Lesson 5: Wall (3): The Danger of Using Formations

This is Trade Coach Max.

A formation is a shape that appears on the chart, including double tops/double bottoms and triangles. This kind of “formation analysis” is a classical method, and recentlyAI has begun analyzing trading methods, which was somewhat surprising to see as a mainstream approach.

■ Max History: conclusions reached after research worthy of a dictionary

Max in the early stages of his career mainly traded using candlesticks, lines, and formations. At that time, he studied formations so thoroughly that a dictionary could be written about them. Then, is formation analysis effective? Of course it is.

■The gap between post-hoc and real-time unable to be bridged

 However, there is a big problem. It is“extremely high subjectivity”.If you analyze a chart after it’s completed, a double bottom is obvious to anyone. Yet, within a chart that moves moment by moment before your eyes, determining whether it is “genuine” or a “false signal” early enough to enter at the right moment requires immense practice.

From the perspective of someone teaching trading, a major drawback of formation analysis is that it is hard to achieve reproduceability (the way the shape appears can vary depending on who teaches).

Conversely, overcoming this “subjective drift” is the key to whether formation analysis can be elevated to a weapon usable in real trading.

【RCI6/10 Differences: Elimination of Ambiguity】Reproducibility was given top priorityRCI6/10 does not use the diverse formation analyses that can lead to confusion in judgments. Instead, it extracts only the most essential rebounds in the market—“double tops and double bottoms”—and elevates them into a numerical, universally identifiable logic.

 Instead of ambiguous judgments of “shapes,” you can identify at which bar the formation completed using clear numerical rules, so there is zero variation among practitioners. There is no need to “get used to the eye.” You only need to “read the rules.”

Tomorrow, we will approach the Bollinger Bands as a symbol of technical analysis and discuss its role as a “wall.”

Please look forward to tomorrow’s lecture as well.

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