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【Analyzed Gold from Both Fundamentals and Technicals】

1. Current price level (early March 2026)

Gold is currently trading around $5,360 to $5,410.

Recent movement: Today (March 2) saw a rally of over 2.6% from the previous day, briefly breaking through $5,390.

Technical indicators: RSI(14) is above 75, signaling short-term overbought conditions, but MACD and ADX indicate a strong bullish trend continuing.

2. Key points going forward

＜Technical View＞

Resistance (upside): $5,400–$5,450

Whether the psychological level of $5,400 can be clearly surpassed and held will be the key to further upside. If this is overcome, the path toward $5,500 is expected.

Support (downside): $5,320 / $5,280

If a pullback occurs, attention is on whether the previous resistance around $5,320 can function as support. A break below this could lead to a move to the low-$5,200s.

＜Fundamental View＞

Geopolitical risk: Middle East tensions (Iran-related and Straits of Hormuz) are flaring up again, fueling safe-haven buying. Gold is showing a strong “war-time” aspect.

Monetary policy: Inflation trends and the interest-rate decisions of major central banks will determine relative value against the dollar.

＜Trading Perspective＞

We are currently in a very strong uptrend, but with RSI at high levels, beware chasing at the top.

Trend-following: Confirm a clear breakout above $5,400 before chasing.

Mean-reversion / pullback buying: After the surge, wait for profits-taking to subside and look for a rebound around $5,300.

Given the high volatility, it is wise to tighten stop-loss settings and manage funds more strictly than ever.

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