A quirky EA that earns money with a two-pronged approach of trading and swaps, "INTER-Est."
No averaging down; only a single long position at maximum.
Enter long before the NY market closes to target both swap profits and trading gains「INTER-Est.」
Will swap profits act as insurance?
【INTER-Est.
Currency pair:[USD/JPY]
Trading style:[Day trading]
Maximum number of positions:1
Maximum lots: 1 (can be changed in settings)
Used timeframe: M1
Max stop loss: 0 (variable)
Take profit: 0 (variable)
■2019 Analysis
The forward period is about one month, and it started smoothly with a gain of 52.5 pips.
Looking at it daily, there are days with losses, but overall it has been steadily profitable.
Enter long only before the NY close, aiming to profit from both trading and swap points.
Forward period has a win rate of 78%, and a PF of 2.94, which is excellent and promising for the future.
【Backtest Analysis】
2008.01.01‐2018.12.31
Spread 13
Fixed lot 1
Net profit +315.3万円(年間平均31.5万円)
Maximum drawdown: -62.4万円
Total trades: 2,556回(年間平均255回)
Win rate: 68.74%
PF1.40
Backtest results for the ten-year period from 2008 to 2018.
With an average of about 255 trades per year, you won’t be frustrated by not entering.
Win rate is around 70%, with a PF of 1.40, making it a reasonably good EA.
Recommended margin is fixed at 1 lot, same as the backtests.
(45)+(62.5×2)=170.0(万円)
Therefore about170万円、0.1lotで運用するならば約17万円が安全の目安となりそうです
The expected annual return in this case is 18%
■Monthly and yearly profit/loss
Yearly and monthly analysis shows a significant loss in 2008.
In particular, losses continued from August to October, suggesting that markets with large moves are not suitable.)
On the other hand, since 2009 profits have been steadily earned, but there is some variability.
Rather than using it as the main strategy, combining with multiple EAs might be better.
■About swap points
Let's look at swap points. This is the forward list from March 13 this year; swap profits are listed. 550 yen on the 14th and 21st, and 1,650 yen on March 20.
In addition to trading, accumulation of swap points also seems to provide significant profits. They may also cushion drawdowns to some extent when losses occur.
Backtest results show it is a fairly good EA, but forward operation is still about one month old.
Because it has started very well, I think it's an EA with good potential going forward. I believe so.