Popular indicator 'SIMSONIC' forward test! What are the results of the one-week auto-dot-ten (autodoten)?"

Hello, this is Jerusalem.

Currently, amid historical volatility caused by the Iran situation, I conducted a harsh public stress test to see “what happens if I run my EA product now?” using my product EA “Loop-Turnaround_EA.”

This time, using the popular indicator ‘SIMSONIC,’ I will publish, without any modification, one week’s raw data from running four patterns (15-minute and 1-hour charts × GOLD and Nikkei 225) simultaneously on a demo account of a well-known broker.

【EA Brand and Timeframe Performance Report】

① XAUUSD, M15

• Wins-Losses: 29-61 (total 90 trades) Win rate: 32.2%

• Profit: -264,065 JPY

• Maximum Drawdown (largest loss per single trade): -42,777 JPY (Note: because this logic has periods of low win rate with consecutive losses, the actual cumulative drawdown is even larger)

② XAUUSD, H1

• Wins-Losses: 6-9 (total 15 trades) Win rate: 40.0%

• Profit: +72,844 JPY

• Maximum Drawdown (largest loss per single trade): -77,124 JPY

③ JPN225, M15

• Wins-Losses: 26-43 (total 69 trades) Win rate: 37.7%

• Profit: +35,998 JPY

• Maximum Drawdown (largest loss per single trade): -4,451 JPY

④ JPN225, H1

• Wins-Losses: 6-10 (total 16 trades) Win rate: 37.5%

• Profit: +35,099 JPY

• Maximum Drawdown (largest loss per single trade): -9,867 JPY

■ Insights from the numbers for “operational tips”

From these results, there are three important points we should learn.

1. The importance of “expectation value”: why is Nikkei 225 positive?

What to watch is not the win rate. In all settings, the win rate is in the 30–40% range, relatively low.

However, the reason Nikkei 225 (③・④) can stay in profit is that the strategy “minimize losses and win big on a single trend (small losses, big gains)” works.

In particular, Nikkei 225 has less noise than GOLD, and the purity of the indicator’s signals is maintained at a higher level.

2. “Maximum Drawdown” and bankruptcy risk

The cause of the large losses for GOLD 15-minute (①) is that the maximum drawdown was too deep relative to volatility.

If you lose about 42,000 JPY at once (about 10% of margin) in a row, compound interest will quickly bankrupt the account.

By contrast, the maximum drawdown for Nikkei 225 15-minute (③) is only 4,451 JPY.

With that, you can endure several losing streaks and wait for the next big trend.

3. A “survival strategy” for long-term operation

The most stable is “④ JPN225, H1.”

Trade frequency is low, but the per-trade expectation is high, offering the best balance with risk (drawdown).

Suppress the urge to “make money quickly” and trade on the 15-minute chart, and instead hold steady on the 1-hour chart, which is the shortcut to long-term profitability.

■ Summary

In the current volatile market, it is extremely difficult to continue earning profits, but this verification demonstrates with data that for the Nikkei 225 on the 1-hour chart, you can survive (and trade effectively) even in extremely volatile markets without taking big losses.

This is the original EA I developed, which can automate any signal tool in one minute.

Please use past testing to fully reveal the true potential of your own indicators!

▼ I will convert your indicator into a fully automated EA in one go! ‘Loop-Turnaround_EA’

https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/indicators/77630