After the Dow reaches 20,000, focus on the BOJ meeting — from YEN-kura's “Real Top Trading”.
The Dow has reached 20,000, and the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has risen to around 2.5%, but it has not translated into a stronger dollar.
The USD/JPY fell to around 113, then rose to around 114, but the 113-114 range continues.
In today's Bank of Japan government bond purchases, because the market's expected purchases of remaining 1 year or more up to 5 years were withheld, bond futures temporarily dropped to 149.85 sen, the lowest in about a month. The 10-year yield also rose briefly to 0.08% and finished at 0.065%.
There was also dollar selling at the fixing, but the rise in long-term yields appears to have been a factor weighing on USD/JPY.
A BOJ official says the decision was made after observing supply and demand in the government bond market, but there is also the BOJ policy decision meeting on the 30th-31st next week.
Since September last year, the BOJ has shifted from quantitative easing of 80 trillion yen in government bond purchases to yield curve control (management of long- and short-term interest rates), with policy targets of a short-term rate of -0.1% and a 10-year yield of 0%.
A decrease in the number of government bond purchases equals tapering and could put upward pressure on long-term yields and become a factor supporting yen strength.
These factors may be weighing on the upside of the USD/JPY, and I will be watching to see if there is discussion of these at next week's BOJ meeting.
On the 26th at 16:00, the long-awaited special collaboration seminar between Mr. Yenzo and Mr. Tetsuo Inoue will finally be realized!
Live broadcast from the GOGOJUNGLE Studio! We will thoroughly discuss the markets after President Trump's inauguration!
To purchase Yenzo's real-time newsletter 'Real Top Trading', click here!
