Investor's perspective ⇒ 5.2 Tokyo Dome "THE DAY" Shōta Inoue vs. Jun Narutani match result prediction
Yesterday's 4.11 PRIME VIDEO BOXING 15 WBC bantamweight world title challenger match.
Was it the limit or awakening? That was the theme of the bout, but
Tsunenobu (Naoya Inoue) won by TKO.
I think he looked good from start to finish.
He was not outmatched physically by Estrada.
Since turning to professional boxing, I think this was his best performance yet.
Today, from an investor's perspective
I will predict the result of the 5.2 Tokyo Dome match: Naoya Inoue vs Jun Narita.
I won't bet, but if I were to bet
what kind of outcome I would forecast.
I forecast Inoue to win by a margin of more than 5 points on the judges' scorecards.
Inoue's victory is a full bet.
Sorry. It's not interesting at all as it's largely what most people predict.
But investing is about staking on such outcomes to win.
Entertainment isn't related to winning or losing.
In terms of the bout flow, I think Inoue will box on the outside as in the Akhmadiev fight
and not allow Narita to land punches.
Inoue will realize, as in the Nery or Cuadras fights,
that taking risks to engage in exchanges isn't very advantageous.
Inoue's boxing IQ won't let him.
A seasoned Inoue would rather end his career without a KO to excite the crowd
and shift toward not losing.
If Inoue moves up to featherweight,
the basic approach of surely winning, as in the Akhmadiev fight, will become even more essential.
If Inoue is countered by outside boxing from Inoue,
Narita cannot win on points.
If Narita presses, Inoue will move his feet to slip and dodge.
He will instantaneously move to a distance where he cannot be hit.
As long as his movement speed remains,
it's hard to picture Inoue losing.
If Narita has a chance, it would be in the early attacks.
If the slow-starting Inoue comes forward for exchanges, the opportunity grows.
However, Inoue probably won't do that.
Unless an injury to the foot occurs during the fight,
or an accident like getting hit or dislocated shoulder happens,
he will steadily accumulate points with his trademark movement.
And Naoya Inoue by decision!
If Narita were to win
there might be a rematch at the end of the year,
but that kind of result is unlikely.
This might seem like a one-shot chance, but
I predict it will turn out to be a no-contest tie-up for Tettan trade.
What do you all think the outcome will be?