[Episode 1] Shoukinryu The Only Reason Surviving 11 Years: Explaining the Weight of 11 Years of Backtesting and the decisive difference from short-term EAs
Hello everyone. I am Ashina Risa, the developer of the Gold M5 scalping EA “Shōkinryū.”Ashina Risa
When you hear the phrase “11 years of backtesting,” what impression does it give you? Some may simply overlook it as a number. However, when you deeply understand what this 11-year period signifies, you will see the true value of the automated trading system Shōkinryū.
In this article, I will explain why Shōkinryū has persisted for 11 years, detailing its design philosophy and concrete evidence.
The True Weight of the “11 Years” Figure
There are countless products in the EA market. Many claim impressive backtest results, but most backtests cover only about 1–3 years.
So why did Shōkinryū insist on a long 11-year horizon? It is because it knows how diversely the gold market has faced crises over the past 11 years.
Major crises experienced by Shōkinryū over 11 years
2015— Gold price sudden movement due to the China shock
2016— Market panic from the Brexit referendum
2018— Market disruption from intensifying US–China trade war
March 2020— Unprecedented volatility from the COVID-19 shock
2022— Russia–Ukraine conflict outbreak
2024— Record-breaking crash due to worsening Iran situation
Because it is designed based on data that has experienced so many crises, Shōkinryū possesses versatility that can respond to new, unknown crises. In 1–3 year backtests, many of these crises are not reflected in the data.
A Decisive Difference from Short-Term Backtest EAs
In choosing an EA, the most important factor is the length of the backtest. Let’s compare the differences between short-term and long-term EAs concretely.
Short-term Backtest EA (1–3 years)
- Optimized for specific market conditions
- Data from crisis periods is lacking
- Reasons for good performance may be “rote memorization”
- Cannot adapt when market conditions change
- High risk of rapid performance deterioration in live use
Shōkinryū (11-year backtest)
- Based on data that experienced diverse market conditions
- Track record of overcoming multiple historical crises
- Establishes a highly versatile logic
- Robustness to unknown crises
- Recovery factor of 10 as proof of stability
What the Recovery Factor 10 Demonstrates
Another major feature of Shōkinryū is the metric called “Recovery Factor 10.” Since many people misunderstand this indicator, I will explain it in detail here.
Recovery Factor calculation
Recovery Factor = Cumulative Profit ÷ Maximum Drawdown
RF10 for Shōkinryū = cumulative profit more than 10 times the maximum drawdown over 11 years
What this number means is not that you will never lose. Temporary drawdowns will occur. However, when viewed over the full 11 years, it proves that profits have accumulated at more than 10 times the drawdowns.
Generally, a Recovery Factor of 5 or more is considered excellent. The value of 10 for Shōkinryū is exceptionally high even within the EA industry.
Overwhelming Transparency: YouTube 24-Hour Streaming
No matter how impressive the backtest results are, questions remain: “Will the same results hold in actual operation?” Shōkinryū answers this question most directly.
YouTube 24-hour live streaming
Whether good days or bad days, whenever profit is present or losses are running, all trades are公開リアルタイムで公開し続けています。 Many EA developers hide drawdown information, but Shōkinryū reveals every process without concealment.
This transparency is why Shōkinryū’s backtest results function as proof that it currently works, not merely as past numbers.
Why Shōkinryū is Incredible
- 01 11-year backtestExperience with diverse market environments and crises
- 02 Recovery Factor 10Industry-leading stability indicator
- 03 Win rate 84%High-frequency profits from M5 scalping
- 04 YouTube 24-hour streamingUnparalleled transparency that others cannot imitate
- 05Robustness proven in recent real-world events including the Iran situation crash
“We show everything, both good and bad.”
This transparency and the robustness based on 11 years of data. The combination of these two qualities makes this EA, to the best of my knowledge, unique to Shōkinryū. Next time, I will delve into the core of the M5 scalping logic that underpins Shōkinryū’s 84% win rate.
Ashina Risa
Shōkinryū Developer
Details of each EA and real-time delivery
■ Shōkinryū (M5 scalping • 11-year RF10)
■ CHAOS_GOLD_LISKOFF_MT5 (H1 hedging)
This article does not constitute investment advice. Past performance or results at a certain point in time do not guarantee future results. When using EAs, please operate within your own risk tolerance and with your own judgment and responsibility.
