Many important people spoke! Attention to statements about Brexit and the global economic downturn! ~ March 26 Highlights and Event Schedule ~
Yesterday, due to a risk-off mood overlapping with the year-end and the end-of-month factors, the Tokyo market was in a state of turmoil. The Nikkei average fell to a record level of decline.
In addition, Brexit-related debates continued in the UK and drew attention. With the withdrawal deadline approaching this weekend, a climactic moment has arrived.
◎ Today's Points of Focus
1) British Parliament
Yesterday, an amendment to a Brexit-related bill was discussed and voted on. From what we see, the UK Parliament appears to be meandering. The key related bill this time involves temporarily transferring some of Prime Minister May's powers to Parliament. We will be watching what options emerge and what gets passed.
Today's four focal points are as follows:
・Will there be a vote on the Withdrawal Agreement? (The likelihood seems low. Also, the probability of rejection seems high.)
・Resignation of Prime Minister May, and a general election
・Withdrawal of the withdrawal, revocation of Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty, and signature campaigns
・Other new related bills
2) European Economy and Global Risk-Off
Yesterday’s stock figures continued the risk-off trend from last week in Tokyo and Europe. On the New York Times, the stock decline tone temporarily settled. Attention is on the European economy, which was a driver of the risk-off flow. Many European economic indicators and leader remarks are scheduled for today as well.
Also, will the risk-off trend calm down as it is, or will it continue to prevail? All eyes are on this.
◎ Today’s Economic Event Schedule
Tuesday, March 26
08:50 JPYMain Opinions from the Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meeting (March 14-15)
09:30 USDWilliam Dudley? Rosengren—Boston Fed President Speech
16:00 EUR GfK Germany Consumer Confidence Index
16:45 EUR France GDP
16:45 USD Harker—Philadelphia Fed President Speech
19:30 USDEvans—Chicago Fed President Speech
20:00 GBPBoE Deputy Governor Broadbent Speech
20:00 EUR Mačic・Slovakia Central Bank President
21:30 USD Building Permits and Housing Starts
22:00 HUF Hungary Policy Rate Announcement
23:00 USD Consumer Confidence Index
Wednesday, March 27
02:00 2-year Bond Auction
04:00 USD Daily San Francisco Fed President Speech
08:00 AUDRBA Governor’s Assistant Speech
10:00 NZDRBNZ Policy Rate and Statement Announcement
