Weekly forward record: 2/9〜2/13 (PinBar / WilliamsR / Monstera / Heikin-Ashi)
Forward performance summary for the 2nd week of February (2/9–2/13).
This week, as with last week, it is organized by weekly consolidation rather than by individual trades.
PinBar_MomentumTrader_USDJPY_5M (2/9–2/13)
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/systemtrade/fx/53499
Conclusion: This week was a very well-aligned week.
Trades: 9
Wins: 9 / Losses: 0 (Win rate 100%)
Total net: +182,100
Average: +20,233 per trade (approx.)
Maximum profit: +39,000
Maximum loss: +4,400
This week trades in both directions (long and short), but as a result, all trades ended in profit.
It was a week where the move to “only take winning opportunities” could be reproduced as is.
Williams R Contrarian Entry_XAUUSD_15M (2/9–2/13)
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/systemtrade/fx/53024
Conclusion: This week finished negative. It was a contrarian week.
Trades: 12
Wins: 6 / Losses: 6 (Win rate 50.0%)
Total net: -79,153
PF: 0.84 (approx.)
Maximum profit: +68,890
Maximum loss: -84,150
Total fees: about -2,608 (approx.)
Contrarian trading tends to be more about accumulating wins and losses alternately rather than chasing long winning streaks.
This week the losses slightly outweighed the gains, recording the “week result”.
Monstera_USDJPY (2/9–2/13)
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/systemtrade/fx/50600
Conclusion: This week was negative. The magnitude of losses pulled down the weekly total.
Trades: 6
Wins: 3 / Losses: 3 (Win rate 50.0%)
Total net: -167,900
Total swaps: -370
Net including swaps: -168,270
PF: 0.48 (approx.)
Maximum profit: +55,700
Maximum loss: -140,000
While there were winning trades, this week’s losses were heavier.
In weeks like this, it’s important to evaluate on a weekly basis rather than reacting to each trade.
Heikin-Ashi HTF MA Line_15M_USDJPY (2/9–2/13)
https://www.gogojungle.co.jp/systemtrade/fx/50582
Conclusion: This week was positive. Even if the win rate isn’t high, there were opportunities to accumulate gains.
Trades: 6
Wins: 2 / Losses: 4 (Win rate 33.3%)
Total net (profit/loss column): +52,000
Total swaps: -11,080
Net profit (profit/loss + swaps): +40,920
PF: 1.30 (approx.)
Maximum profit: +191,000
Maximum loss: -57,300
Even when small losses occur, there are weeks where you can make up a lot when the market turns favorable.
This is also the type of move whose value becomes clear only when viewed on a weekly basis.
Wins and losses fluctuate by week.
Therefore, what matters is to avoid being swayed by each trade and to make decisions steadily on weekly, monthly, and other aggregates.
Next week we will update the forward performance at the same level of granularity.