look back.
The upper chart deliberately shows places where an entry signal appeared at absurd points.
I suppose no one would deliberately show such places for sale (lol).
This is because you should not have excessive expectations for
“Tenjin FX Logic”.
I will be frank.
You cannot predict the future.
And naturally, you may enter at odd places when you look back,
and you will lose.
What I can do is not predict the future but
follow the market.
When the crowd buys, I also buy,
and when the crowd sells, I also sell.
That’s all I can do.
However, many people try to outsmart the crowd.
Before the crowd buys, they want to buy first themselves,
before the crowd sells, they want to sell first themselves.
Even when no one has bought yet, they analyze and try to predict the future to buy ahead of others.
Of course, that never works.
And of course, the price is decided by the crowd.
Therefore, rather than predicting the future,
I continually follow the crowd.
And of course“Tenjin FX Logic”is designed to follow this logic.
Now, let us see how the actual trades looked before and after the chart above.
Total: +136.9 pipsTotal: +136.9pips
This isThis is“Tenjin FX Logic”“Tenjin FX Logic”traded according to the rules.traded according to the rules.
If you look at the same chart during the same time,If you look at the same chart during the same time,
everyone would have similar results.everyone would have similar results.
There are also trades that buy at the top and sell at the bottom, butThere are also trades that buy at the top and sell at the bottom, but
when you review later, the profits remain solid.when you review later, the profits remain solid.
This is becauseThis is because, with Tenjin FX Logic, if you hold a position in a direction different from the crowd,“Tenjin FX Logic”is designed so that if you hold a position that goes against the crowd’s direction,
or if you hold a position and Trump speaks or the Iran situation suddenly changes,or if you hold a position and Trump makes some remark or the Iran situation changes abruptly,
or some other material appears that causes the crowd to take the opposite position,or some news comes out and the crowd suddenly takes the opposite position,
you immediately adjust your position.you immediately adjust your position.
This is natural.This is natural.
When the crowd was buying, but suddenly due to some material they turn to selling,When the crowd was buying, but due to some news they turn to selling,
there is no reason for you to hold a buying position anymore.I no longer have a reason to hold a buy position.
Therefore, you immediately cut the buying position andTherefore, I immediately cut the buy position and
hold the same selling position as the crowd.align with the crowd by holding a sell position.
This is done without hesitation.I do this without hesitation.
Why did my buying position go into a loss,Why did my buy position end up with a loss,
why did I think it would rise when it falls,why did I think it would rise when it’s falling,
I don’t think about such things at all.I don’t think about such things at all.
After I bought, if some material comes out andIf some news comes out after I bought and the crowd turns to selling,
the crowd turns to sell, I just think, oh, that’s why, and follow with selling too.I think, oh, that’s why, and follow with selling as well.
Boxers train to counter-punch reflexively when the opponent throws a punch,Boxers train to counter-punch reflexively, and the same logic applies to trading.
and keep practicing until their body moves automatically.The body moves automatically through practice.
In the same way, when the crowd takes the opposite position, I, without hesitation or emotion, reflexivelyIn the same way, when the crowd takes the opposite position, I reflexively
take the position in the same direction as the crowd again.take the position in the same direction as the crowd again, without hesitation or emotion.
This is all I can do.This is all I can do.
I will repeat: I cannot predict the future.I will say it again: I cannot predict the future.
Therefore,Therefore,“Tenjin FX Logic”“Tenjin FX Logic”is not a tool with a defined accuracy.is not about accuracy defined in a specific way.
And since it cannot predict the future,Because it cannot predict the future, it is probably not good to rely on it too much.
there will be times when, in hindsight, you entered at odd points.
Next, let’s look at how the trades actually played out in the upper chart.In some market conditions, the win rate may not be high.
However, accuracy or win rate are irrelevant.
What I can do is either follow the crowd or not,
and that’s all.
After taking a position, whether it goes against you or you are swung around,
you simply follow along.
As a result, in the upper chart, even if you buy at the top and incur about a 20 pips loss,
you cut immediately, sell when the crowd sells, and you take 65 pips.
Even if you end up selling at the bottom,
you cut losses immediately, switch to buying when the crowd buys, and recover.
Of course, you also do trades that generate profit without being swung around.
By always following the crowd and focusing on profitable trades,
the overall result is over 100 pips of profit.
The upper chart shows something like buying at the top and selling at the bottom,
an intentionally extreme example for Tenjin FX Logic,and yet by following the crowd you still maintain profits overall.
Even in markets that didn’t go well,
you can still remain profitable by following the crowd.
So, in total, you can still generate profits.
To reiterate,
predicting the future is impossible.
Seeing past market-fit signals as if they predict the future can be misleading,
as no one in the world can predict the future.
Today, tomorrow, what Trump will say,
or what happens in the world,or what will happen in the world.
nobody knows.
Nevertheless, the market moves with these kinds of factors.However, the market moves based on these materials.
Under no circumstances should you think prices move because of lines or indicators.Do not think lines or indicators cause price movements by themselves.
That’s not how it works.
Even if you happened to catch the point where it reacted,
it only appears that way because you captured a moment when the line or indicator reacted.
If fortune-tellers’ predictions sometimes come true,
it only looks like they predict the future.
Well, fortune-tellers are good at words,
and they are skilled at making their predictions look like they came true,
but there are no people who truly predict the future.
Today or tomorrow, we don’t know what Trump will say,
Complete calm: the future cannot be predicted.
We cannot know what Trump will say today.
Yet, to predict the market is the same as trying to do that.
What we can do is
follow the crowd as much as possible,
and that’s all.
Of course we may hold positions that differ from the crowd,
or after taking a position,
the crowd may take the opposite position due to some news.
In such cases, we acknowledge our mistake immediately
and again take a position in the same direction as the crowd.
By doing this diligently, you always hold a favorable position
and later realize profits.
And if you follow this faithfully, you can even take large profits like this.
These trades were entered at points where the market would not have expected the market to continue this far.
If you follow the crowd and hold positions until they drop, you can imagine earning large profits.
In some trading methods, you may set profits in advance or close positions after a fixed pips,
but that ignores the crowd's movements.
How far prices go cannot be known in advance.
Maybe after 10 pips, the crowd will drop, or after 100 pips.
Predicting this in advance is impossible.
What you can do is follow the crowd and drop with them when they do.
By doing this consistently, you can aim for maximum profit at all times.
Okay?
Always, the crowd is right.
Your predictions or wishes don’t matter.
Always, the crowd determines prices.
And by always following the crowd, you can maintain a consistently advantageous position.
This is what makes“Tenjin FX Logic”a decision-making framework without discretionary bias.
“Tenjin FX Logic”.
In the market, there is no need to do anything special.
There is no need to do difficult things.
Just follow the crowd.
Now, let’s work hard this week as well.
If you want to follow the crowd consistently and trade with an edge, please see here.