The moment you feel “this is where I should enter” is the most dangerous.
While trading,
there are moments that suddenly come to mind.
“This is it.”
“Now or never.”
“All conditions are met.”
This feeling.
Actually, it’s a highly dangerous sign.
Because it’s not a feeling that only you notice.
Rather, on the contrary,
many people simultaneously
see the same thing
and are nearing the same conclusion.
・Beautiful highs and lows
・Clear breakouts
・ textbook-shaped patterns
・Common patterns seen on social media
When those overlap,
what is happening in the market?
Orders skew in one direction.
In other words,
・stop-loss at the same level
・same price for stop orders
・expectations in the same direction
accumulate all at once.
Recall what we were talking about earlier.
Price moves not toward the direction it wants to go,
but toward the place it must reach.
In other words—
the place where everyone thinks “this is where you enter” becomes the spot that is most efficient for the “prey”.
That’s why it happens.
・A reversal right after entering
・Only once deeply pushed in
・A near-break then a reversion to the intended direction
this flow.
And people think.
“This time it was bad luck.”
“If I had held on a bit longer, it would have been fine.”
“Next time will be okay.”
But,
the issue isn’t there.
Being in a place that looks like the “correct answer” itself puts you at a disadvantage.
The market is not kind.
The simpler the correct answer, the sooner it gets crushed.
So among those who keep winning,
they pay more attention to the place they will not enter
instead of the place they want to enter.
And they think.
・From where would someone who entered here cut there
・If the market moves in the opposite direction, who will suffer
・Where is the concentration of orders the most
Without this perspective,
no matter how refined your method is,
you will be trimmed at the same place over and over.
In the next discussion,
so how should we think?
Not “searching for the correct answer,” but
entering a perspective built from “places to avoid.”
? Next episode teaser (Episode 15)
“People who are winning decide in advance where not to enter.”