Hit for the main scenario! Weekly GOLD Special Commentary, Episode 1 March 9, 2026 (Mon) to 14 (Sat) - Navi+ - GogoJungle | Auto Trading - Market Analysis

※This article is the first weekly GOLD commentary delivered on Saturday, March 15, 2026, for purchasers of the semi-discretionary pyramiding EA "tundere Series." The target week (3/9–3/14) has already ended, and the next week's results are confirmed in the second installment.

This is published as an example of "how to read GOLD in SMC."

【Disclaimer】

This article reflects the author's personal market analysis and is not investment advice or a buy/sell recommendation. The scenarios, entry conditions, TP/SL, etc., are all the author's estimates and do not guarantee profits. Please make investment decisions at your own risk. Trading financial instruments carries the risk of losses exceeding the principal.

tundereTo everyone using the series

This series is delivered every weekend(If you need it, we will try to)deliver ittundereSeries exclusiveGOLD.

“What happened this week” and “What to look at next week”—In Multi-Time-Frame (MTF)MTF,SMCstructure is read,and concrete entry scenarios withSL・TP are shared. It’s not just looking at charts; we describe “which timeframe, what overlaps, and how it moves.”.

tundere【R】"" If you take on this role, this commentary will train your and"judgment.".

■First Episode Special Edition:1 installment: Current GOLD positionA careful, big-picture整理

【Terminology Notes: Main expressions used in this commentary】

・BOS（Break Of Structure）：Prev high/low is broken in the direction of the trend. If rising, new highs; if falling, new lows. BOS occurs.

・CHoCH（Change Of Character）：Highs/Lows breaking against the trend. A signal that the flow is changing, used as an entry trigger on lower timeframes.

・FVG

・OB（Order Block）：The last retracement bar believed to be where big players placed orders. Chart coloring: thin pink = bearish OB (selling origin), light blue = bullish OB (buy origin).

・EQP（Equilibrium Point）：0.5 of Fibonacci. The exact midpoint between the high and low—the boundary between premium and discount.

・MTF confluence（Multi-Time-Frame Confluence）：When FVG and OB overlap across multiple timeframes. The more overlap there is, the more the zone is a big-money-aware area, increasing entry reliability.

---

【Daily chart: Long-term uptrend ongoing — deep correction】

From the early 2024 low of5,598.32There is no CHoCH on the daily chart yet(confirmation requires break of a major swing low near 4,266).

The fact that the daily chart is "still in an up structure" means there remains long-term buying power on dips. However, from the high of 5,598 to the current level, a drop of about 5,800 PIPS has occurred, indicating a deep daily-scale correction.

【4-hour timeframe: CHoCH confirmed → down market structure】

5,598.32After reaching this, a CHoCH occurred on the 4-hour timeframe. Since then, lower high and lower low have continued, forming a down-market structure.2

【4-timeframe Fibonacci (low 4,401.36 ↔ high 5,598.32) major levels】

・

【1-hour Fibonacci (low 4,996.02 ↔ high 5,419.36) major levels】

・

■This Week's Review (3/9–3/14)

Previous week close:

【First half: Gap openings and wild swings → M15 OB+FVG rejection → stop-hunt → 1H FVG annihilation → 1H×M15 FVG overlap rejection → real decline】

On Monday the opening jumped about 100 PIPS from last Friday's close near 5,167, opening up near 5,197.81 but soon reversed and swung violently up and down. After this turbulent Monday, Tue–Wed advanced with a BOS→CHoCH→BOS upward structure, leading to a rise.

In the rising phase, this zone contained two layers of FVG+OB.

・

First price touched the M15 OB+FVG zone (lower layer) and faced a rejection of about 400 PIPS.

But it did not end there. Price rose again and broke through the upper bound of the M15 zone (around 5,225) to reach 5,238.62. This rise fully cleared the 1H FVG, acting as a stop-hunt and showing liquidity capture. The subsequent drop cut through the M15 zone, creating a bear move. From a market-maker view, the first 400 PIPS rejection lacked enough liquidity to sustain a short position, so they swept the stops in the 1H FVG zone to secure liquidity and then drove the later decline.—

It wasn’t that price rose; it was that it swept up all the nearby stops above the levels that big players wanted to collect, then hammered down.

From Wednesday high, on 5-minute and 15-minute charts, CHoCH→BOS→CHoCH→BOS sequence continued, breaking each level in order 5,200→5,140→5,100, and by Friday recording the weekly low of 5,009.72. EQP (4,999.91) neared 100 PIPS and $9.81 difference, ending the week near 5,019.03.

If you had to summarize this week's movement in one phrase: “M15 OB+FVG rejected 400PIPS, annihilated 1H FVG and stop-hunted, then Skygrafter cause.” Note: The original text contains many stylistic and formatting elements intended for a Japanese audience, including time stamps and t attributes. The English translation preserves the content and structure as closely as possible, while keeping the HTML format intact and without introducing line breaks beyond those present in the input. If you want a cleaned and more concise English version without HTML formatting, I can provide that as well.

【Second half: CHoCH→BOS sequence → fall to 5,009.72 (Thu–Fri)】