【Path to Dream_FX_Main Currencies_Market Environment Awareness/Notes_20260308】
Today is Sunday, March 8.
Hello.
It is clear in Southern Kanto,
but the wind is strong and a lot of pollen is flying.
Since it’s a tough season,
I try not to go out much.
It’s tiring, isn’t it?
Well, last Friday’s US jobs data
fluctuated greatly,
and I kept wondering which way the theory would lean.
I kept thinking about it.
In the end, I spent the day with no positions,
so when you don’t know, it’s correct not to enter.
That’s the right approach.
Now, let’s confirm.
This is the number of bars at the closing of daily candles.
【EUR/USD】
Monthly: 15th bar / 13
Weekly: 2nd cycle, 32nd bar / 27 or
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 1st bar / 1
Weekly volatility: 265 pips
Daily: 1st cycle, 4th bar / 1
4HC 1st cycle, 20th bar / 6
This is how I view it.
It’s not clear whether the weekly chart has closed,
but
I regard 4HC as the 1st cycle.
I’m leaning toward a bullish outlook,
but there is also a possibility of a break below the starting point,
so I will watch Monday’s movement.
****************************
20260308 FX Market Environment Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/Yo8Mcb49TSs
*****************************
【USD/JPY】
Monthly: 19th bar
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 25th bar / 18
Weekly volatility: 214 pips
Daily: 3rd cycle, 28th bar / 28
4HC 3rd cycle, 35th bar / 33
This is how I view it.
There are no indications of a yen rally in this pattern.
However, the daily chart 2 is a starting-point break on RT (Reality Translation),
so the daily chart 3 could drop sharply on an event as well.
【GBP/USD】
Monthly: 15th bar
Weekly: 2nd cycle, 18th bar / 13
Weekly volatility: 202 pips
Daily: 2nd cycle, 35th bar / 7LT or
Daily: 3rd cycle, 4th bar / 1
4HC 1st or 4th, 21st bar / 21
This is how I view it.
I suspect the daily chart has switched.
If this continues with USD selling,
【EUR/JPY】
Monthly: 20nd bar
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 32nd bar / 26 or
Weekly: 4th cycle, 4th bar
Weekly volatility: 266 pips
Daily: 4th or 1st, 17th bar / 10
4HC 2nd cycle, 20th bar / 20
This is how I view it.
It is unclear whether the weekly chart has shifted,
but as the dollar weakens,
EUR/USD and USD/JPY will engage in a tug-of-war.
I’d like to see how Monday moves.
【GBP/JPY】
Monthly: 20th bar
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 30th bar / 27 or
Weekly: 4th cycle, 3rd bar / 3
Weekly volatility: 397 pips
Daily: 1st cycle, 14th bar / 7
4HC 2nd cycle, 30th bar / 30
This is how I view it.
I think the weekly chart has likely switched.
If USD/JPY rises,
both would likely see bullish candles.
【AUD/JPY】
Monthly: 12th bar
Weekly: 2nd cycle, 29th bar / 29 or
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 3rd bar
Weekly volatility: 256 pips
Daily: 1st or 4th, 15th bar / 12
4HC 2nd cycle, 20th bar / 8
This is how I view it.
This is the strongest currency pair, in my view.
If AUD/USD rises,
both would likely rise together.
If USD/JPY also rises,
it would be synergistic.
*****************************
US10Y 4.138 -0.05%
DJI 47,501 dollars -453 dollars
US500 -1.22%
WTI 89.045 dollars
Nikkei 225 55,620 yen +342
****************************
Let’s learn together.
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/70675
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/30872
【Iroha-gumi (168) _2】
Registration URL：
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/rooms/33239
Nonbitorei
Hello.
It is clear in Southern Kanto,
but the wind is strong and a lot of pollen is flying.
Since it’s a tough season,
I try not to go out much.
It’s tiring, isn’t it?
Well, last Friday’s US jobs data
fluctuated greatly,
and I kept wondering which way the theory would lean.
I kept thinking about it.
In the end, I spent the day with no positions,
so when you don’t know, it’s correct not to enter.
That’s the right approach.
Now, let’s confirm.
This is the number of bars at the closing of daily candles.
【EUR/USD】
Monthly: 15th bar / 13
Weekly: 2nd cycle, 32nd bar / 27 or
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 1st bar / 1
Weekly volatility: 265 pips
Daily: 1st cycle, 4th bar / 1
4HC 1st cycle, 20th bar / 6
This is how I view it.
It’s not clear whether the weekly chart has closed,
but
I regard 4HC as the 1st cycle.
I’m leaning toward a bullish outlook,
but there is also a possibility of a break below the starting point,
so I will watch Monday’s movement.
****************************
20260308 FX Market Environment Video Commentary
https://youtu.be/Yo8Mcb49TSs
*****************************
【USD/JPY】
Monthly: 19th bar
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 25th bar / 18
Weekly volatility: 214 pips
Daily: 3rd cycle, 28th bar / 28
4HC 3rd cycle, 35th bar / 33
This is how I view it.
There are no indications of a yen rally in this pattern.
However, the daily chart 2 is a starting-point break on RT (Reality Translation),
so the daily chart 3 could drop sharply on an event as well.
【GBP/USD】
Monthly: 15th bar
Weekly: 2nd cycle, 18th bar / 13
Weekly volatility: 202 pips
Daily: 2nd cycle, 35th bar / 7LT or
Daily: 3rd cycle, 4th bar / 1
4HC 1st or 4th, 21st bar / 21
This is how I view it.
I suspect the daily chart has switched.
If this continues with USD selling,
【EUR/JPY】
Monthly: 20nd bar
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 32nd bar / 26 or
Weekly: 4th cycle, 4th bar
Weekly volatility: 266 pips
Daily: 4th or 1st, 17th bar / 10
4HC 2nd cycle, 20th bar / 20
This is how I view it.
It is unclear whether the weekly chart has shifted,
but as the dollar weakens,
EUR/USD and USD/JPY will engage in a tug-of-war.
I’d like to see how Monday moves.
【GBP/JPY】
Monthly: 20th bar
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 30th bar / 27 or
Weekly: 4th cycle, 3rd bar / 3
Weekly volatility: 397 pips
Daily: 1st cycle, 14th bar / 7
4HC 2nd cycle, 30th bar / 30
This is how I view it.
I think the weekly chart has likely switched.
If USD/JPY rises,
both would likely see bullish candles.
【AUD/JPY】
Monthly: 12th bar
Weekly: 2nd cycle, 29th bar / 29 or
Weekly: 3rd cycle, 3rd bar
Weekly volatility: 256 pips
Daily: 1st or 4th, 15th bar / 12
4HC 2nd cycle, 20th bar / 8
This is how I view it.
This is the strongest currency pair, in my view.
If AUD/USD rises,
both would likely rise together.
If USD/JPY also rises,
it would be synergistic.
*****************************
US10Y 4.138 -0.05%
DJI 47,501 dollars -453 dollars
US500 -1.22%
WTI 89.045 dollars
Nikkei 225 55,620 yen +342
****************************
Let’s learn together.
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/70675
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/30872
【Iroha-gumi (168) _2】
Registration URL：
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/rooms/33239
Nonbitorei
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