It was different from what I expected.

I am a candlestick FX trader.

"The Market Top and Bottom Logic" has been released for about a week now,
and it has truly reached a great many people.

Sorry, honestly, I didn’t expect that so many people would pick it up.
汗

And, when I saw Gogojan's top page,
I was even more surprised.

In the "New Products Ranking" and "Notable Developers" as well as
the "Popular Products Ranking,"
oddly, all of them ranked No. 1!










This is something I didn’t anticipate at all.

Products listed on Gogojan are generally dominated by EA and signal tools,
and I had assumed the site attracted members who wanted such things.


Therefore, my logic was more like
a product that would sell quietly and gradually.

My logic uses only candlesticks;
it doesn’t make charts flashy.

There are no arrows either.

So, at a glance,
it might not seem very attractive.

Because I was aware of this myself,
I assumed it would only attract a small number of people.

But in this way, many people are getting it,
and each one has ranked No. 1.

My logic does not use indicators or signal tools at all.

They merely make the past price movements easier to understand,
and cannot predict the future.

When I was losing,
I tried many indicators and signal tools and used them.

In particular, signal tools show arrows,
which can easily lead people to mistaken beliefs that the future can be predicted.

Calmly think about it.

Do you think there are tools that can predict the market’s future?

Furthermore, a signal tool that makes past price movements easier to understand
— why would it be able to predict the future?

When talking with various traders,
most believe the market is governed by continuity.

If the trend has been rising up to this moment,
they think it is likely to continue rising.

Thus, many try hard to determine whether we are in a trend or in a range.


This is like coin tossing: if a head comes up three times in a row,
you might think heads will come up again next time.
In reality, the probability of heads is always 1/2 each flip.

The number of times heads has appeared in the past has no effect.


This is something learned in middle school math, isn’t it?



However, many people forget this.

In the market, no matter how long it has been in an uptrend,
it can reverse to a downtrend at any time.

How the price has moved in the past does not affect future movements.


The market operates with nonlinearity.

If you don’t understand this,
you’ll keep clinging to past price movements and
continue trading while mistakenly thinking you can predict the future.

And when I was losing,
I thought exactly that and could never seem to win.

Don’t cling to the past price movements.

So, how are prices formed and how do they move?

Prices are the difference between buyers and sellers.


That is what moves them.

That is all there is to it.

If there are more buyers than sellers, prices fall; if more buyers than sellers, prices rise.


That is how prices move.
This is how the market operates.

This is an unchangeable fact.

However, few traders understand this when they trade.

Large traders and institutions trade exactly on this supply and demand.

They are in a position to see their clients’ orders,
so they know what other traders are holding.


For example, the dollar-yen is just shy of 160 yen and isn’t rising further.

Why, with Japanese government bonds yields rising and fiscal stimulus, does it not rise above 160?



That’s because large traders are avoiding aggressive buying.

They are waiting for intervention in the currency market.

If it goes above 160, the chance of intervention increases.

So they are deliberately waiting.

And the moment intervention occurs,
they plan to flood with dollar buying and yen selling.

Therefore, they are not actively entering new dollar-buying and yen-selling at this moment.


If you don’t understand this and say,
“Upward trend means buy dollar-yen!”
you will be easily caught out.

And if you think intervention occurred and the trend turned downward,
and you sell dollar-yen, you will still be hit.



After intervention, big players will buy heavily again,
and dollar-yen will rise again quickly.

People who trade using indicators and rely on technical analysis are often those who trade like this daily.


Listen carefully.

Whether it’s an uptrend or a downtrend,
defining them is not meaningful.

If you don’t understand what participants in the market are thinking now,
what tactics they are trying to implement,
you will just be swung by the big players.

The market always moves on this supply and demand.

Buyers and sellers,
who is more,
and what each of them is thinking,
if you don’t trade based on this, you cannot win.


Trading that relies on indicators and signal tools is like riding a bike blindfolded.


If you don’t understand supply and demand, your funds will vanish in no time,

and you won’t even understand why the price moved against you after entry,
so you will just wait for the next arrow signal.

And this supply-demand trading,
made accessible to everyone without discretion, is
"The Market Top and Bottom Logic".


And now, I would like to share messages from people who are practicing and understanding this.
I will introduce them.

This message was introduced recently as well,
and it is exactly as written.

What the person who sent this message is saying,
"to strike at the turning point where the supply-demand balance shifts"
This is precisely the trading method that uses that idea.

This time the logic is
from a state where more people wanted to buy than sell,
to the moment when more people want to sell than buy, you initiate selling,
and conversely, from a state where more people wanted to sell,
to the moment when more people want to buy, you initiate buying.

Therefore, it allows you to trade aiming for the market’s top and bottom at all times.

Some people spend a lot of effort trying to catch the top and bottom by looking at charts,
but no matter how many indicators you add,
you cannot know the exact top or bottom.

Unless you look at supply and demand, you cannot know the top or bottom.

It is not charts, but supply and demand.

What I want to convey this time is exactly this sentence.


And because those who understood this importance and practiced it were more numerous than I expected (excuse me),
this time, more people than expected picked it up,
and they all seem to be ranking No. 1.


So, this time I was happy that all of them ranked No. 1, and I wrote this article (…)

Also, regarding this logic,
after it was released, many people showed interest,
and already many people have picked it up.

Currently I haven’t been able to reply to all the questions and messages of joy,
but as even the “God-level traders” have introduced it,
I want to enhance support as well,
and I absolutely do not want to neglect support.


On the other hand, I am conducting the listing activity by myself,
so all development, support, and updates are done by me alone.

Under such circumstances, time is inevitably limited.

Therefore, if in the future support can’t keep up and many people pick up this logic,
I would prefer to prioritize support and
consider restricting or even stopping sales.


Also to provide more substantial support,
and to ensure first-mover advantage as well,
I plan to raise prices as part of the meaning of purchase restrictions.

In simple terms, the more items are sold, the higher the price will rise
.

So, while I can’t say how sales will proceed,
at least one thing can be said:
if you’re considering it, you should purchase as soon as possible.
Before sales stop or prices rise significantly, I recommend picking it up.

"The point where supply-demand balance shifts" If you want to trade,
please take a look here.

The Market Top and Bottom Logic