【Episode 5】“I can see it, but I can’t reproduce it”
【Episode 5】The true nature of “I can see it, but I can’t reproduce it”
Why it doesn’t go well even when you understand it.
Introduction: To those who have read up to this point
Thank you truly for reading from Episode 1 up to here.
If you’ve read this far, you’re likely
「Charts alone may not be enough」
「There are reasons why the same shape yields different results」
and you’re starting to feel that sense little by little.
I’ve struggled in the exact same places.
Understanding it and still being unable to do it.
When trading,
“I understand it in my head, but for some reason I can’t do it”
is a feeling you might have.
It can be painful, right?
You know correlations are important,
you know you should reduce unnecessary trades,
and yet many people truly understand this.
Still,
you enter anyway when you notice it.
Looking back later, you think, “I didn’t need to enter.”
I have repeated this many times as well.
The problem wasn’t the way you viewed it
My former self always thought,
“I have to learn to see it better.”
I believed so.
Learn how to draw lines,
add indicators,
fine-tune entry points.
But no matter how much I learned, I couldn’t stabilize.
Looking back now, the issue wasn’t there.
The sense of “not being able to process”
The movement of GOLD, the flow of the dollar, correlations with other assets.
There isn’t just one piece of information you should look at,
and organizing and judging them in real time is harder than you might think.
When you look at the chart later,
you think, “I shouldn’t have taken that position,”
but at that moment you can’t judge it.
It’s not that you lack ability; you’re simply not “able to process it all” yet.
Reasons why it cannot be reproduced
Even if a trade goes well,
you try to do it the same way and you can’t reproduce it.
The reason is simple as well.
You think you’re watching closely every time,
but in reality you’re making slightly different judgments.
That’s why the results aren’t stable.
This state was the most painful for me.
The moment I felt a bit lighter
What changed greatly was not that I gained a “special way of seeing.”
It was when I started to be able to judge in the same way more often.
If the conditions are the same, you enter.
If you feel something different, you pass.
As this gradually came together, the burden of trading lightened.
It wasn’t a matter of talent
Honestly, I used to think I might not be cut out for it.
But now I think:
It wasn’t a difference in “sense,”
it was about whether there was a system to stabilize judgments.
Why people tend to waver
No matter how much you understand,
when you’re tired or on a losing streak,
when you’re a little anxious,
your judgments easily drift.
I think this is true for everyone.
What was needed was “stabilization”
What mattered most to me was not so much “seeing correctly,”
but “creating a state where you can keep making the same judgments.”
That gradually reduced unnecessary trades.
The previous discussion now connects gradually
to this point
Reasons you do nothing on some days.
Reasons why the same shape yields different results.
A sense of things going well only when they’re matched.
All of this was about judgmental fluctuation and reproducibility.
The remaining challenge
Even up to this point, challenges remain.
“How can I stabilize that?”
This was the final barrier.
Even if you understand it,
if you let your guard down, it can revert back.
I stumbled here many times as well.
The answer I arrived at
Among trying various approaches,
I ultimately settled on a simple way of thinking.
“Don’t let judgments rely on me alone as much as possible.”
That’s all there is to it.
A few things changed little by little
Once I started to be conscious of this,
unnecessary entries decreased,
more losses were acceptable and explained to myself.
As a result, trading as a whole began to settle quietly.
To those who have read this far
If you feel
“I understand it but it doesn’t go well”“where I do it, and where I don’t”
“I want to reduce wasted losses”Look at just that part.
and you feel that way,Even that much should give you something to feel.
you might be in the same place as me.
This weekend, as usual,
I will publish the weekly trade review results.
If you’d like,
In closing
Trading is not about “where to win,” but about
And to that end,
That was the step toward stability.