Popular indicator 'SIMSONIC' forward test! What are the results of the one-week auto-dot-ten (autodoten)?"

Hello, this is Jerusalem.

Currently, amid historic volatility caused by the situation in Iran, I conducted a harsh public stress test to see “what happens if I run it now” using my listing EA “Loop-Turnaround_EA.”

This time, using the popular indicator “SIMSONIC,” I will publish one week’s worth of raw data from four patterns (GOLD and the Nikkei 225 on 15-minute and 1-hour Time Frames) running simultaneously on a demo account with a market-maker broker, with no editing whatsoever.

【EA Brand & Time Frame Performance Report】

① XAUUSD, M15

• Win-Loss: 29 wins 61 losses (total 90 trades) Win rate: 32.2%

• Profit: -264,065 yen

• Maximum Drawdown (maximum loss per single trade): -42,777 yen (Note: because the win rate is low and there are periods of consecutive losses, the actual cumulative drawdown would be larger)

② XAUUSD, H1

• Win-Loss: 6 wins 9 losses (total 15 trades) Win rate: 40.0%

• Profit: +72,844 yen

• Maximum Drawdown (maximum loss per single trade): -77,124 yen

③ JPN225, M15

• Win-Loss: 26 wins 43 losses (total 69 trades) Win rate: 37.7%

• Profit: +35,998 yen

• Maximum Drawdown (maximum loss per single trade): -4,451 yen

④ JPN225, H1

• Win-Loss: 6 wins 10 losses (total 16 trades) Win rate: 37.5%

• Profit: +35,099 yen

• Maximum Drawdown (maximum loss per single trade): -9,867 yen

■ Read the “operational tips” from the numbers

From these results, there are three important points we should learn.

1. The importance of “expected value”: Why is Nikkei 225 positive?

What to focus on is not the win rate. In all settings, win rates are in the 30–40% range, relatively low.

However, the reason Nikkei 225 (③・④) remains profitable is that “keeping losses small and winning big on a single trend (loss small, profit large)” is functioning.

In particular, Nikkei 225 has less noise than GOLD, and the indicator signals remain purer and more reliable.

2. “Maximum Drawdown” and bankruptcy risk

The reason GOLD 15-minute in case ① performed badly is that the maximum drawdown against the volatility was too deep.

If you repeatedly lose about 42,000 yen (about 10% of margin) in a single trade, compound trading will quickly bankrupt the account.

By contrast, the Nikkei 225 15-minute in case ③ has a maximum drawdown of only 4,451 yen.

This allows you to endure a few losses while waiting for the next big trend.

3. A “survival strategy” for long-term operation

The most stable is “④ JPN225, H1.”

Trade frequency is low, but the per-trade expected value is high, and the risk (drawdown) balance is the best.

Resist the urge to chase quick gains on a 15-minute chart and instead sit firmly on the 1-hour chart, which ultimately leads to long-term profitability.

■ Summary

In the current volatile market, sustaining profits is extremely difficult, but this test data demonstrates that with the Nikkei 225 on the 1-hour chart, you can survive, even in a very rough market, without taking heavy losses (and can compete effectively).

Here is the original EA I developed that can automate any indicator tool in one minute.

Please perform past-testing to reveal the true potential of your own indicators!

▼ I will turn your indicator into a complete deluge EA! ‘Loop-Turnaround_EA’

https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/indicators/77630