【Path to Dream_FX_Main Currencies_Market Environment Awareness and Memo_20260222】
February 22, Sunday.
Hello.
We are in the middle of a three-day weekend that feels like spring.
I'm worried about pollen.
If I don't manage my health properly,
it will affect the start of next week.
Go out with a mask on.
Well, Trump’s tariffs have been deemed illegal.
They were judged illegal.
They seem to move from the European market on Monday.
I want to watch carefully.
Now, let's confirm.
The figures are based on the closing timing of the daily chart.
【EUR/USD】
Monthly chart 14th bar / 13
Weekly chart 2nd cycle 30th bar / 27 or
Weekly chart 3rd cycle 5th bar / 2
Weekly volatility 133 pips
Daily HPC2 76th bar / 58 or
Daily chart 1st cycle 25th bar / 7
4HC 2nd cycle 66th bar / 17 or
4HC 1st or 3rd 8th
We interpret it as such.
There are multiple scenarios
making it difficult to judge.
Therefore,
we will thoroughly check the movement after Trump’s tariff illegality on Monday.
****************************
20260222_FX_MarketEnvironment_VideoCommentary
https://youtu.be/3rfcylTBrTE
*****************************
【USD/JPY】
Monthly chart 18th
Weekly chart 3rd cycle 23rd bar / 18
Weekly volatility 306 pips
Daily HPC2 54th bar / 27 or
Daily chart 3rd cycle 18th bar / 9
4HC 2nd or 5th 41st bar / 38
We interpret it as such.
There are two possible daily cycle scenarios
making it difficult to judge at present.
If we see a large bearish candlestick,
the half-primary cycle (HPC) will be dominant.
【GBP/USD】
Monthly chart 14th
Weekly chart 2nd cycle 16th bar / 13
Weekly volatility 228 pips
HPC 1st cycle 76th bar / 58 or
Daily chart 2nd cycle 25th bar / 7
4HC 2nd cycle 67th bar / 22 or
4HC 1st or 3rd 8th
We interpret it as such.
If the dollar crosses to a different 4HC,
and rises,
the USD will be sold off.
What happens at Monday’s European session is
the key point.
【EUR/JPY】
Monthly chart 19th
Weekly chart 3rd cycle 30th bar / 26
Weekly volatility 234 pips
Daily chart 3rd cycle 54th bar / 34 or
Daily chart 1st or 2nd 7th bar / 6
4HC 1st cycle 38th bar / 29
We interpret it as such.
It is expected to be largely influenced by USD/JPY.
From the 20th onward, euro buying is said,
and, since the month-end is involved,
the scenario becomes difficult.
Long-term positions should not be held;
profit-taking is the right thing to do.
【GBP/JPY】
Monthly chart 19th
Weekly chart 3rd cycle 29th bar / 27
Weekly volatility 244 pips
HPC 2nd cycle 76th bar / 64 or
Daily chart 1st cycle 4th bar / 4
4HC 1st or 7th / 21st bar / 20
We interpret it as such.
Whether the daily chart has switched,
or whether 4HC continues,
judgment is difficult.
Being pulled by USD/JPY
when the yen strengthens,
the continuation of the HPC should be considered.
【AUD/JPY】
Monthly chart 11th
Weekly chart 2nd cycle 27th bar / 26
Weekly volatility 235 pips
HPC 2nd cycle 76th bar / 67 or
Daily chart 1st cycle 5th bar / 5
4HC 1st or 6th 30th bar / 29
We interpret it as such.
It moves similarly to GBP/JPY.
When US stocks rise, AUD/USD rises,
and when USD/JPY rises,
the chart shows the synergy that has existed so far for AUD/JPY.
Will it go down in the future?
We want to keep watching.
****************************
20260222_FX_MarketEnvironment_VideoCommentary
https://youtu.be/3rfcylTBrTE
*****************************
*****************************
US10Y 4.086 +0.37%
DJI 49,625 dollars +230
US500 +0.79%
WTI 66.085 dollars
Nikkei 225 56,825 yen -642
****************************
Let’s learn together.
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/70675
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/30872
【Iroha-gumi (168)_2】
Registration URL：
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/rooms/33239
Non-vegetable rice field
Hello.
We are in the middle of a three-day weekend that feels like spring.
I'm worried about pollen.
If I don't manage my health properly,
it will affect the start of next week.
Go out with a mask on.
Well, Trump’s tariffs have been deemed illegal.
They were judged illegal.
They seem to move from the European market on Monday.
I want to watch carefully.
Now, let's confirm.
The figures are based on the closing timing of the daily chart.
【EUR/USD】
Monthly chart 14th bar / 13
Weekly chart 2nd cycle 30th bar / 27 or
Weekly chart 3rd cycle 5th bar / 2
Weekly volatility 133 pips
Daily HPC2 76th bar / 58 or
Daily chart 1st cycle 25th bar / 7
4HC 2nd cycle 66th bar / 17 or
4HC 1st or 3rd 8th
We interpret it as such.
There are multiple scenarios
making it difficult to judge.
Therefore,
we will thoroughly check the movement after Trump’s tariff illegality on Monday.
****************************
20260222_FX_MarketEnvironment_VideoCommentary
https://youtu.be/3rfcylTBrTE
*****************************
【USD/JPY】
Monthly chart 18th
Weekly chart 3rd cycle 23rd bar / 18
Weekly volatility 306 pips
Daily HPC2 54th bar / 27 or
Daily chart 3rd cycle 18th bar / 9
4HC 2nd or 5th 41st bar / 38
We interpret it as such.
There are two possible daily cycle scenarios
making it difficult to judge at present.
If we see a large bearish candlestick,
the half-primary cycle (HPC) will be dominant.
【GBP/USD】
Monthly chart 14th
Weekly chart 2nd cycle 16th bar / 13
Weekly volatility 228 pips
HPC 1st cycle 76th bar / 58 or
Daily chart 2nd cycle 25th bar / 7
4HC 2nd cycle 67th bar / 22 or
4HC 1st or 3rd 8th
We interpret it as such.
If the dollar crosses to a different 4HC,
and rises,
the USD will be sold off.
What happens at Monday’s European session is
the key point.
【EUR/JPY】
Monthly chart 19th
Weekly chart 3rd cycle 30th bar / 26
Weekly volatility 234 pips
Daily chart 3rd cycle 54th bar / 34 or
Daily chart 1st or 2nd 7th bar / 6
4HC 1st cycle 38th bar / 29
We interpret it as such.
It is expected to be largely influenced by USD/JPY.
From the 20th onward, euro buying is said,
and, since the month-end is involved,
the scenario becomes difficult.
Long-term positions should not be held;
profit-taking is the right thing to do.
【GBP/JPY】
Monthly chart 19th
Weekly chart 3rd cycle 29th bar / 27
Weekly volatility 244 pips
HPC 2nd cycle 76th bar / 64 or
Daily chart 1st cycle 4th bar / 4
4HC 1st or 7th / 21st bar / 20
We interpret it as such.
Whether the daily chart has switched,
or whether 4HC continues,
judgment is difficult.
Being pulled by USD/JPY
when the yen strengthens,
the continuation of the HPC should be considered.
【AUD/JPY】
Monthly chart 11th
Weekly chart 2nd cycle 27th bar / 26
Weekly volatility 235 pips
HPC 2nd cycle 76th bar / 67 or
Daily chart 1st cycle 5th bar / 5
4HC 1st or 6th 30th bar / 29
We interpret it as such.
It moves similarly to GBP/JPY.
When US stocks rise, AUD/USD rises,
and when USD/JPY rises,
the chart shows the synergy that has existed so far for AUD/JPY.
Will it go down in the future?
We want to keep watching.
****************************
20260222_FX_MarketEnvironment_VideoCommentary
https://youtu.be/3rfcylTBrTE
*****************************
*****************************
US10Y 4.086 +0.37%
DJI 49,625 dollars +230
US500 +0.79%
WTI 66.085 dollars
Nikkei 225 56,825 yen -642
****************************
Let’s learn together.
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/70675
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/ebooks/30872
【Iroha-gumi (168)_2】
Registration URL：
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/tools/rooms/33239
Non-vegetable rice field
× ![]()